Result
0:2
18/02/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- ASIA: AFC Champions League - Round 8
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports Asian Cup 1, beIN Sports MENA AFC, beIN Sports MENA AFC, beIN Sports MENA AFC, STARZPLAY, STARZPLAY, STARZPLAY, TOD |
 Australia | Paramount+ |
 China | iQIYI, Migu, QQ Sports |
 Hong-kong | HOY TV, M Plus Live |
 India | FanCode, FanCode, Vision+ |
 Indonesia | K-Vision, RCTI+ |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Malaysia | Astro Football, Astro Go, Astro Grandstand, Sooka |
 Netherlands | Canal+ |
 Philippines | Matchday+ |
 Romania | AntenaPLAY |
 Russia | Okko Sport, TV Start Triumph |
 South-korea | Tving |
 Spain | LaLiga+ |
 Sweden | TV4 Play |
 Ukraine | Sport 2 |
 Usa | Paramount+ |
 Vietnam | FPT Play |
 World | Disney+, Onefootball, Triller TV+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.49 | 2.14 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 67% | 33% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 15 | 9 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 18 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 23 | 21 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (538/613) | 76% (236/312) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 75% (159/213) | 61% (55/90) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (7/28) | 0% (0/11) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 62% (8/13) | 75% (15/20) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 15 | 33 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 27', Rezavand A. 🟨,
- 34', Juma M. ↓, Koushki A. ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', 0 - 1, Azadi M. R. ⚽, Koushki A. (A),
- 49', Roger Guedes 🟨,
- 63', Thiago Mendes ↓, Hatem A. ↑,
- 63', Romarinho ↓, Surag M. ↑,
- 69', Ahmadi M. ↓, Niknafs Z. ↑,
- 70', 0 - 2, Koushki A. ⚽,
- 71', De Sart J. 🟨,
- 74', Naji M. ↓, Mansour T. ↑,
- 75', Ahmed H. ↓, Tabata R. ↑,
- 85', Azadi M. R. ↓, Eskandari H. ↑,
- 90+4', De Sart J. ↓, Ali ↑,
Chances of winning
Al-Rayyan
36.3% | Draw
33.9% | Esteghlal
29.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al-Rayyan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Al-Rayyan's form might have worsened.Esteghlal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Rayyan than the current prediction. (+7.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Al-Rayyan, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Esteghlal than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
Al-Rayyan - Esteghlal Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.57 ↑
(2.15) |
2.74 ↓
(3.3) |
3.12 ↓
(3.2) |
7.4%
(8.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Al-Rayyan - Esteghlal?
Users Predictions:
22 users predict this event. Al-Rayyan will win (votes: 10 - 45.5%). Esteghlal will win (votes: 1 - 4.5%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 29.1% – 70.9%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Al-Rayyan won 1.
- Recent matches Al-Rayyan is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Esteghlal is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Esteghlal could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
- Last 8 head-to-head matches Al-Rayyan won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 7:21 (average 0.9:2.6).
- Including matches at home between the teams Al-Rayyan won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:10 (average 1.5:2.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Rayyan won against Esteghlal?
Al-Rayyan has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Esteghlal won against Al-Rayyan?
Esteghlal has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Al-Rayyan - Esteghlal were as follows:
Latest results of Al-Rayyan
Latest results of Esteghlal
Draw
Play Offs1/8-finals| 1 | Al Hilal (1) | Pakhtakor (8) | 4 : 0, 0 : 1 |
| 2 | Gwangju FC (4) | Vissel Kobe (5) | 3 : 0, 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Al Ahli SC (2) | Al Rayyan (7) | 2 : 0, 3 : 1 |
| 4 | Johor DT (3) | Buriram (6) | 0 : 1, 0 : 0 |
| 5 | Yokohama F. Marinos (1) | Shanghai Port (8) | 4 : 1, 1 : 0 |
| 6 | Al Nassr (3) | Esteghlal F.C. (6) | 3 : 0, 0 : 0 |
| 7 | Kawasaki Frontale (2) | Shanghai Shenhua (7) | 4 : 0, 0 : 1 |
| 8 | Al-Sadd (4) | Al Wasl (5) | 3 : 1, 1 : 1 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Al Hilal (1) | Gwangju FC (4) | 7 : 0 |
| 2 | Al Ahli SC (2) | Buriram (6) | 3 : 0 |
| 3 | Yokohama F. Marinos (1) | Al Nassr (3) | 1 : 4 |
| 4 | Kawasaki Frontale (2) | Al-Sadd (4) | 3 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Al Hilal (1) | Al Ahli SC (2) | 1 : 3 |
| 2 | Al Nassr (3) | Kawasaki Frontale (2) | 2 : 3 |
Final| 1 | Al Ahli SC (2) | Kawasaki Frontale (2) | 2 : 0 |
