Result
3:2
13/09/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- QSL - Round 4
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA |
 Qatar | Shoof |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.61 | 0.80 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 42% | 58% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (233/314) | 82% (350/425) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.61 | 0.80 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.44 | 0.50 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 15 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 32 | 25 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (233/314) | 82% (350/425) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 48% (31/64) | 45% (29/65) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 60% (63/105) | 68% (62/91) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (4/12) | 22% (4/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.47 | 0.72 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 13 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 55% (6/11) | 64% (9/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 31 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.50 | 2.44 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.50 | -0.56 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 26', Olunga M. ↓, Al Naimat Y. ↑,
- 28', Fathi A. 🟨,
- 32', 1 - 0, Al Mannai M. ⚽, Bounedjah B. (A),
- 45', Bounedjah B. 🟨,
- 45+1', 1 - 1, Al Naimat Y. ⚽, Lihadji I. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 63', Al Hussain A. 🟨,
- 64', 2 - 1, Bounedjah B. (Pen),
- 67', Lihadji I. ↓, Rodri ↑,
- 67', Moein Doozandeh A. ↓, Gouda M. ↑,
- 68', 3 - 1, Al Mannai M. ⚽, Sliti N. (A),
- 74', 3 - 2, Veretout J. ⚽, Hassan Y. (A),
- 76', Tawfik A. ↓, El Hannach Y. ↑,
- 76', Khoder M. ↓, Seyam T. ↑,
- 83', Termanini M. ↓, Musa M. ↑,
- 85', Sliti N. ↓, Collado A. ↑,
- 90', Maarafiya A. ↓, Reda S. ↑,
- 90+3', Hernandez J. 🟨,
- 90+4', Awad M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Al-Shamal
37.5% | Draw
24.3% | Al-Arabi Doha
38.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al-Shamal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Al-Shamal's form might have worsened.Al-Arabi Doha has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Shamal than the current prediction. (+7.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Al-Shamal, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Arabi Doha than the current prediction. (-6.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Al-Arabi Doha, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Al-Shamal - Al-Arabi Doha Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.46 ↑
(2.19) |
3.79 ↓
(3.92) |
2.42 ↓
(2.83) |
8.4%
(6.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Al-Shamal - Al-Arabi Doha?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Al-Shamal (votes: 2 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Al-Shamal will win
(4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 44.94% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: ) and 7).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Shamal won 2.
- Al-Shamal has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Al-Arabi is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Al-Arabi may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Al-Shamal has had a series of home games.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Al-Shamal won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 17:34. (average 1.1:2.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Al-Shamal won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:14. (average 1.6:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Shamal won against Al-Arabi Doha?
Al-Shamal has won 2 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Arabi Doha won against Al-Shamal?
Al-Arabi Doha has won 6 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Al-Shamal - Al-Arabi Doha were as follows:
07.05.2025
Al-Shamal
-
Al-Arabi Doha
3:1
08.03.2025
Al-Arabi Doha
-
Al-Shamal
1:0
16.11.2024
Al-Arabi Doha
-
Al-Shamal
3:0
19.10.2024
Al-Shamal
-
Al-Arabi Doha
5:2
20.12.2023
Al-Shamal
-
Al-Arabi Doha
0:0
Latest results of Al-Shamal
Latest results of Al-Arabi Doha
Qatar QSL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Shamal | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 11:5 | 6 | 13 |
| 2 | Qatar SC | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 9:3 | 6 | 13 |
| 3 | Al Rayyan | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10:6 | 4 | 10 |
| 4 | Al-Gharafa | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8:5 | 3 | 10 |
| 5 | Al Wakra | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9:9 | 0 | 8 |
| 6 | Al-Duhail | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 13:6 | 7 | 7 |
| 7 | Al-Sadd | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8:6 | 2 | 7 |
| 8 | Umm-Salal | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10:12 | -2 | 6 |
| 9 | Al-Shahaniya | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2:5 | -3 | 4 |
| 10 | Al Arabi | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9:17 | -8 | 4 |
| 11 | Al Ahli Doha | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5:12 | -7 | 3 |
| 12 | Al Sailiya | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3:11 | -8 | 0 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
QSL (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Division 2
