Result
0:1
22/02/2026 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- QSL - Round 16
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD |
 Qatar | Shoof |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.43 | 0.48 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (309/375) | 84% (342/409) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.43 | 0.48 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.24 | 0.86 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (309/375) | 84% (342/409) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 48% (31/65) | 60% (38/63) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (54/78) | 64% (65/101) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 36% (8/22) | 20% (2/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.99 | 0.59 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 21 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 69% (9/13) | 73% (11/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 36 | 48 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.86 | 0.24 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.14 | 0.24 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 33', Bounedjah B. 🟨,
- 41', Al Khlif Y. M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 50', Sassi F. 🟨,
- 57', Al Mannai M. ↓, Khoder M. ↑,
- 68', 0 - 1, Mohamed O. ⚽, Murillo J. (A),
- 70', Al Khlif Y. M. ↓, Boussafi R. ↑,
- 72', Bounedjah B. 🟨,
- 75', Fadlalla S. 🟨,
- 76', Gunnarsson A. ↓, Coman F. ↑,
- 78', Collado A. ↓, Tawfik A. ↑,
- 81', Brahimi Y. ↓, Djalo A. ↑,
- 88', Ebrahimi O. ↓, Bounacer A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Al-Gharafa
32.9% | Draw
25.8% | Al-Shamal
41.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al-Gharafa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)Al-Shamal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Gharafa than the current prediction. (+3.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Shamal than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
Al-Gharafa - Al-Shamal Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.83 ↑
(2.5) |
3.61 ↓
(3.72) |
2.25 ↓
(2.45) |
7.6%
(7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Al-Gharafa - Al-Shamal?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +0.5 - Al-Gharafa (1.48) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Al-Gharafa (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Qualification: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Gharafa won 1.
- Al-Gharafa has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Al-Shamal is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Al-Gharafa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Al-Gharafa won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 24:15. (average 1.7:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Al-Gharafa won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:7. (average 2.1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Gharafa won against Al-Shamal?
Al-Gharafa has won 2 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Shamal won against Al-Gharafa?
Al-Shamal has won 3 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Al-Gharafa - Al-Shamal were as follows:
27.10.2025
Al-Gharafa
-
Al-Shamal
0:1
20.09.2025
Al-Shamal
-
Al-Gharafa
0:0
08.02.2025
Al-Shamal
-
Al-Gharafa
1:2
13.09.2024
Al-Gharafa
-
Al-Shamal
1:1
28.04.2024
Al-Shamal
-
Al-Gharafa
1:0
Latest results of Al-Gharafa
Latest results of Al-Shamal
Qatar QSL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Al-Sadd | 19 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 49:26 | 23 | 38 |
| 2 | Shamal | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 31:21 | 10 | 34 |
| 3 | Al-Gharafa | 19 | 11 | 1 | 7 | 30:29 | 1 | 34 |
| 4 | Al Rayyan | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 38:31 | 7 | 31 |
| 5 | Qatar SC | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 29:26 | 3 | 28 |
| 6 | Al Arabi | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 33:34 | -1 | 28 |
| 7 | Al-Duhail | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 34:22 | 12 | 27 |
| 8 | Al Wakra | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 26:29 | -3 | 23 |
| 9 | Umm-Salal | 19 | 6 | 2 | 11 | 34:47 | -13 | 20 |
| 10 | Al Ahli Doha | 19 | 6 | 1 | 12 | 27:39 | -12 | 19 |
| 11 | Al Sailiya | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 19:29 | -10 | 18 |
| 12 | Al-Shahaniya | 19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 19:36 | -17 | 17 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
QSL (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Division 2
