Al-Shahania vs Al-Gharafa – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:0
27/12/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • QSL - Round 11
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.121.18
Ball Possession
44%56%
Total shots
1013
Shots on target
73
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
17
Passes
74% (250/336)81% (341/422)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
1.121.18
xG on target (xGOT)
1.810.85
Total shots
1013
Shots on target
73
Shots off target
29
Blocked Shots
11
Shots inside the Box
710
Shots outside the Box
33
Hit the Woodwork
03
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
17
Touches in opposition box
1124
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
24
Free Kicks
824
Passes
74% (250/336)81% (341/422)
Long passes
36% (24/67)42% (22/53)
Passes in final third
56% (41/73)64% (76/119)
Crosses
11% (1/9)43% (9/21)
Expected assists (xA)
0.181.42
Throw-ins
1824
Fouls
248
Tackles
68% (17/25)64% (9/14)
Duels won
5557
Clearances
2019
Interceptions
138
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
33
xGOT faced
0.851.81
Goals prevented
0.85-1.19

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 4', 1 - 0, Sayyar M. ,
  • 22', 2 - 0, Sayyar M. , van Amersfoort P. (A),
  • 36', Abdulnasir C. , Hamed J. ,
  • 44', El Jemili J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 52', van Amersfoort P. 🟨,
  • 54', Djalo A. , Coman F. ,
  • 54', Boussafi R. , Ktit Z. ,
  • 63', Coman F. 🟨,
  • 64', 3 - 0, Madjer L. , Mutasem M. (A),
  • 67', Sano S. 🟨,
  • 83', El Jemili J. , Antonucci F. ,
  • 83', Mutasem M. , Al Wadie M. ,
  • 90', van Amersfoort P. , Jorge A. ,
  • 90+2', Madjer L. , Kamal H. ,
  • 90+4', Gunnarsson A. , Al Khlif Y. M. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Al-Shahania
19.1%
Draw
20.9%
Al-Gharafa
60%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
22% 19.5% 58.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.3% 18.9% 60.5%

Al-Shahania - Al-Gharafa Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
4.82
(4.24)
4.39
(4.78)
1.53
(1.59)
8.8%
(7.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Al-Shahania - Al-Gharafa?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Al-Gharafa (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 12 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 2 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Shahania won 2.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Al-Shahania may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Al-Shahania has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Al-Gharafa is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Al-Shahania won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 19:28. (average 1.5:2.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Al-Shahania won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:13. (average 2.3:2.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Al-Shahania - Al-Gharafa were as follows:
    18.04.2025 Al-Gharafa - Al-Shahania 1:2
    08.12.2024 Al-Shahania - Al-Gharafa 2:4
    09.04.2023 Al-Shahania - Al-Gharafa 4:3
    Latest results of Al-Shahania
    14.12.2025 Al-Shahania - Al Duhail 2:0
    06.12.2025 Lusail City - Al-Shahania 1:1
    27.11.2025 Al-Wakrah - Al-Shahania 3:0
    23.11.2025 Al-Shamal - Al-Shahania 4:0
    14.11.2025 Qatar SC - Al-Shahania 0:1
    Latest results of Al-Gharafa
    22.12.2025 Al-Gharafa - Al-Wahda 1:0
    13.12.2025 Al-Wakrah - Al-Gharafa 2:3
    21.11.2025 Al-Gharafa - Al-Wakrah 1:0
    14.11.2025 Al Duhail - Al-Gharafa 1:0
    Qatar QSL Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Al-Gharafa14101326:19731
    2Al-Sadd1492336:171929
    3Shamal1474326:17925
    4Al Rayyan1473428:21724
    5Al Arabi1472528:29-123
    6Al-Duhail1555525:17820
    7Qatar SC1462620:20020
    8Al Wakra1454519:19019
    9Al Ahli Doha1450918:30-1215
    10Al Sailiya1433815:22-712
    11Umm-Salal15401126:43-1712
    12Al-Shahaniya1432910:23-1311

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
          QSL (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Division 2