Al-Gharafa vs Al-Sadd – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

14/05/2025 at 10:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Thani bin Jassim Stadium (Doha).

Emir Cup - Quarter-finals
Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA
Qatar	Al Kass One, Shoof

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
2.68	1.30
Ball Possession
41%	59%
Total shots
14	23
Shots on target
3	5
Big Chances
2	1
Corner Kicks
5	8
Passes
73% (267/364)	86% (449/525)
Yellow Cards
6	2
Expected Goals (xG)
2.68	1.30
xG on target (xGOT)
1.95	0.49
Total shots
14	23
Shots on target
3	5
Shots off target
8	10
Blocked Shots
3	8
Shots inside the Box
10	15
Shots outside the Box
4	8
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
0	1
Big Chances
2	1
Corner Kicks
5	8
Touches in opposition box
23	39
Accurate through passes
0	1
Offsides
0	0
Free Kicks
19	16
Passes
73% (267/364)	86% (449/525)
Long passes
49% (35/72)	49% (32/65)
Passes in final third
53% (63/118)	67% (110/164)
Crosses
27% (4/15)	32% (8/25)
Expected assists (xA)
0.59	0.94
Throw-ins
25	16
Fouls
16	19
Tackles
96% (22/23)	69% (11/16)
Duels won
64	52
Clearances
35	30
Interceptions
9	12
Errors leading to shot
1	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
3	1
xGOT faced
0.49	1.95
Goals prevented
-0.51	-0.05

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
3', Salman T. 🟨,
45+3', 1 - 0, Joselu (Pen),
45+18', Traore D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
53', 2 - 0, Brahimi Y. (Pen),
54', Suhail A. ↓, Giovani ↑,
54', Meshaal M. ↓, Al Haydos H. ↑,
58', Diaz F. 🟨,
67', 2 - 1, Gunnarsson A. (Own goal),
70', Sanchez Bas F. 🟨,
75', Brahimi Y. 🟨,
80', Sano S. 🟨,
81', Atal Y. ↓, Khoukhi B. ↑,
83', Rodrigo ↓, Muntari M. ↑,
87', Joselu 🟨,
87', Khoukhi B. 🟨,
90+6', Brahimi Y. ↓, Yousif A. ↑,
90+8', N'Diaye K. 🟨,
90+9', 2 - 2, Khoukhi B. ⚽, Al Haydos H. (A),
Extra Time (0 - 0)
104', Traore D. ↓, Hamed J. ↑,
110', Diaz F. ↓, Madibo A. O. ↑,
119', Giovani ↓, Abdurisag Y. ↑,
Penalties (5 - 4)
1, Joselu (Pen),
1, Al Haydos H. (Pen),
2, Muntari M. (Pen),
2, Afif A. (Pen),
3, Sassi F. (Pen),
3, Mujica R. (Pen),
4, Gunnarsson A. (Pen),
4, Khoukhi B. (Pen),
5, Al Ganehi A. (Pen),
5, Claudinho (Pen),
6, Hamed J. (Pen),
6, Pedro Miguel (Pen),

Chances of winning

Al-Gharafa
28.8%

Draw
22.7%

Al-Sadd
48.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.7%

23.4%

53%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.3%

23.1%

53.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Gharafa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Al-Gharafa's performance.

Al-Sadd has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Gharafa than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Al-Gharafa that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Sadd than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Al-Sadd could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Al-Gharafa - Al-Sadd Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.18 ↓ (3.85)	4.04 ↑ (3.9)	1.89 ↑ (1.72)	9.1% (9.8%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

Preview Facts

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Gharafa won 1.
In recent matches, Al-Gharafa has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Al-Sadd is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Al-Gharafa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Al-Sadd has had a series of home games.
Al-Sadd could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Al-Gharafa won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 23:66. (average 1.2:3.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Al-Gharafa won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 8 matches, and goals 10:40. (average 1:4).

How many head-to-head matches has Al-Gharafa won against Al-Sadd?

Al-Gharafa has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Al-Sadd won against Al-Gharafa?

Al-Sadd has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Al-Gharafa - Al-Sadd were as follows:

27.02.2025 Al-Gharafa - Al-Sadd 0:4

26.09.2024 Al-Sadd - Al-Gharafa 4:2

06.03.2024 Al-Gharafa - Al-Sadd 2:2

28.09.2023 Al-Sadd - Al-Gharafa 4:0

15.09.2023 Al-Sadd - Al-Gharafa 0:1

Latest results of Al-Gharafa

06.05.2025 Al-Gharafa - Al-Khor 2:1 ✺

23.04.2025 Al Duhail - Al-Gharafa 1:0 ✺

18.04.2025 Al-Gharafa - Al-Shahania 1:2 ✺

11.04.2025 Al-Wakrah - Al-Gharafa 1:1 ✺

04.04.2025 Al-Arabi Doha - Al-Gharafa 1:3 ✺

Latest results of Al-Sadd

10.05.2025 Al-Sadd - Al Duhail 3:2 ✺

06.05.2025 Al-Sadd - Al Kharaitiyat 3:1 ✺

27.04.2025 Kawasaki Frontale - Al-Sadd 3:2 ✺

22.04.2025 Al-Sadd - Al-Ahli Doha 3:0 ✺

18.04.2025 Al-Sadd - Al-Ahli Doha 5:0 ✺

Draw

2025

1/16-finals

1	Al Ahli Doha	Bye
2	Bye	Qatar SC
3	Al-Shahaniya	Bye
4	Al Markhiya	Al Mesaimeer	1 : 2
5	Al Rayyan	Bye
6	Al-Waab	Lusail	0 : 1
7	Al-Duhail	Bye
8	Al Sailiya	Muaither SC	1 : 0
9	Al-Gharafa	Bye
10	Bye	Al Khor
11	Al-Sadd	Bye
12	Al-Kharitiyath	Al Bidda	2 : 1
13	Al Wakra	Bye
14	Bye	Umm-Salal
15	Shamal	Bye
16	Bye	Al Arabi

1/8-finals

1	Al Ahli Doha	Qatar SC	1 : 0
2	Al-Shahaniya	Al Mesaimeer	2 : 0
3	Al Rayyan	Lusail	4 : 2
4	Al-Duhail	Al Sailiya	4 : 2
5	Al-Gharafa	Al Khor	2 : 1
6	Al-Sadd	Al-Kharitiyath	3 : 1
7	Al Wakra	Umm-Salal	1 : 4
8	Shamal	Al Arabi	3 : 1

Quarter-finals

1	Al Ahli Doha	Al-Shahaniya	2 : 1
2	Al Rayyan	Al-Duhail	3 : 2
3	Al-Gharafa	Al-Sadd	3 : 2
4	Umm-Salal	Shamal	2 : 1

Semi-finals

1	Al Ahli Doha	Al Rayyan	0 : 3
2	Al-Gharafa	Umm-Salal	4 : 2

Final

1

Al Rayyan

Al-Gharafa

1 : 2