Result
2:1
02/05/2026 at 13:50 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Division 1 - Round 32
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | JACO Middle East |
 Saudi-arabia | Thmanyah |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.24 | 2.25 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (256/319) | 89% (347/391) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.24 | 2.25 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.71 | 1.77 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 13 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 25 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (256/319) | 89% (347/391) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 57% (31/54) | 64% (32/50) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 58% (51/88) | 81% (92/113) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (1/5) | 23% (7/31) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.98 | 1.55 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 14 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 100% (9/9) | 65% (13/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 40 | 37 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 32 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.77 | 1.71 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.77 | -0.29 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 6', Gano Z. 🟨,
- 41', 1 - 0, Koulouris E. (Penalty Awarded),
- 44', Bouzok Y. 🟨,
- 45+2', Al Dossary M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 59', Razzaq A. 🟨,
- 63', Razzaq A. ↓, Michael ↑,
- 67', 1 - 1, Gano Z. (Penalty Awarded),
- 69', 2 - 1, Guanca C. ⚽, Al Khulaif A. (A),
- 71', Al Yousif A. 🟨,
- 75', Tweh S. ↓, Al Shanqiti W. ↑,
- 75', Al Khulaif A. ↓, Al Nabit S. ↑,
- 88', Al Dossary M. ↓, Al Shaikh M. ↑,
- 90+5', Guanca C. ↓, Al Zubaidi A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Al-Ula
51.1% | Draw
24.2% | Al Raed
24.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al-Ula has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Al-Ula's form might have worsened.Al Raed has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Al Raed's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Ula than the current prediction. (+7.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Al-Ula, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al Raed than the current prediction. (-5.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Al Raed, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Al-Ula - Al Raed Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.79 ↑
(1.58) |
3.78 ↓
(3.85) |
3.7 ↓
(4.6) |
9.4%
(11%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 7).
- Al-Ula is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Al Raed has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, Al-Ula is a strong favorite.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Al-Ula won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Ula won against Al Raed?
Al-Ula has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Al Raed won against Al-Ula?
Al Raed has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Al-Ula - Al Raed were as follows:
07.01.2026
Al Raed
-
Al-Ula
3:2
Latest results of Al Raed
Saudi Division 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Abha ✔ | 32 | 24 | 5 | 3 | 63:29 | 34 | 77 |
| 2 | Al Diriyah | 32 | 21 | 6 | 5 | 74:33 | 41 | 69 |
| 3 | Al-Faisaly | 32 | 19 | 10 | 3 | 70:32 | 38 | 67 |
| 4 | Al-Ula | 32 | 19 | 8 | 5 | 66:31 | 35 | 65 |
| 5 | Al Orubah ✔ | 32 | 18 | 5 | 9 | 49:37 | 12 | 59 |
| 6 | Al Jabalain | 32 | 15 | 8 | 9 | 54:38 | 16 | 53 |
| 7 | Al Raed | 32 | 13 | 9 | 10 | 57:43 | 14 | 48 |
| 8 | Al Zulfi | 32 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 42:39 | 3 | 44 |
| 9 | Al Taee | 32 | 12 | 8 | 12 | 46:46 | 0 | 44 |
| 10 | Al Bukiryah | 32 | 12 | 7 | 13 | 34:43 | -9 | 43 |
| 11 | Al Wehda | 32 | 11 | 7 | 14 | 50:56 | -6 | 40 |
| 12 | Al Anwar | 32 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 48:49 | -1 | 38 |
| 13 | Jeddah | 32 | 8 | 12 | 12 | 32:46 | -14 | 36 |
| 14 | Al Jandal | 32 | 7 | 8 | 17 | 30:56 | -26 | 29 |
| 15 | Al Adalah | 32 | 6 | 9 | 17 | 41:70 | -29 | 27 |
| 16 | Al Arabi | 32 | 5 | 6 | 21 | 22:60 | -38 | 21 |
| 17 | Al Batin ✔ | 32 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 35:64 | -29 | 19 |
| 18 | Al Jubail ✔ | 32 | 3 | 5 | 24 | 28:69 | -41 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Saudi Professional League
Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Abha is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Saudi Professional League
Al Orubah is Qualified for Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs )
Al Batin is Relegated to
Al Jubail is Relegated to
