Al-Diriyah vs Al-Wahda Mecca – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
5:0
04/02/2026 at 10:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Division 1 - Round 20
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiaJACO Middle East
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaThmanyah

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
3.320.29
Ball possession
59%41%
Total shots
249
Shots on target
112
Big chances
80
Corner kicks
80
Passes
85% (369/434)77% (245/318)
Yellow cards
05
Expected goals (xG)
3.320.29
xG on target (xGOT)
3.510.06
Total shots
249
Shots on target
112
Shots off target
116
Blocked shots
21
Shots inside the box
212
Shots outside the box
37
Hit the woodwork
00
Headed goals
10
Big chances
80
Corner kicks
80
Touches in opposition box
354
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
03
Free kicks
118
Passes
85% (369/434)77% (245/318)
Long passes
70% (23/33)41% (28/68)
Passes in final third
71% (92/129)59% (35/59)
Crosses
38% (9/24)14% (1/7)
Expected assists (xA)
1.920.20
Throw ins
1815
Fouls
811
Tackles
78% (7/9)54% (7/13)
Duels won
3536
Clearances
932
Interceptions
1715
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
26
xGOT faced
0.063.51
Goals prevented
0.06-1.49

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 43', Boudjemaa M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (5 - 0)
  • 46', Bakheet M. , Al Qahtani S. ,
  • 47', Al Maqadi S. 🟨,
  • 49', Al Sebyani H. 🟨,
  • 60', 1 - 0, Rodriguez O. , Al Faraj A. (A),
  • 64', Al Muwashar S. , Al Nakhli A. ,
  • 64', Al Najjar A. , Al Nakhli M. ,
  • 68', 2 - 0, Colley O. , Marega M. (A),
  • 72', Johnsen B. , Khadhari M. ,
  • 74', Al Nakhli M. 🟨,
  • 75', Diandy C. , Al Rahmani S. ,
  • 76', 3 - 0, Rodriguez O. , Al Rahmani S. (A),
  • 80', Al Nakhli A. 🟨,
  • 82', Al Malki A. , Al Qahtani H. ,
  • 82', Rodriguez O. , Al Zarie H. ,
  • 85', 4 - 0, Al Faraj A. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 87', Marega M. , Al Dossari A. ,
  • 89', 5 - 0, Al Rahmani S. , Subayt A. (A),

Chances of winning


Al-Diriyah
68.3%
Draw
19.4%
Al-Wahda Mecca
12.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
67.5% 19.9% 12.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71% 18.9% 12%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Al-Diriyah has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
  • Al-Wahda Mecca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Diriyah than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Wahda Mecca than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
  • Al-Diriyah - Al-Wahda Mecca Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.34
    (1.36)
    4.71
    (4.61)
    7.38
    (7.26)
    9.7%
    (9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Al-Diriyah - Al-Wahda Mecca?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH -1.75 - Al-Diriyah (2.22) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Al-Diriyah (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 12).
    • Al-Diriyah is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Al-Wahda has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Al-Diriyah is the undisputed favorite.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Al-Diriyah won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:9. (average 0.8:2.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Al-Diriyah won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:8. (average 0:4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Al-Diriyah - Al-Wahda Mecca were as follows:
    28.09.2025 Al-Wahda Mecca - Al-Diriyah 0:2
    Latest results of Al-Diriyah
    28.01.2026 Al-Adalh - Al-Diriyah 1:1
    23.01.2026 Al-Diriyah - Al-Taee 2:0
    16.01.2026 Al-Bukayriyah - Al-Diriyah 0:1
    11.01.2026 Al-Diriyah - Al-Anwar 2:0
    05.01.2026 Abha - Al-Diriyah 2:1
    Latest results of Al-Wahda Mecca
    28.01.2026 Al-Wahda Mecca - Jeddah 2:1
    22.01.2026 Al-Ula - Al-Wahda Mecca 3:0
    12.01.2026 Al-Wahda Mecca - Al Jandal 1:1
    06.01.2026 Al-Wahda Mecca - Al-Orobah 1:2
    Saudi Division 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Abha ✔ 32245363:293477
    2Al Diriyah32216574:334169
    3Al-Faisaly321910370:323867
    4Al-Ula32198566:313565
    5Al Orubah ✔ 32185949:371259
    6Al Jabalain32158954:381653
    7Al Raed321391057:431448
    8Al Zulfi3211111042:39344
    9Al Taee321281246:46044
    10Al Bukiryah321271334:43-943
    11Al Wehda321171450:56-640
    12Al Anwar329111248:49-138
    13Jeddah328121232:46-1436
    14Al Jandal32781730:56-2629
    15Al Adalah32691741:70-2927
    16Al Arabi32562122:60-3821
    17Al Batin ✔ 32472135:64-2919
    18Al Jubail ✔ 32352428:69-4114

          Promotion ~ Saudi Professional League
          Promotion ~ Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Abha is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Saudi Professional League
    Al Orubah is Qualified for Division 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs )
    Al Batin is Relegated to
    Al Jubail is Relegated to