Result
0:3
21/09/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- QSL - Round 5
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA |
 Qatar | Al Kass Four, Shoof |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.41 | 3.00 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (429/500) | 86% (384/445) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.41 | 3.00 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.05 | 4.31 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 14 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 11 | 26 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (429/500) | 86% (384/445) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 47% (28/59) | 70% (31/44) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 76% (103/136) | 71% (69/97) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 14% (1/7) | 19% (3/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.77 | 1.09 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 6 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (9/14) | 75% (12/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 34 | 35 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 16 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 4.31 | 0.05 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.31 | -0.95 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 5', Mohammed H. 🟨,
- 29', 0 - 1, Rodrigo ⚽, Wesley (A),
- 34', Draxler J. 🟨,
- 35', Gaber J. 🟨,
- 45+1', 0 - 2, Mitrovic A. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 57', Gannan S. ↓, Fadlelmawla A. ↑,
- 57', Mohammed J. ↓, Moustafa A. ↑,
- 60', Gaber J. ↓, Alaaeldin A. ↑,
- 60', Mitrovic A. ↓, Gregore ↑,
- 68', Amraoui A. ↓, Fettouhi D. ↑,
- 69', Fadlelmawla A. 🟨,
- 70', Wesley ↓, Garcia D. ↑,
- 70', Saleh M. ↓, Surag M. ↑,
- 78', Rodrigo ↓, Gabriel Pereira ↑,
- 86', 0 - 3, Roger Guedes ⚽, Surag M. (A),
- 88', Mohammed K. ↓, Ali T. ↑,
Chances of winning
Al-Ahli Doha
19.8% | Draw
23.3% | Al-Rayyan
56.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al-Ahli Doha has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)Al-Rayyan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Ahli Doha than the current prediction. (+1.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Rayyan than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
Al-Ahli Doha - Al-Rayyan Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.68 ↑
(4.21) |
3.99 ↑
(3.75) |
1.63 ↓
(1.73) |
7.7%
(8.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Al-Ahli Doha - Al-Rayyan?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Al-Rayyan (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 in the zone QSL (Relegation) and 7).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Ahli Doha won 2.
- Recent performances by Al-Ahli Doha have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Al-Rayyan is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Al-Rayyan may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.
- In this match, Al-Rayyan is the team to beat.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Al-Ahli Doha won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 17:41. (average 0.9:2.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Al-Ahli Doha won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 8:25. (average 0.7:2.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Ahli Doha won against Al-Rayyan?
Al-Ahli Doha has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Rayyan won against Al-Ahli Doha?
Al-Rayyan has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Al-Ahli Doha - Al-Rayyan were as follows:
18.05.2025
Al-Ahli Doha
-
Al-Rayyan
0:3
29.03.2025
Al-Ahli Doha
-
Al-Rayyan
1:0
10.11.2024
Al-Ahli Doha
-
Al-Rayyan
3:2
26.10.2024
Al-Rayyan
-
Al-Ahli Doha
2:2
24.04.2024
Al-Rayyan
-
Al-Ahli Doha
4:1
Latest results of Al-Ahli Doha
Latest results of Al-Rayyan
Qatar QSL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Shamal | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 11:5 | 6 | 13 |
| 2 | Qatar SC | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 9:3 | 6 | 13 |
| 3 | Al Rayyan | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10:6 | 4 | 10 |
| 4 | Al-Gharafa | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8:5 | 3 | 10 |
| 5 | Al Wakra | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9:9 | 0 | 8 |
| 6 | Al-Duhail | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 13:6 | 7 | 7 |
| 7 | Al-Sadd | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8:6 | 2 | 7 |
| 8 | Umm-Salal | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10:12 | -2 | 6 |
| 9 | Al-Shahaniya | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2:5 | -3 | 4 |
| 10 | Al Arabi | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9:17 | -8 | 4 |
| 11 | Al Ahli Doha | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5:12 | -7 | 3 |
| 12 | Al Sailiya | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3:11 | -8 | 0 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
QSL (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Division 2
