Result
0:1
17/01/2026 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- QSL - Round 13
- Referee: Al Mazeed M. A. (Qat)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA |
 Qatar | Al Kass One, Shoof |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.95 | 0.89 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 62% | 38% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (374/472) | 73% (214/294) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.95 | 0.89 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.88 | 1.03 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 26 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 22 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (374/472) | 73% (214/294) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 48% (23/48) | 28% (17/61) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (71/112) | 61% (60/99) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 38% (10/26) | 25% (2/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.70 | 0.87 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 19 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 22 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 65% (17/26) | 72% (13/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 81 | 52 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 24 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.03 | 0.88 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.03 | 0.88 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 16', Murillo J. 🟨,
- 22', Al Mannai M. 🟨,
- 35', Gaber J. 🟨,
- 38', Termanini M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Gaber J. ↓, Yousif A. ↑,
- 50', Gabriel Pereira 🟨,
- 54', 0 - 1, Collado A. ⚽,
- 63', Hatem A. ↓, Alaaeldin A. ↑,
- 64', Gabriel Pereira ↓, Tiago Silva ↑,
- 69', Al Mannai M. ↓, Waad M. ↑,
- 69', Ounas A. ↓, Sliti N. ↑,
- 74', Ahmed H. ↓, Surag M. A. ↑,
- 75', Mohamed O. ↓, El Hannach Y. ↑,
- 75', Khoder M. ↓, Azadi F. ↑,
- 82', Collado A. ↓, Bounacer A. ↑,
- 82', Amaro A. ↓, El Sayed M. ↑,
- 84', Tiago Silva 🟨,
- 87', Roger Guedes 🟨,
- 87', El Hannach Y. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Al-Rayyan
55% | Draw
22.4% | Al-Shamal
22.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al-Rayyan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)Al-Shamal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Rayyan than the current prediction. (+7.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Al-Rayyan, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Shamal than the current prediction. (-3.8%)
Al-Rayyan - Al-Shamal Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.67 ↑
(1.58) |
4.1 ↓
(4.15) |
4.06 ↓
(4.49) |
8.9%
(9.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Al-Rayyan - Al-Shamal?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Al-Rayyan will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Al-Rayyan (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2 and 4).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Rayyan won 3.
- Al-Rayyan is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Al-Shamal has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Recently, Al-Rayyan has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Al-Rayyan is considered a favorite.
- We predict that Al-Rayyan will win today's game, with odds of 1.54.
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Al-Rayyan won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 34:25. (average 2.3:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Al-Rayyan won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:11. (average 1.7:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Rayyan won against Al-Shamal?
Al-Rayyan has won 8 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Shamal won against Al-Rayyan?
Al-Shamal has won 2 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Al-Rayyan - Al-Shamal were as follows:
28.11.2025
Al-Shamal
-
Al-Rayyan
1:2
22.08.2025
Al-Shamal
-
Al-Rayyan
4:2
11.04.2025
Al-Shamal
-
Al-Rayyan
3:5
22.11.2024
Al-Rayyan
-
Al-Shamal
1:2
04.03.2024
Al-Shamal
-
Al-Rayyan
1:2
Latest results of Al-Rayyan
Latest results of Al-Shamal
Qatar QSL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Al-Sadd | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 46:19 | 27 | 38 |
| 2 | Al-Gharafa | 17 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 29:23 | 6 | 34 |
| 3 | Shamal | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 29:18 | 11 | 31 |
| 4 | Al Rayyan | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 35:28 | 7 | 28 |
| 5 | Qatar SC | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 27:26 | 1 | 24 |
| 6 | Al Arabi | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 30:32 | -2 | 24 |
| 7 | Al Wakra | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 23:24 | -1 | 22 |
| 8 | Al-Duhail | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 27:21 | 6 | 21 |
| 9 | Al Sailiya | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 16:23 | -7 | 15 |
| 10 | Al Ahli Doha | 16 | 5 | 0 | 11 | 21:35 | -14 | 15 |
| 11 | Umm-Salal | 16 | 5 | 0 | 11 | 27:43 | -16 | 15 |
| 12 | Al-Shahaniya | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 13:31 | -18 | 11 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
QSL (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Division 2
