Al Duhail vs Al-Sadd – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:3
26/02/2026 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • QSL - Round 17
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 7, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, TOD
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Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.661.52
Ball possession
47%53%
Total shots
1115
Shots on target
76
Big chances
04
Corner kicks
44
Passes
84% (357/425)86% (424/494)
Yellow cards
11
Expected goals (xG)
0.661.52
xG on target (xGOT)
1.971.18
Total shots
1115
Shots on target
76
Shots off target
36
Blocked shots
13
Shots inside the box
710
Shots outside the box
45
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
04
Corner kicks
44
Touches in opposition box
1326
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free kicks
1015
Passes
84% (357/425)86% (424/494)
Long passes
58% (34/59)66% (40/61)
Passes in final third
64% (61/96)68% (66/97)
Crosses
24% (5/21)8% (1/12)
Expected assists (xA)
0.581.57
Throw ins
1516
Fouls
1510
Tackles
85% (11/13)78% (7/9)
Duels won
4540
Clearances
2416
Interceptions
78
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
46
xGOT faced
1.181.97
Goals prevented
-0.820.97

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 4', Castelletto J. , Mohammed I. ,
  • 27', Saiss R. 🟨,
  • 45', Boulbina A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 3)
  • 47', 1 - 0, Edmilson Junior ,
  • 52', 1 - 1, Aymen Y. (Own goal),
  • 54', 1 - 2, Mujica R. , Paulo Otavio (A),
  • 62', Hamza M. , Boudiaf K. ,
  • 68', Abweny A. , Salman T. ,
  • 68', Saiss R. , Soria A. ,
  • 73', Mohammed I. , Jamshid T. ,
  • 75', Roberto Firmino , Camara M. ,
  • 83', 1 - 3, Giovani , Afif A. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Al Duhail
25.8%
Draw
23.7%
Al-Sadd
50.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.1% 22.5% 44.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.7% 22.2% 45%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Al Duhail has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Al Duhail's form might have worsened.
  • Al-Sadd has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Al-Sadd's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al Duhail than the current prediction. (+6.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Al Duhail, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Sadd than the current prediction. (-5.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Al-Sadd, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Al Duhail - Al-Sadd Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.55
    (2.8)
    3.87
    (4.13)
    1.81
    (2.09)
    9.2%
    (7.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for Al Duhail - Al-Sadd?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH 0 - Al-Sadd (1.45) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.75 - Al-Sadd (1.89) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Al-Sadd will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Al-Sadd (votes: 5 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 8 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al Duhail won 1.
    • Recent performances by Al Duhail have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Al-Sadd is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Al-Sadd will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Al Duhail won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 28:39. (average 1.4:2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Al Duhail won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 16:22. (average 1.6:2.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Al Duhail - Al-Sadd were as follows:
    25.09.2025 Al-Sadd - Al Duhail 0:0
    10.05.2025 Al-Sadd - Al Duhail 3:2
    22.02.2025 Al-Sadd - Al Duhail 2:0
    21.09.2024 Al Duhail - Al-Sadd 5:1
    18.05.2024 Al Duhail - Al-Sadd 0:1
    Latest results of Al Duhail
    21.02.2026 Al Duhail - Al-Arabi Doha 1:1
    12.02.2026 Al Duhail - Al-Waab 2:0
    09.02.2026 Al Duhail - Al-Sharjah 1:1
    04.02.2026 Umm-Salal - Al Duhail 2:1
    Latest results of Al-Sadd
    22.02.2026 Al-Wakrah - Al-Sadd 1:3
    14.02.2026 Al-Sadd - Al-Markhiya 2:1
    10.02.2026 Tractor Sazi - Al-Sadd 0:2
    05.02.2026 Al-Sadd - Al-Shahania 4:0
    Qatar QSL Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Al-Sadd17122346:192738
    2Al-Gharafa17111529:23634
    3Shamal1694329:181131
    4Al Rayyan1784535:28728
    5Qatar SC1673627:26124
    6Al Arabi1673630:32-224
    7Al Wakra1765625:26-123
    8Al-Duhail1756627:21621
    9Umm-Salal17511129:45-1616
    10Al Sailiya1643916:23-715
    11Al Ahli Doha17501222:37-1515
    12Al-Shahaniya17421115:32-1714

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
          QSL (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Division 2