Result
1:4
17/02/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- AFC Champions League - League phase - Round 8
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD |
 Australia | Paramount+ |
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Bulgaria | Nova Sport |
 China | iQIYI |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Hong-kong | HOY TV, M Plus Live |
 India | FanCode, FanCode, Vision+ |
 Indonesia | iNews, K-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel, RCTI, Vidio |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Macao | Macau Cable TV 34 Football |
 Malaysia | Astro Go, Astro Grandstand, Sooka |
 Mexico | Disney+, ESPN |
 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 Pakistan | Tapmad |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Qatar | Al Kass Five, Shoof |
 Russia | TV Start |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Turkey | Spor Smart 1 |
 Ukraine | Sport 3 |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 Vietnam | TV 360 |
 World | Onefootball, Sport 1 Baltic |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.38 | 2.16 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (397/464) | 87% (442/506) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.38 | 2.16 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.65 | 2.09 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 12 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 28 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (397/464) | 87% (442/506) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 64% (27/42) | 47% (20/43) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 73% (93/127) | 71% (50/70) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (4/15) | 45% (5/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.45 | 1.26 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 17 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (12/18) | 64% (9/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 41 | 40 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 11 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.09 | 0.65 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.91 | -0.35 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 3)
- 10', 0 - 1, Aouar H. ⚽,
- 18', 0 - 2, En Nesyri Y. ⚽, Doumbia M. (A),
- 25', Giovani ↓, Abweny A. ↑,
- 33', 0 - 3, Pedro Miguel (Own goal),
- 38', 1 - 3, Mujica R. ⚽, Roberto Firmino (A),
- 45+5', Mancini R. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 58', Fabinho 🟨,
- 63', En Nesyri Y. ↓, Ilenikhena G. ↑,
- 63', Doumbia M. ↓, Al Nashri A. ↑,
- 63', 1 - 4, Keller S. ⚽, Kadesh H. (A),
- 75', Roger ↓, Bergwijn S. ↑,
- 75', Aouar H. ↓, Al Bishi A. ↑,
- 78', Pereira D. ↓, Simic J. ↑,
- 84', Salman T. ↓, Saiss R. ↑,
- 84', Afif A. ↓, Ali H. ↑,
- 84', Pedro Miguel ↓, El Hannach Y. ↑,
- 84', Mujica R. ↓, Dilrosun J. ↑,
- 89', Al Nashri A. 🟨,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/mwnhez9b
Chances of winning
Al-Sadd
37.8% | Draw
26.9% | Al-Ittihad Jeddah
35.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al-Sadd has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)Al-Ittihad Jeddah has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Sadd than the current prediction. (+7.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Al-Sadd, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Ittihad Jeddah than the current prediction. (-4.2%)
Al-Sadd - Al-Ittihad Jeddah Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.48 ↑
(2.2) |
3.48 ↓
(3.74) |
2.66 ↓
(2.79) |
6.6%
(8.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Al-Sadd - Al-Ittihad Jeddah?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Al-Ittihad (1.91) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Al-Sadd will win
(24 of 29 users predict this - 82.76%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.01% – 96.51%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Al-Sadd will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%) 🥈 Silver Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 10 high ROI users predict this event. Al-Sadd (votes: 8 - 80%). Al-Ittihad (votes: 2 - 20%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- Al-Ittihad is Qualified for AFC Champions League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
- Al-Sadd is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Al-Ittihad is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Al-Ittihad may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- The teams have not played against each other recently.
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Sadd won against Al-Ittihad Jeddah?
Al-Sadd has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Ittihad Jeddah won against Al-Sadd?
Al-Ittihad Jeddah has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Al-Sadd - Al-Ittihad Jeddah were as follows:
Latest results of Al-Sadd
Latest results of Al-Ittihad Jeddah
AFC Champions League Table
League phaseEast | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Machida ✔ | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 15:7 | 8 | 17 |
| 2 | Vissel Kobe ✔ | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 14:7 | 7 | 16 |
| 3 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima ✔ | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 10:6 | 4 | 15 |
| 4 | Buriram | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 10:8 | 2 | 14 |
| 5 | Melbourne City ✔ | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 9:7 | 2 | 13 |
| 6 | Johor DT | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8:7 | 1 | 11 |
| 7 | Seoul | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 10:9 | 1 | 10 |
| 8 | Gangwon | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9:11 | -2 | 8 |
| 9 | Ulsan HD | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 8 |
| 10 | Chengdu Rongcheng | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7:11 | -4 | 6 |
| 11 | Shanghai Shenhua | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5:13 | -8 | 4 |
| 12 | Shanghai Port | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 2:11 | -9 | 3 |
West | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Al Hilal ✔ | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 17:6 | 11 | 22 |
| 2 | Al Ahli SC ✔ | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 21:9 | 12 | 17 |
| 3 | Tractor ✔ | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 12:4 | 8 | 17 |
| 4 | Al Ittihad ✔ | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 22:9 | 13 | 15 |
| 5 | Al Wahda ✔ | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 11:7 | 4 | 14 |
| 6 | Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 14:14 | 0 | 11 |
| 7 | Al-Duhail | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 16:16 | 0 | 8 |
| 8 | Al-Sadd | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 12:16 | -4 | 8 |
| 9 | Al Sharjah | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:16 | -8 | 8 |
| 10 | Al-Gharafa | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 7:21 | -14 | 6 |
| 11 | Al Shorta | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6:20 | -14 | 5 |
| 12 | Nasaf Qarshi | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9:17 | -8 | 4 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
Machida is Qualified for AFC Champions League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Vissel Kobe is Qualified for AFC Champions League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima is Qualified for AFC Champions League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Melbourne City is Qualified for AFC Champions League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Al Hilal is Qualified for AFC Champions League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Al Ahli SC is Qualified for AFC Champions League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Tractor is Qualified for AFC Champions League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Al Ittihad is Qualified for AFC Champions League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Al Wahda is Qualified for AFC Champions League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
