Result
3:2
04/04/2026 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- QSL - Round 20
- Referee: Al Sawan N. A. (Qat)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, TOD |
 Qatar | Al Kass Two, Shoof |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.10 | 0.37 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (369/431) | 85% (279/329) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.10 | 0.37 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.77 | 1.37 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 18 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (369/431) | 85% (279/329) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 62% (41/66) | 55% (22/40) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (57/84) | 68% (47/69) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 10% (1/10) | 20% (3/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.49 | 0.56 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 15 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 18 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 65% (11/17) | 75% (9/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 19 | 13 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 15 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.37 | 1.77 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.63 | -1.23 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 6', 1 - 0, Ebrahimi O. (Penalty Awarded),
- 37', Cristo ↓, Baidoo M. ↑,
- 44', Khoder M. 🟨,
- 45+7', 2 - 0, Bounedjah B. ⚽, Sliti N. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 58', Diallo A. ↓, Mance A. ↑,
- 58', Saad K. ↓, Fayez A. ↑,
- 59', 3 - 0, Collado A. ⚽, Bounedjah B. (A),
- 63', Khoder M. ↓, Majed I. ↑,
- 64', Sliti N. ↓, Ounas A. ↑,
- 72', Collado A. ↓, Prim P. ↑,
- 73', Murillo J. 🟨,
- 75', 3 - 1, Mance A. ⚽, Kouassi J. E. (A),
- 76', Al Mannai M. ↓, Al Sulimane A. ↑,
- 77', Murillo J. ↓, Bounacer A. ↑,
- 80', Kouassi J. E. ↓, Jarrar Y. ↑,
- 80', El Sayed A. ↓, Aholou J. ↑,
- 83', 3 - 2, Jarrar Y. ⚽, Aholou J. (A),
- 90', Prim P. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Al-Shamal
58.5% | Draw
21.4% | Umm-Salal
20.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al-Shamal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)Umm-Salal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Shamal than the current prediction. (+2.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Umm-Salal than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
Al-Shamal - Umm-Salal Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.58 ↑
(1.54) |
4.32 ↑
(4.27) |
4.6 ↓
(4.8) |
8.1%
(9.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
Preview Facts
- This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Qualification: ) and 10).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Shamal won 3.
- Al-Shamal is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Umm-Salal has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Al-Shamal may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Al-Shamal is a strong favorite.
- We predict that Al-Shamal will win today's game, with odds of 1.62.
- In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Al-Shamal won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 30:38. (average 1.7:2.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Al-Shamal won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:17. (average 1.6:2.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Shamal won against Umm-Salal?
Al-Shamal has won 5 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Umm-Salal won against Al-Shamal?
Umm-Salal has won 6 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Al-Shamal - Umm-Salal were as follows:
01.11.2025
Umm-Salal
-
Al-Shamal
0:5
03.09.2025
Al-Shamal
-
Umm-Salal
1:3
13.05.2025
Umm-Salal
-
Al-Shamal
2:1
24.01.2025
Al-Shamal
-
Umm-Salal
4:0
31.08.2024
Umm-Salal
-
Al-Shamal
1:2
Latest results of Al-Shamal
Latest results of Umm-Salal
Qatar QSL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Al-Sadd | 21 | 13 | 3 | 5 | 53:28 | 25 | 42 |
| 2 | Shamal | 20 | 11 | 4 | 5 | 34:25 | 9 | 37 |
| 3 | Al Rayyan | 21 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 42:32 | 10 | 35 |
| 4 | Al-Gharafa | 21 | 11 | 2 | 8 | 35:35 | 0 | 35 |
| 5 | Al Arabi | 20 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 36:35 | 1 | 32 |
| 6 | Al-Duhail | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 38:26 | 12 | 30 |
| 7 | Qatar SC | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 31:31 | 0 | 29 |
| 8 | Al Wakra | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 33:33 | 0 | 27 |
| 9 | Al Ahli Doha | 21 | 7 | 2 | 12 | 31:42 | -11 | 23 |
| 10 | Umm-Salal | 21 | 6 | 2 | 13 | 36:53 | -17 | 20 |
| 11 | Al-Shahaniya | 21 | 6 | 2 | 13 | 21:38 | -17 | 20 |
| 12 | Al Sailiya | 20 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 22:34 | -12 | 19 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
QSL (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Division 2
