Tripoli vs Al-Safa Beyrut – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Lebanese Premier League Tripoli - Al-Safa Beyrut
Result
2:4
01/10/2023 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • LEBANON: PREMIER LEAGUE - ROUND 6

Chances of winning


Tripoli
26.7%
Draw
26.1%
Al-Safa Beyrut
47.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.1% 28.8% 32.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.4% 29.7% 31.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tripoli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tripoli's form might have worsened.
  • Al-Safa Beyrut has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Al-Safa Beyrut's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tripoli than the current prediction. (+13.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tripoli, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Safa Beyrut than the current prediction. (-16.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Al-Safa Beyrut, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Tripoli - Al-Safa Beyrut Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.42
    (2.31)
    3.5
    (3.15)
    1.93
    (2.82)
    9.7%
    (10.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 10 in the zone Premier League (Losers stage: ) and 7 in the zone Premier League (Losers stage: )).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Tripoli won 2.
    • Tripoli is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Recent matches Al-Safa is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recently Tripoli have a series of home games.
    • Recently Al-Safa have a series of guest games.
    • Al-Safa will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 9 head-to-head matches Tripoli won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 13-9.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Tripoli won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-5.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tripoli - Al-Safa Beyrut were as follows:
    19.02.2023 Tripoli - Al-Safa Beyrut 1:1
    08.01.2023 Al-Safa Beyrut - Tripoli 1:2
    11.12.2022 Al-Safa Beyrut - Tripoli 0:0
    Latest results of Tripoli
    22.09.2023 Tripoli - Racing Beirut 2:2
    26.08.2023 Tripoli - Al-Ansar Beirut 1:2
    13.08.2023 Tripoli - Shabab Al Sahel 0:0
    05.08.2023 Tripoli - Bourj 0:1
    Latest results of Al-Safa Beyrut
    Lebanese Premier League Table
    Winners stage
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Al Ansar26203358:154348
    2Safa26186259:194046
    3Al Ahed26145755:342133
    4Nejmeh SC26117841:301132
    5Al Hikma26861228:37-922
    6Tadamon26551623:52-2913

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