Result
2:1
22/02/2026 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- QSL - Round 16
- Referee: Al Shammari M. A. (Qat)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, TOD |
 Qatar | Shoof |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.85 | 0.23 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 66% | 34% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (403/462) | 73% (175/239) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.85 | 0.23 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.90 | 0.12 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 12 | 1 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 10 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (403/462) | 73% (175/239) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 45% (14/31) | 53% (31/59) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 73% (71/97) | 57% (32/56) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (7/33) | 10% (1/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.91 | 0.14 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 16 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (10/15) | 56% (5/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 61 | 38 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 14 | 31 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.12 | 1.90 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.88 | -0.10 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 29', 0 - 1, Exposito E. ⚽,
- 36', Rodrigo 🟨,
- 45+1', Amraoui A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Amaro A. ↓, Tiago Silva ↑,
- 46', Ahmed H. ↓, Mahajna A. ↑,
- 46', Gaber J. ↓, Surag M. ↑,
- 65', Mahajna A. ↓, Saleh M. ↑,
- 66', Yassine I. ↓, Mohammed H. ↑,
- 72', Gannan S. ↓, Mohammed K. ↑,
- 76', Yousif A. ↓, Alaaeldin A. ↑,
- 82', 1 - 1, Mitrovic A. ⚽, Gregore (A),
- 83', Al Minhali A. 🟨,
- 90+1', 2 - 1, Rodrigo ⚽,
- 90+5', Exposito E. ↓, Abdelrahman Y. ↑,
- 90+5', Mansour H. ↓, Doumbouya A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Al-Rayyan
64.4% | Draw
19.5% | Al-Ahli Doha
16.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al-Rayyan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)Al-Ahli Doha has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Rayyan than the current prediction. (-1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Ahli Doha than the current prediction. (+1%)
Al-Rayyan - Al-Ahli Doha Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.43 ↓
(1.51) |
4.72 ↑
(4.26) |
5.71 ↑
(5.13) |
8.8%
(9.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for Al-Rayyan - Al-Ahli Doha?
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Al-Rayyan (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 4 and 10).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Rayyan won 2.
- Al-Rayyan is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Al-Ahli Doha is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Al-Ahli Doha may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Al-Rayyan is seen as the favorite.
- We predict that Al-Rayyan will win today's game, with odds of 1.45.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Al-Rayyan won 12 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 42:17. (average 2.1:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Al-Rayyan won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:9. (average 1.8:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Rayyan won against Al-Ahli Doha?
Al-Rayyan has won 5 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Ahli Doha won against Al-Rayyan?
Al-Ahli Doha has won 3 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Al-Rayyan - Al-Ahli Doha were as follows:
21.09.2025
Al-Ahli Doha
-
Al-Rayyan
0:3
18.05.2025
Al-Ahli Doha
-
Al-Rayyan
0:3
29.03.2025
Al-Ahli Doha
-
Al-Rayyan
1:0
10.11.2024
Al-Ahli Doha
-
Al-Rayyan
3:2
26.10.2024
Al-Rayyan
-
Al-Ahli Doha
2:2
Latest results of Al-Rayyan
Latest results of Al-Ahli Doha
Qatar QSL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Al-Sadd | 21 | 13 | 3 | 5 | 53:28 | 25 | 42 |
| 2 | Shamal | 21 | 11 | 4 | 6 | 34:27 | 7 | 37 |
| 3 | Al Rayyan | 21 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 42:32 | 10 | 35 |
| 4 | Qatar SC | 21 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 35:27 | 8 | 35 |
| 5 | Al-Gharafa | 21 | 11 | 2 | 8 | 35:35 | 0 | 35 |
| 6 | Al Arabi | 21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 37:37 | 0 | 32 |
| 7 | Al-Duhail | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 38:26 | 12 | 30 |
| 8 | Al Wakra | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 29:35 | -6 | 24 |
| 9 | Al Ahli Doha | 21 | 7 | 2 | 12 | 31:42 | -11 | 23 |
| 10 | Al Sailiya | 21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 24:35 | -11 | 22 |
| 11 | Umm-Salal | 21 | 6 | 2 | 13 | 36:53 | -17 | 20 |
| 12 | Al-Shahaniya | 21 | 6 | 2 | 13 | 21:38 | -17 | 20 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
QSL (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Division 2
