Result
3:2
13/09/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- QSL - Round 4
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Asia | beIN Connect MENA |
Qatar | Shoof |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.61 | 0.80 |
Ball Possession |
---|
42% | 58% |
Total shots |
---|
19 | 12 |
Shots on target |
---|
7 | 3 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
7 | 4 |
Passes |
---|
74% (233/314) | 82% (350/425) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
2 | 3 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.61 | 0.80 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
2.44 | 0.50 |
Total shots |
---|
19 | 12 |
Shots on target |
---|
7 | 3 |
Shots off target |
---|
9 | 6 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
3 | 3 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
15 | 8 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
4 | 4 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
1 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
7 | 4 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
32 | 25 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
1 | 2 |
Free Kicks |
---|
13 | 11 |
Passes |
---|
74% (233/314) | 82% (350/425) |
Long passes |
---|
48% (31/64) | 45% (29/65) |
Passes in final third |
---|
60% (63/105) | 68% (62/91) |
Crosses |
---|
33% (4/12) | 22% (4/18) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.47 | 0.72 |
Throw-ins |
---|
13 | 21 |
Fouls |
---|
12 | 13 |
Tackles |
---|
55% (6/11) | 64% (9/14) |
Duels won |
---|
44 | 46 |
Clearances |
---|
31 | 23 |
Interceptions |
---|
5 | 7 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 1 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 1 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
1 | 4 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.50 | 2.44 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-1.50 | -0.56 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 26', Olunga M. ↓, Al Naimat Y. ↑,
- 28', Fathi A. 🟨,
- 32', 1 - 0, Al Mannai M. ⚽, Bounedjah B. (A),
- 45', Bounedjah B. 🟨,
- 45+1', 1 - 1, Al Naimat Y. ⚽, Lihadji I. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 63', Al Hussain A. 🟨,
- 64', 2 - 1, Bounedjah B. (Pen),
- 67', Lihadji I. ↓, Rodri ↑,
- 67', Moein Doozandeh A. ↓, Gouda M. ↑,
- 68', 3 - 1, Al Mannai M. ⚽, Sliti N. (A),
- 74', 3 - 2, Veretout J. ⚽, Hassan Y. (A),
- 76', Tawfik A. ↓, El Hannach Y. ↑,
- 76', Khoder M. ↓, Seyam T. ↑,
- 83', Termanini M. ↓, Musa M. ↑,
- 85', Sliti N. ↓, Collado A. ↑,
- 90', Maarafiya A. ↓, Reda S. ↑,
- 90+3', Hernandez J. 🟨,
- 90+4', Awad M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Al-Shamal 37.5% | Draw 24.3% | Al-Arabi Doha 38.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al-Shamal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Al-Shamal's form might have worsened.Al-Arabi Doha has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Shamal than the current prediction. (+7.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Al-Shamal, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Arabi Doha than the current prediction. (-6.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Al-Arabi Doha, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Al-Shamal - Al-Arabi Doha Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.46 ↑ (2.19) |
3.79 ↓ (3.92) |
2.42 ↓ (2.83) |
8.4% (6.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Al-Shamal - Al-Arabi Doha?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Al-Shamal (votes: 2 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Al-Shamal will win
(4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 44.94% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: ) and 7).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Shamal won 2.
- Al-Shamal has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Al-Arabi is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Al-Arabi may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Al-Shamal has had a series of home games.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Al-Shamal won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 17:34. (average 1.1:2.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Al-Shamal won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:14. (average 1.6:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Shamal won against Al-Arabi Doha?
Al-Shamal has won 2 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Arabi Doha won against Al-Shamal?
Al-Arabi Doha has won 6 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Al-Shamal - Al-Arabi Doha were as follows:
07.05.2025
Al-Shamal
-
Al-Arabi Doha
3:1
08.03.2025
Al-Arabi Doha
-
Al-Shamal
1:0
16.11.2024
Al-Arabi Doha
-
Al-Shamal
3:0
19.10.2024
Al-Shamal
-
Al-Arabi Doha
5:2
20.12.2023
Al-Shamal
-
Al-Arabi Doha
0:0
Latest results of Al-Shamal
Latest results of Al-Arabi Doha
Qatar QSL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Shamal | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 12:6 | 6 | 14 |
2 | Qatar SC | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 10:4 | 6 | 14 |
3 | Al-Gharafa | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 11:7 | 4 | 13 |
4 | Al Wakra | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 12:11 | 1 | 11 |
5 | Al Rayyan | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12:9 | 3 | 10 |
6 | Al-Duhail | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 13:6 | 7 | 8 |
7 | Al-Sadd | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8:6 | 2 | 8 |
8 | Umm-Salal | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 12:15 | -3 | 6 |
9 | Al Ahli Doha | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7:13 | -6 | 6 |
10 | Al-Shahaniya | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3:7 | -4 | 4 |
11 | Al Arabi | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9:21 | -12 | 4 |
12 | Al Sailiya | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 7:11 | -4 | 3 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
QSL (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Division 2