Result
0:1
13/12/2025 at 09:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 9
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Lebanon | MTV One |
 World | FIFA+ |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 49', 0 - 1, Fadel K. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Al-Safa Beyrut
34.5% | Draw
29.4% | Al-Ahed
36% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al-Safa Beyrut has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)Al-Ahed has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Safa Beyrut than the current prediction. (-2.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Ahed than the current prediction. (+5%)
Al-Safa Beyrut - Al-Ahed Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.61 ↓
(2.66) |
3.06 ↓
(3.35) |
2.5 ↑
(2.36) |
11%
(9.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Winners stage: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Winners stage: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Safa won 1.
- Al-Safa is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Al-Ahed's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Al-Safa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Al-Safa won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 16:35. (average 0.8:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Al-Safa won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 6:16. (average 0.7:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Safa Beyrut won against Al-Ahed?
Al-Safa Beyrut has won 1 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Ahed won against Al-Safa Beyrut?
Al-Ahed has won 4 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Al-Safa Beyrut - Al-Ahed were as follows:
12.07.2025
Al-Ahed
-
Al-Safa Beyrut
1:1
15.06.2025
Al-Ahed
-
Al-Safa Beyrut
1:2
01.05.2025
Al-Safa Beyrut
-
Al-Ahed
0:0
18.02.2025
Al-Ahed
-
Al-Safa Beyrut
0:0
28.06.2024
Al-Ahed
-
Al-Safa Beyrut
2:1
Latest results of Al-Safa Beyrut
Latest results of Al-Ahed
Lebanese Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Al Ansar | 17 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 37:8 | 29 | 41 |
| 2 | Jwayya | 16 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 25:6 | 19 | 32 |
| 3 | Nejmeh SC | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 28:8 | 20 | 31 |
| 4 | Al Ahed | 16 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 24:15 | 9 | 31 |
| 5 | Safa | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 19:10 | 9 | 26 |
| 6 | Al Sahel | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 15:16 | -1 | 20 |
| 7 | Al Hikma | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 17:19 | -2 | 20 |
| 8 | Al-Mabarrah | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 8:15 | -7 | 18 |
| 9 | Al Riyadi Abbasiyah | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 12:22 | -10 | 17 |
| 10 | Tadamon | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 9:17 | -8 | 13 |
| 11 | Racing | 16 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 4:50 | -46 | 1 |
| 12 | Bourj FC | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 8:20 | -12 | 10 |
Promotion ~ AFC Challenge League
Relegation
