Result
3:2
16/02/2026 at 13:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- AFC Champions League - League phase - Round 8
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD |
 Australia | Paramount+ |
 Bulgaria | Nova Sport |
 China | iQIYI |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Hong-kong | HOY TV, M Plus Live |
 India | FanCode, FanCode, Vision+ |
 Indonesia | K-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Pakistan | Tapmad |
 Russia | TV Start |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Vietnam | TV 360 |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.00 | 1.42 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (406/469) | 79% (312/397) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.00 | 1.42 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.24 | 1.31 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 24 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (406/469) | 79% (312/397) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 40% (19/47) | 38% (20/52) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 79% (84/107) | 47% (42/89) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 26% (6/23) | 25% (4/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.64 | 0.58 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 24 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (12/16) | 52% (12/23) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 53 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 28 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.31 | 2.24 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.69 | -0.76 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 10', 0 - 1, Piatek K. ⚽, Hamza M. (A),
- 19', 1 - 1, Shakir B. ⚽, Ali H. (A),
- 45+2', 1 - 2, Bourigeaud B. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Abdulkadhim S. ↓, Farhan A. ↑,
- 57', 2 - 2, Sambou B. ⚽, Shakir B. (A),
- 58', 3 - 2, Sambou B. ⚽, Ali H. (A),
- 65', Kareem M. 🟨,
- 66', Hamza M. ↓, Mohammed I. ↑,
- 72', Zaddem M. 🟨,
- 76', Leonel Ateba ↓, Jabbar H. ↑,
- 76', Zaddem M. ↓, Mendy D. ↑,
- 80', Al Rawi B. ↓, Jamshid T. ↑,
- 84', Edmilson Junior ↓, Al Abdulla R. ↑,
- 84', Sambou B. ↓, Ahmed S. ↑,
- 88', Shakir B. ↓, Youssef F. ↑,
Chances of winning
Al-Shorta Baghdad
21.4% | Draw
25.2% | Al Duhail
53.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al-Shorta Baghdad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)Al Duhail has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Al Duhail's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Shorta Baghdad than the current prediction. (+3.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al Duhail than the current prediction. (-5.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Al Duhail, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Al-Shorta Baghdad - Al Duhail Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.37 ↑
(3.71) |
3.72 ↑
(3.49) |
1.75 ↓
(1.94) |
6.8%
(7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Al-Shorta Baghdad - Al Duhail?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Al Duhail will win
(8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Al Duhail will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 11 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- Al-Shorta is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- In recent matches, Al Duhail has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Al-Shorta may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Al Duhail is the team to beat.
- In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Shorta Baghdad won against Al Duhail?
Al-Shorta Baghdad has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Al Duhail won against Al-Shorta Baghdad?
Al Duhail has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Al-Shorta Baghdad - Al Duhail were as follows:
Latest results of Al-Shorta Baghdad
Latest results of Al Duhail
Draw
Play Offs1/8-finals| 1 | Al Hilal (1) | Al-Sadd (8) | |
| 2 | Al Ahli SC (2) | Al-Duhail (7) | |
| 3 | Tractor (3) | Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai (6) | |
| 4 | Al Ittihad (4) | Al Wahda (5) | |
| 5 | Machida (1) | Gangwon (8) | 1 : 0, 0 : 0 |
| 6 | Vissel Kobe (2) | Seoul (7) | 2 : 1, 1 : 0 |
| 7 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima (3) | Johor DT (6) | 1 : 0, 1 : 3 |
| 8 | Buriram (4) | Melbourne City (5) | 1 : 0, 1 : 1 |
