Result
0:0
20/09/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- QSL - Round 5
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 7 |
 Qatar | Al Kass One, Shoof |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.11 | 0.62 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (305/377) | 88% (424/482) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.11 | 0.62 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.53 | 0.45 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (305/377) | 88% (424/482) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 57% (26/46) | 67% (31/46) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 75% (75/100) | 71% (57/80) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (4/14) | 22% (4/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.74 | 0.42 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (20/28) | 84% (16/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 52 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 16 | 14 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.45 | 0.53 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.45 | 0.53 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 34', Brahimi Y. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Muntari M. ↓, Al Ganehi A. ↑,
- 57', Gunnarsson A. ↓, Djalo A. ↑,
- 57', Hamed J. ↓, Traore D. ↑,
- 65', Seyam T. ↓, Al Sulimane A. ↑,
- 65', Ebrahimi O. ↓, Collado A. ↑,
- 75', Mohamed O. ↓, El Hannach Y. ↑,
- 75', Khoder M. ↓, Ali O. ↑,
- 75', Bounedjah B. 🟨,
- 76', Jang Hyun-Soo 🟨,
- 84', Sliti N. ↓, Belhanda Y. ↑,
Chances of winning
Al-Shamal
34.2% | Draw
24.6% | Al-Gharafa
41.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al-Shamal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Al-Shamal's form might have worsened.Al-Gharafa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Al-Gharafa's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Shamal than the current prediction. (+9.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Al-Shamal, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Gharafa than the current prediction. (-9.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Al-Gharafa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Al-Shamal - Al-Gharafa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.73 ↑
(2.22) |
3.8 ↑
(3.73) |
2.27 ↓
(2.75) |
6.9%
(8.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Shamal won 2.
- Al-Shamal is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Al-Gharafa's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Al-Gharafa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Al-Shamal has had a series of home games.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Al-Shamal won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 14:24. (average 1.2:2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Al-Shamal won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:9. (average 1.3:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Shamal won against Al-Gharafa?
Al-Shamal has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Gharafa won against Al-Shamal?
Al-Gharafa has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Al-Shamal - Al-Gharafa were as follows:
08.02.2025
Al-Shamal
-
Al-Gharafa
1:2
13.09.2024
Al-Gharafa
-
Al-Shamal
1:1
28.04.2024
Al-Shamal
-
Al-Gharafa
1:0
09.12.2023
Al-Gharafa
-
Al-Shamal
1:1
19.11.2023
Al-Gharafa
-
Al-Shamal
1:2
Latest results of Al-Shamal
Latest results of Al-Gharafa
Qatar QSL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Shamal | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 12:6 | 6 | 14 |
| 2 | Qatar SC | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 10:4 | 6 | 14 |
| 3 | Al-Gharafa | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 11:7 | 4 | 13 |
| 4 | Al Wakra | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 12:11 | 1 | 11 |
| 5 | Al Rayyan | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12:9 | 3 | 10 |
| 6 | Al-Duhail | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 13:6 | 7 | 8 |
| 7 | Al-Sadd | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8:6 | 2 | 8 |
| 8 | Umm-Salal | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 12:15 | -3 | 6 |
| 9 | Al Ahli Doha | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7:13 | -6 | 6 |
| 10 | Al-Shahaniya | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3:7 | -4 | 4 |
| 11 | Al Arabi | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9:21 | -12 | 4 |
| 12 | Al Sailiya | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 7:11 | -4 | 3 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
QSL (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Division 2
