Result
1:3
04/04/2026 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 18', 0 - 1, Shakir B. ⚽,
- 25', 0 - 2, Farhan A. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 53', 0 - 3, Sambou B. ⚽,
- 90+1', 1 - 3, Ridha F. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Najaf 11.1% | Draw 21.8% | Al-Shorta Baghdad 67.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Najaf has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)Al-Shorta Baghdad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Najaf than the current prediction. (+1.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Shorta Baghdad than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
Najaf - Al-Shorta Baghdad Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
8.14 ↑ (6.95) |
4.15 ↑ (3.96) |
1.34 ↓ (1.44) |
10.8% (9.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 2).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Najaf won 0.
- Recent form of Najaf has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Al-Shorta is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Al-Shorta may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Al-Shorta is the obvious favorite.
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Najaf won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 6:15. (average 0.6:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Najaf won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:8. (average 1:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Najaf won against Al-Shorta Baghdad?
Najaf has won 0 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Shorta Baghdad won against Najaf?
Al-Shorta Baghdad has won 5 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Najaf - Al-Shorta Baghdad were as follows:
31.01.2026
Al-Shorta Baghdad
-
Najaf
2:1
12.04.2025
Al-Shorta Baghdad
-
Najaf
1:0
10.01.2025
Najaf
-
Al-Shorta Baghdad
0:0
01.07.2024
Najaf
-
Al-Shorta Baghdad
2:2
19.12.2023
Al-Shorta Baghdad
-
Najaf
2:0
Latest results of Al-Shorta Baghdad
Iraqi Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Al Quwa Al Jawiya | 27 | 19 | 6 | 2 | 42:15 | 27 | 63 |
| 2 | Al Shorta | 28 | 18 | 5 | 5 | 54:26 | 28 | 59 |
| 3 | Al Talaba | 28 | 16 | 6 | 6 | 39:24 | 15 | 54 |
| 4 | Erbil | 27 | 15 | 8 | 4 | 37:23 | 14 | 53 |
| 5 | Al Zawraa | 28 | 13 | 12 | 3 | 36:23 | 13 | 51 |
| 6 | Al-Karma | 28 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 41:20 | 21 | 50 |
| 7 | Al Karkh | 27 | 12 | 9 | 6 | 35:25 | 10 | 45 |
| 8 | Zakho | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 34:27 | 7 | 44 |
| 9 | Newroz | 28 | 13 | 3 | 12 | 37:33 | 4 | 42 |
| 10 | Al Naft | 27 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 27:23 | 4 | 37 |
| 11 | Duhok | 28 | 10 | 7 | 11 | 29:30 | -1 | 37 |
| 12 | Diyala | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 32:27 | 5 | 36 |
| 13 | Al Mosul | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 30:37 | -7 | 35 |
| 14 | Al Gharraf | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 25:28 | -3 | 33 |
| 15 | Baghdad | 28 | 9 | 3 | 16 | 34:48 | -14 | 30 |
| 16 | Al Kahraba | 27 | 8 | 3 | 16 | 30:36 | -6 | 27 |
| 17 | Al Minaa | 28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 25:36 | -11 | 26 |
| 18 | Naft Missan | 28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 28:43 | -15 | 26 |
| 19 | Al Najaf | 28 | 3 | 3 | 22 | 19:51 | -32 | 12 |
| 20 | Al-Qassim | 27 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 7:66 | -59 | 2 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Stars League (Relegation)
Relegation