Result
2:0
16/01/2026 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- QSL - Round 13
- Referee: Al Nabet K. (Qat)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA |
 Qatar | Al Kass Four, Shoof |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.55 | 0.48 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (387/433) | 82% (324/395) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.55 | 0.48 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.50 | 0.38 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 18 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (387/433) | 82% (324/395) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 85% (28/33) | 40% (23/57) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 82% (101/123) | 69% (59/86) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 13% (4/30) | 24% (4/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.74 | 0.47 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 11 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 18 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 87% (13/15) | 69% (11/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 49 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 16 | 31 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.38 | 1.50 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.38 | -0.50 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 24', Paulo Otavio 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 67', Reyed A. ↓, Gannan S. ↑,
- 68', Giovani ↓, Ali H. ↑,
- 68', Soria A. ↓, Camara M. ↑,
- 78', Pedro Miguel 🟨,
- 80', Draxler J. ↓, Exposito E. ↑,
- 82', 1 - 0, Mujica R. ⚽, Ali H. (A),
- 89', Diallo I. ↓, Mohammed K. ↑,
- 90+3', Radwan K. 🟥,
- 90+5', Mujica R. ↓, Atal Y. ↑,
- 90+9', 2 - 0, Ali H. ⚽, Afif A. (A),
Chances of winning
Al-Sadd
67.7% | Draw
18% | Al-Ahli Doha
14.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al-Sadd has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)Al-Ahli Doha has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Sadd than the current prediction. (+3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Ahli Doha than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
Al-Sadd - Al-Ahli Doha Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.37 ↑
(1.33) |
5.14 ↓
(5.39) |
6.47 ↓
(7.03) |
8.1%
(8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for Al-Sadd - Al-Ahli Doha?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Al-Sadd will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Al-Ahli Doha will win (votes: 3 - 60%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Al-Sadd (votes: 2 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1.5 - Al-Sadd (1.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Al-Sadd (votes: 3 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Qualification: ) and 9).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Sadd won 4.
- Al-Sadd has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Al-Ahli Doha is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- In this match, Al-Sadd is the clear favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Al-Sadd won 16 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 74:23. (average 3.7:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Al-Sadd won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 35:8. (average 3.9:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Sadd won against Al-Ahli Doha?
Al-Sadd has won 6 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Ahli Doha won against Al-Sadd?
Al-Ahli Doha has won 1 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Al-Sadd - Al-Ahli Doha were as follows:
21.08.2025
Al-Ahli Doha
-
Al-Sadd
0:2
22.04.2025
Al-Sadd
-
Al-Ahli Doha
3:0
18.04.2025
Al-Sadd
-
Al-Ahli Doha
5:0
07.12.2024
Al-Ahli Doha
-
Al-Sadd
2:2
17.04.2024
Al-Ahli Doha
-
Al-Sadd
1:9
Latest results of Al-Sadd
Latest results of Al-Ahli Doha
Qatar QSL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Al-Sadd | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 46:19 | 27 | 38 |
| 2 | Al-Gharafa | 17 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 29:23 | 6 | 34 |
| 3 | Shamal | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 29:18 | 11 | 31 |
| 4 | Al Rayyan | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 35:28 | 7 | 28 |
| 5 | Qatar SC | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 27:26 | 1 | 24 |
| 6 | Al Arabi | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 30:32 | -2 | 24 |
| 7 | Al Wakra | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 25:26 | -1 | 23 |
| 8 | Al-Duhail | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 27:21 | 6 | 21 |
| 9 | Umm-Salal | 17 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 29:45 | -16 | 16 |
| 10 | Al Sailiya | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 16:23 | -7 | 15 |
| 11 | Al Ahli Doha | 17 | 5 | 0 | 12 | 22:37 | -15 | 15 |
| 12 | Al-Shahaniya | 17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 15:32 | -17 | 14 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
QSL (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Division 2
