Result
3:0
27/12/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- QSL - Round 11
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA |
 Qatar | Shoof |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.12 | 1.18 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (250/336) | 81% (341/422) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.12 | 1.18 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.81 | 0.85 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 11 | 24 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 24 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (250/336) | 81% (341/422) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 36% (24/67) | 42% (22/53) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 56% (41/73) | 64% (76/119) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 11% (1/9) | 43% (9/21) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.18 | 1.42 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 24 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 68% (17/25) | 64% (9/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 55 | 57 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.85 | 1.81 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.85 | -1.19 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 4', 1 - 0, Sayyar M. ⚽,
- 22', 2 - 0, Sayyar M. ⚽, van Amersfoort P. (A),
- 36', Abdulnasir C. ↓, Hamed J. ↑,
- 44', El Jemili J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 52', van Amersfoort P. 🟨,
- 54', Djalo A. ↓, Coman F. ↑,
- 54', Boussafi R. ↓, Ktit Z. ↑,
- 63', Coman F. 🟨,
- 64', 3 - 0, Madjer L. ⚽, Mutasem M. (A),
- 67', Sano S. 🟨,
- 83', El Jemili J. ↓, Antonucci F. ↑,
- 83', Mutasem M. ↓, Al Wadie M. ↑,
- 90', van Amersfoort P. ↓, Jorge A. ↑,
- 90+2', Madjer L. ↓, Kamal H. ↑,
- 90+4', Gunnarsson A. ↓, Al Khlif Y. M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Al-Shahania
19.1% | Draw
20.9% | Al-Gharafa
60% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al-Shahania has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)Al-Gharafa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Shahania than the current prediction. (+2.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Gharafa than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
Al-Shahania - Al-Gharafa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.82 ↑
(4.24) |
4.39 ↓
(4.78) |
1.53 ↓
(1.59) |
8.8%
(7.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Al-Shahania - Al-Gharafa?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Al-Gharafa (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 12 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 2 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Shahania won 2.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Al-Shahania may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Al-Shahania has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Al-Gharafa is a strong favorite.
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Al-Shahania won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 19:28. (average 1.5:2.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Al-Shahania won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:13. (average 2.3:2.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Shahania won against Al-Gharafa?
Al-Shahania has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Gharafa won against Al-Shahania?
Al-Gharafa has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Al-Shahania - Al-Gharafa were as follows:
18.04.2025
Al-Gharafa
-
Al-Shahania
1:2
08.12.2024
Al-Shahania
-
Al-Gharafa
2:4
09.04.2023
Al-Shahania
-
Al-Gharafa
4:3
Latest results of Al-Shahania
Latest results of Al-Gharafa
Qatar QSL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Al-Sadd | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 46:19 | 27 | 38 |
| 2 | Al-Gharafa | 17 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 29:23 | 6 | 34 |
| 3 | Shamal | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 29:18 | 11 | 31 |
| 4 | Al Rayyan | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 35:28 | 7 | 28 |
| 5 | Qatar SC | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 27:26 | 1 | 24 |
| 6 | Al Arabi | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 30:32 | -2 | 24 |
| 7 | Al Wakra | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 23:24 | -1 | 22 |
| 8 | Al-Duhail | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 27:21 | 6 | 21 |
| 9 | Al Sailiya | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 16:23 | -7 | 15 |
| 10 | Al Ahli Doha | 16 | 5 | 0 | 11 | 21:35 | -14 | 15 |
| 11 | Umm-Salal | 16 | 5 | 0 | 11 | 27:43 | -16 | 15 |
| 12 | Al-Shahaniya | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 13:31 | -18 | 11 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
QSL (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Division 2
