Result
1:2
05/02/2026 at 11:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- QSL - Round 15
- Referee: Al Mazeed M. A. (Qat)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3 |
 Qatar | Al Kass Six, Shoof |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.29 | 3.01 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 63% | 37% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 21 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (370/437) | 75% (196/262) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.29 | 3.01 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.13 | 1.75 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 21 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 11 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 15 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 26 | 37 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (370/437) | 75% (196/262) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 59% (33/56) | 32% (14/44) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 74% (83/112) | 64% (48/75) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 35% (12/34) | 36% (4/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.42 | 0.94 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 24 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 88% (7/8) | 69% (11/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 42 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 16 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.75 | 1.13 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.25 | 0.13 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 22', Perez A. 🟨,
- 28', 0 - 1, Ebrahimi O. (Penalty Awarded),
- 32', Fathi A. 🟨,
- 41', Ebrahimi O. 🟨,
- 45', Khoder M. 🟨,
- 45+1', Murillo J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 54', Abdulla Maarafiya 🟨,
- 56', Al Mannai M. (Penalty Awarded),
- 66', Prim P. ↓, Seyam T. ↑,
- 66', Khoder M. ↓, Tawfik A. ↑,
- 67', 1 - 1, Toko Ekambi K. ⚽, Rodri (A),
- 72', Sherif M. ↓, Al Naimi M. ↑,
- 73', Mohamed O. ↓, Ounas A. ↑,
- 74', Murillo J. ↓, Bounacer A. ↑,
- 82', Collado A. 🟨,
- 85', Al Naimi M. 🟨,
- 86', 1 - 2, Ounas A. ⚽, Collado A. (A),
- 87', Toko Ekambi K. ↓, Gouda M. ↑,
- 90', Collado A. ↓, Majed I. ↑,
- 90+5', Lihadji I. ↓, Simo ↑,
- 90+8', Laye G. 🟥,
Chances of winning
Al-Arabi Doha
44% | Draw
24.2% | Al-Shamal
31.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al-Arabi Doha has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Al-Arabi Doha's performance.Al-Shamal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Al-Shamal might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Arabi Doha than the current prediction. (-11.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Al-Arabi Doha that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Shamal than the current prediction. (+9.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Al-Shamal could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Al-Arabi Doha - Al-Shamal Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.1 ↓
(2.73) |
3.81 ↑
(3.53) |
2.9 ↑
(2.34) |
8.3%
(7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Al-Arabi Doha - Al-Shamal?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Al-Arabi will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Al-Shamal will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 5 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Arabi won 2.
- Al-Arabi is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Al-Shamal has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Recently, Al-Shamal has had a series of away games.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Al-Arabi won 11 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 36:23. (average 2:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Al-Arabi won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 20:9. (average 2:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Arabi Doha won against Al-Shamal?
Al-Arabi Doha has won 6 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Shamal won against Al-Arabi Doha?
Al-Shamal has won 4 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Al-Arabi Doha - Al-Shamal were as follows:
14.11.2025
Al-Arabi Doha
-
Al-Shamal
0:3
13.09.2025
Al-Shamal
-
Al-Arabi Doha
3:2
07.05.2025
Al-Shamal
-
Al-Arabi Doha
3:1
08.03.2025
Al-Arabi Doha
-
Al-Shamal
1:0
16.11.2024
Al-Arabi Doha
-
Al-Shamal
3:0
Latest results of Al-Arabi Doha
Latest results of Al-Shamal
Qatar QSL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Al-Sadd | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 46:19 | 27 | 38 |
| 2 | Al-Gharafa | 17 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 29:23 | 6 | 34 |
| 3 | Shamal | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 29:18 | 11 | 31 |
| 4 | Al Rayyan | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 35:28 | 7 | 28 |
| 5 | Qatar SC | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 27:26 | 1 | 24 |
| 6 | Al Arabi | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 30:32 | -2 | 24 |
| 7 | Al Wakra | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 23:24 | -1 | 22 |
| 8 | Al-Duhail | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 27:21 | 6 | 21 |
| 9 | Al Sailiya | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 16:23 | -7 | 15 |
| 10 | Al Ahli Doha | 16 | 5 | 0 | 11 | 21:35 | -14 | 15 |
| 11 | Umm-Salal | 16 | 5 | 0 | 11 | 27:43 | -16 | 15 |
| 12 | Al-Shahaniya | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 13:31 | -18 | 11 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
QSL (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Division 2
