Result
3:2
24/01/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Super Cup UAE / Qatar - Final
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Disney+, ESPN 3 |
 Mexico | Disney+, ESPN 3 |
 North-central-america | ESPN 3 North |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.66 | 0.75 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 23 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (351/421) | 78% (257/329) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.66 | 0.75 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.77 | 1.35 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 23 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 19 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 36 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (351/421) | 78% (257/329) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 56% (28/50) | 43% (18/42) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 77% (88/114) | 62% (65/105) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 22% (6/27) | 43% (3/7) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.55 | 0.56 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 13 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 53% (9/17) | 60% (9/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 48 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 12 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.35 | 2.77 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.65 | -0.23 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 19', Kauan Santos 🟨,
- 30', 0 - 1, Yuri Cesar ⚽, Cartabia F. (A),
- 2nd Half (3 - 1)
- 46', Atal Y. ↓, El Hannach Y. ↑,
- 55', 1 - 1, Roberto Firmino (Penalty Awarded),
- 59', Kauan Santos ↓, Rikelme ↑,
- 70', Adil S. ↓, Mateusao ↑,
- 71', Ezatolahi S. ↓, Breno ↑,
- 71', Cartabia F. ↓, Al Mansouri M. ↑,
- 74', 2 - 1, Afif A. ⚽, Pedro Miguel (A),
- 78', 2 - 2, Al Mansouri M. ⚽, Yuri Cesar (A),
- 79', Yuri Cesar ↓, Al Ghassani Y. ↑,
- 83', Mujica R. ↓, Camara M. ↑,
- 84', Giovani ↓, Ali H. ↑,
- 90+4', Soria A. ↓, Al Haydos H. ↑,
- 90+6', 3 - 2, Roberto Firmino ⚽, Camara M. (A),
- 90+6', Roberto Firmino 🟨,
Chances of winning
Al-Sadd
33.8% | Draw
28.6% | Shabab Al-Ahli
37.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Al-Sadd - Shabab Al-Ahli Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.92 ↑
(2.82) |
3.46 ↑
(3.44) |
2.64 ↑
(2.22) |
1.1%
(9.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- Al-Sadd is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Shabab Al-Ahli is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Al-Sadd may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Al-Sadd won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2.
- Including home match between the teams, Al-Sadd won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Sadd won against Shabab Al-Ahli?
Al-Sadd has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Shabab Al-Ahli won against Al-Sadd?
Shabab Al-Ahli has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Al-Sadd - Shabab Al-Ahli were as follows:
23.12.2025
Al-Sadd
-
Shabab Al-Ahli
4:2
Latest results of Al-Sadd
Latest results of Shabab Al-Ahli
Draw
2026Final| 1 | Al-Gharafa | Al Sharjah | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Al Wahda | Al-Duhail | 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Al-Sadd | Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai | 3 : 2 |
| 4 | Al Jazira | Al Ahli Doha | 1 : 2 |
