Result
1:2
18/04/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- QSL - Round 22
- Referee: Ahmed M. N. (Qat)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, TOD |
 Qatar | Shoof |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.40 | 0.90 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (444/511) | 83% (326/395) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.40 | 0.90 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.88 | 1.39 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 33 | 13 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (444/511) | 83% (326/395) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 69% (41/59) | 45% (29/64) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 74% (84/114) | 71% (67/94) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 30% (6/20) | 7% (1/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.29 | 1.84 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 78% (18/23) | 60% (12/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 57 | 50 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 21 | 24 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.39 | 1.88 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.61 | 0.88 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 16', 1 - 0, Joselu ⚽, Ismaeil H. (A),
- 28', 1 - 1, van Amersfoort P. ⚽, Antonucci F. (A),
- 33', Mutasem M. 🟨,
- 41', Nani M. 🟨,
- 42', 1 - 2, van Amersfoort P. ⚽, Antonucci F. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Sassi F. ↓, Brahimi Y. ↑,
- 46', Nani M. ↓, Al Ganehi A. ↑,
- 46', Fadlalla S. ↓, Surag A. ↑,
- 46', Boussafi R. ↓, Traore D. ↑,
- 62', Ismaeil H. ↓, Rodrigo ↑,
- 70', Diaz F. 🟨,
- 83', Al Wadie M. ↓, Mussed A. ↑,
- 85', van Amersfoort P. 🟨,
- 90+4', Koroma A. ↓, Abushanab M. ↑,
- 90+5', Abushanab M. 🟨,
- 90+6', Madibo A. O. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Al-Gharafa
49.5% | Draw
22.5% | Al-Shahania
28% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al-Gharafa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Al-Gharafa's form might have worsened.Al-Shahania has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Al-Shahania's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Gharafa than the current prediction. (+19.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Al-Gharafa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Shahania than the current prediction. (-13.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Al-Shahania, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Al-Gharafa - Al-Shahania Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.88 ↑
(1.41) |
4.12 ↓
(4.87) |
3.32 ↓
(6.16) |
7.7%
(7.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for Al-Gharafa - Al-Shahania?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Al-Gharafa (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2 and 8).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Al-Gharafa won 3.
- Recent matches Al-Gharafa is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Al-Shahania has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Al-Gharafa will have a mini benefit in this match.
- Last 12 head-to-head matches Al-Gharafa won 7 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 27:17 (average 2.3:1.4).
- Including matches at home between the teams Al-Gharafa won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 14:3 (average 2.3:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Gharafa won against Al-Shahania?
Al-Gharafa has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Shahania won against Al-Gharafa?
Al-Shahania has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Al-Gharafa - Al-Shahania were as follows:
08.12.2024
Al-Shahania
-
Al-Gharafa
2:4
09.04.2023
Al-Shahania
-
Al-Gharafa
4:3
Latest results of Al-Gharafa
Latest results of Al-Shahania
Draw
RelegationFinal| 1 | Umm-Salal | Al Markhiya | 2 : 1 |
