Result
0:3
29/12/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- QSL - Round 11
- Referee: Falahi S. A. (Qat)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA |
 Qatar | Shoof |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.56 | 1.91 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (323/401) | 83% (356/431) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.56 | 1.91 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.14 | 2.37 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (323/401) | 83% (356/431) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 44% (15/34) | 51% (29/57) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (62/91) | 64% (59/92) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (2/8) | 15% (2/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.33 | 0.94 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 28 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 85% (11/13) | 76% (13/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 30 | 41 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 16 | 13 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.37 | 0.14 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.63 | 0.14 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 18', 0 - 1, Mujica R. ⚽, Roberto Firmino (A),
- 45+4', Mujica R. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 50', 0 - 2, Mujica R. ⚽, Afif A. (A),
- 53', 0 - 3, Mujica R. ⚽,
- 56', Al Mannai M. 🟨,
- 65', Ali O. ↓, Seyam T. ↑,
- 65', Ebrahimi O. ↓, Belhanda Y. ↑,
- 70', Tawfik A. 🟨,
- 73', Paulo Otavio 🟨,
- 74', Al Mannai M. ↓, Azadi F. ↑,
- 74', Murillo J. ↓, Bounacer A. ↑,
- 76', Ali H. ↓, Meshaal M. ↑,
- 76', Paulo Otavio ↓, Waad M. ↑,
- 87', Afif A. ↓, Prim P. ↑,
- 90+3', Claudinho ↓, Asad A. ↑,
- 90+3', Mujica R. ↓, Al Yazidi A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Al-Shamal
21.7% | Draw
21.6% | Al-Sadd
56.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al-Shamal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Al-Shamal's form might have worsened.Al-Sadd has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Al-Sadd's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Shamal than the current prediction. (+10.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Al-Shamal, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Sadd than the current prediction. (-13%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Al-Sadd, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Al-Shamal - Al-Sadd Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.23 ↑
(3) |
4.26 ↑
(3.89) |
1.62 ↓
(2.06) |
8.8%
(7.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for Al-Shamal - Al-Sadd?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Al-Shamal will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Al-Sadd will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Al-Sadd: 50.6% – 100%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Al-Sadd will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Qualification: ) and 4).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Shamal won 1.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Al-Sadd may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Al-Sadd is a strong favorite.
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Al-Shamal won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 10:30. (average 1:3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Al-Shamal won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:15. (average 1.2:3).
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Shamal won against Al-Sadd?
Al-Shamal has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Sadd won against Al-Shamal?
Al-Sadd has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Al-Shamal - Al-Sadd were as follows:
12.01.2025
Al-Sadd
-
Al-Shamal
1:0
10.08.2024
Al-Shamal
-
Al-Sadd
2:1
24.04.2024
Al-Shamal
-
Al-Sadd
0:4
01.12.2023
Al-Sadd
-
Al-Shamal
4:0
17.03.2023
Al-Shamal
-
Al-Sadd
1:3
Latest results of Al-Shamal
Latest results of Al-Sadd
Qatar QSL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Al-Sadd | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 46:19 | 27 | 38 |
| 2 | Al-Gharafa | 17 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 29:23 | 6 | 34 |
| 3 | Shamal | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 29:18 | 11 | 31 |
| 4 | Al Rayyan | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 35:28 | 7 | 28 |
| 5 | Qatar SC | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 27:26 | 1 | 24 |
| 6 | Al Arabi | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 30:32 | -2 | 24 |
| 7 | Al Wakra | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 25:26 | -1 | 23 |
| 8 | Al-Duhail | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 27:21 | 6 | 21 |
| 9 | Umm-Salal | 17 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 29:45 | -16 | 16 |
| 10 | Al Sailiya | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 16:23 | -7 | 15 |
| 11 | Al Ahli Doha | 17 | 5 | 0 | 12 | 22:37 | -15 | 15 |
| 12 | Al-Shahaniya | 17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 15:32 | -17 | 14 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
QSL (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Division 2
