Result
4:2
07/01/2026 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- QSL - Round 12
- Referee: Ahmed M. N. (Qat)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, TOD |
 Qatar | Al Kass One, Shoof |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.90 | 0.50 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 31% | 69% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 68% (150/219) | 85% (434/512) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.90 | 0.50 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.17 | 0.45 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 26 | 26 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 68% (150/219) | 85% (434/512) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 33% (17/51) | 58% (26/45) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 58% (33/57) | 69% (83/121) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 45% (5/11) | 24% (4/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.94 | 0.62 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 23 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 72% (13/18) | 66% (19/29) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 58 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 38 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.45 | 2.17 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.55 | -1.83 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 1)
- 3', 1 - 0, Yansane S. ⚽,
- 7', 1 - 1, Collado A. ⚽, Belhanda Y. (A),
- 9', 2 - 1, Yansane S. ⚽, Vlap M. (A),
- 10', Mohammed H. 🟨,
- 22', 3 - 1, Vlap M. ⚽, Exposito E. (A),
- 38', Diallo I. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 49', 3 - 2, Mohamed O. ⚽,
- 56', Mohammed H. ↓, Yassine I. ↑,
- 56', Ebrahimi O. ↓, Bounacer A. ↑,
- 56', Khoder M. ↓, Seyam T. ↑,
- 66', Tawfik A. 🟨,
- 71', Al Ishaq M. 🟨,
- 74', 4 - 2, Yansane S. ⚽, Vlap M. (A),
- 79', Tawfik A. ↓, El Hannach Y. ↑,
- 89', Al Mannai M. ↓, Al Saeed A. ↑,
- 90+2', Exposito E. ↓, Gannan S. ↑,
- 90+5', Vlap M. ↓, Mohammed K. ↑,
- 90+6', Al Saeed A. 🟨,
- 90+8', Yansane S. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Al-Ahli Doha
27.9% | Draw
24.7% | Al-Shamal
47.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Al-Ahli Doha - Al-Shamal Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.3 ↑
(3.21) |
3.72 ↑
(3.65) |
1.94 ↓
(2.03) |
8.7%
(7.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Al-Ahli Doha - Al-Shamal?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Al-Ahli Doha will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Al-Shamal will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Al-Shamal: 23.1% – 88.1%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Al-Shamal (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +0.25 - Al-Shamal (1.99) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- DC - Al-Ahli Doha (1.63) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Al-Ahli Doha (votes: 1 - 25%). Al-Shamal (votes: 3 - 75%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 9 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Ahli Doha won 2.
- Al-Ahli Doha is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Al-Shamal's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Al-Ahli Doha may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Al-Shamal has had a series of home games.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Al-Ahli Doha won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 18:21. (average 1.3:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Al-Ahli Doha won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:8. (average 1.2:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Ahli Doha won against Al-Shamal?
Al-Ahli Doha has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Shamal won against Al-Ahli Doha?
Al-Shamal has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Al-Ahli Doha - Al-Shamal were as follows:
14.12.2025
Al-Shamal
-
Al-Ahli Doha
0:1
14.08.2025
Al-Shamal
-
Al-Ahli Doha
2:0
28.02.2025
Al-Ahli Doha
-
Al-Shamal
1:1
27.09.2024
Al-Shamal
-
Al-Ahli Doha
2:4
29.03.2024
Al-Shamal
-
Al-Ahli Doha
2:1
Latest results of Al-Ahli Doha
Latest results of Al-Shamal
Qatar QSL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Al-Gharafa | 14 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 26:19 | 7 | 31 |
| 2 | Al-Sadd | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 36:17 | 19 | 29 |
| 3 | Shamal | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 26:17 | 9 | 25 |
| 4 | Al Rayyan | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 28:21 | 7 | 24 |
| 5 | Al Arabi | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 28:29 | -1 | 23 |
| 6 | Al-Duhail | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 25:17 | 8 | 20 |
| 7 | Qatar SC | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 20:20 | 0 | 20 |
| 8 | Al Wakra | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 19:19 | 0 | 19 |
| 9 | Al Ahli Doha | 14 | 5 | 0 | 9 | 18:30 | -12 | 15 |
| 10 | Al Sailiya | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 15:22 | -7 | 12 |
| 11 | Umm-Salal | 15 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 26:43 | -17 | 12 |
| 12 | Al-Shahaniya | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 10:23 | -13 | 11 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
QSL (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Division 2
