Al-Nahda vs Al-Shabab Riyadh – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
11/02/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Gulf Club Champions League - Round 5

Match Stats

Yellow cards
31

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 12', Al Thani M. 🟨,
  • 14', Oloumou P. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Al Thani M. , Al Saqour F. ,
  • 46', Azaizeh A. , Hamdallah A. ,
  • 59', 0 - 1, Hernandez U. , Brownhill J. (A),
  • 62', Al Habsi H. , Al Habsi M. ,
  • 63', Moosa A. , Al Saadi H. ,
  • 70', Gui I. , Al Tamtami A. ,
  • 79', Balobaid S. , Al Sibyani H. K. A. ,
  • 83', Al Hammami H. , Camara H. ,
  • 84', Al Rushaidi T. 🟨,
  • 84', Brownhill J. , Adli Y. ,
  • 87', Al Habashi G. , Al Rawahi M. ,
  • 87', Oloumou P. , Al Wahshi J. ,
  • 90', 1 - 1, Al Habsi M. , Al Saadi H. (A),
  • 90+1', Al Habsi M. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Al-Nahda
27.4%
Draw
32.5%
Al-Shabab Riyadh
40.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.1% 29.5% 36.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.2% 29.6% 36.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Al-Nahda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Al-Nahda's form might have worsened.
  • Al-Shabab Riyadh has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Nahda than the current prediction. (+6.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Al-Nahda, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Shabab Riyadh than the current prediction. (-3.8%)
  • Al-Nahda - Al-Shabab Riyadh Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.35
    (2.71)
    2.82
    (3.14)
    2.28
    (2.54)
    9.1%
    (8.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Al-Nahda - Al-Shabab Riyadh?
  • Users Predictions: Al-Shabab Riyadh will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Nahda won 1.
    • Al-Nahda has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Al-Shabab has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Al-Nahda may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Al-Shabab will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Al-Nahda won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 22:18. (average 1.6:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Al-Nahda won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:7. (average 1.7:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Al-Nahda - Al-Shabab Riyadh were as follows:
    01.10.2025 Al-Shabab Riyadh - Al-Nahda 1:1
    Latest results of Al-Nahda
    02.02.2026 Al-Nahda - Bahla 0:1
    29.01.2026 Al-Nahda - Al-Seeb 2:0
    24.01.2026 Al-Seeb - Al-Nahda 2:1
    20.01.2026 Al-Seeb - Al-Nahda 1:0
    16.01.2026 Al-Nahda - Al-Nasr Salalah 0:1
    Latest results of Al-Shabab Riyadh
    Gulf Club Champions League Table
    Main

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Zakho64119:4513
    2Al Qadisiya63125:5010
    3Al Ain63036:519
    4Sitra60244:10-62


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Al Rayyan633015:51012
    2Al Shabab614118:7117
    3Al Nahda61416:7-17
    4Tadamone Hadramout61143:23-204

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