Result
3:1
25/11/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- AFC Champions League - League phase - Round 5
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD |
 Australia | Paramount+ |
 Bulgaria | Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra |
 China | iQIYI, Migu, ZhiBo8 |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Hong-kong | HOY TV, M Plus Live |
 India | FanCode, FanCode, Vision+ |
 Indonesia | K-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Malaysia | Astro Go, Astro Grandstand, Sooka |
 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 2 |
 Pakistan | Tapmad |
 Qatar | Al Kass Five |
 Russia | TV Start |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Ukraine | Sport 1 |
 World | Sport 1 Baltic |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.52 | 1.74 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 40% | 60% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (252/321) | 85% (423/500) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.52 | 1.74 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.56 | 0.68 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 36 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (252/321) | 85% (423/500) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 40% (17/43) | 63% (44/70) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (98/141) | 76% (100/131) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 53% (9/17) | 33% (4/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.15 | 0.98 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 16 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (15/21) | 73% (8/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 32 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 25 | 16 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.68 | 2.56 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.32 | -0.44 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 29', Camara M. 🟨,
- 32', Pimenta Peres Lopes L. 🟨,
- 33', Roberto Firmino ↓, Mujica R. ↑,
- 45+3', 0 - 1, Claudinho (Pen),
- 2nd Half (3 - 0)
- 46', Pimenta Peres Lopes L. ↓, Abdullah A. ↑,
- 46', Ghorbani M. ↓, Kruspzky F. ↑,
- 46', Guilherme ↓, Soria A. ↑,
- 55', 1 - 1, Tadic D. ⚽, Abdullah A. (A),
- 65', Camara M. ↓, Prim P. ↑,
- 65', Giovani ↓, Atal Y. ↑,
- 67', 2 - 1, Tadic D. ⚽, Khribin O. M. (A),
- 84', Diarra B. ↓, Caio Canedo ↑,
- 84', Jadsom ↓, Dehghan M. ↑,
- 87', 3 - 1, Caio Canedo ⚽, Tadic D. (A),
- 88', Salman T. ↓, Asad A. ↑,
- 90', Claudinho 🟨,
- 90', Abdullah A. 🟨,
- 90+2', Hamad A. ↓, Ivkovic S. ↑,
Chances of winning
Al-Wahda
48.5% | Draw
25% | Al-Sadd
26.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al-Wahda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)Al-Sadd has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Wahda than the current prediction. (+3.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Sadd than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
Al-Wahda - Al-Sadd Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.95 ↑
(1.9) |
3.78 ↓
(4) |
3.56 ↓
(3.7) |
5.9%
(4.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Al-Wahda - Al-Sadd?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -0.5 - Al-Sadd (1.93) (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Al-Wahda will win
(15 of 16 users predict this - 93.75%).
Confidence interval (95%): 81.89% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Al-Wahda will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 9 high ROI users predict this event. Al-Wahda (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Al-Sadd (votes: 5 - 55.6%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 10).
- Al-Wahda is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- In recent matches, Al-Sadd has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Al-Sadd may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Al-Sadd has had a series of home games.
- Al-Wahda could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Al-Wahda won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5.
- Including home match between the teams, Al-Wahda won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5.
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Wahda won against Al-Sadd?
Al-Wahda has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Sadd won against Al-Wahda?
Al-Sadd has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Al-Wahda - Al-Sadd were as follows:
Latest results of Al-Wahda
Latest results of Al-Sadd
AFC Champions League Table
League phaseEast | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Machida | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 15:7 | 8 | 17 |
| 2 | Vissel Kobe | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 14:7 | 7 | 16 |
| 3 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 10:6 | 4 | 15 |
| 4 | Buriram | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 10:8 | 2 | 14 |
| 5 | Melbourne City | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9:7 | 2 | 14 |
| 6 | Johor DT | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8:7 | 1 | 11 |
| 7 | Seoul | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 10:9 | 1 | 10 |
| 8 | Gangwon | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9:11 | -2 | 9 |
| 9 | Ulsan HD | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 9 |
| 10 | Chengdu Rongcheng | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7:11 | -4 | 6 |
| 11 | Shanghai Shenhua | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5:13 | -8 | 4 |
| 12 | Shanghai Port | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 2:11 | -9 | 4 |
West | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Al Hilal | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 17:6 | 11 | 22 |
| 2 | Al Ahli SC | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 21:9 | 12 | 17 |
| 3 | Tractor | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 12:4 | 8 | 17 |
| 4 | Al Ittihad | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 22:9 | 13 | 15 |
| 5 | Al Wahda | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 11:7 | 4 | 14 |
| 6 | Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 14:14 | 0 | 11 |
| 7 | Al-Duhail | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 16:16 | 0 | 8 |
| 8 | Al-Sadd | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 12:16 | -4 | 8 |
| 9 | Al Sharjah | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:16 | -8 | 8 |
| 10 | Al-Gharafa | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 7:21 | -14 | 6 |
| 11 | Al Shorta | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6:20 | -14 | 5 |
| 12 | Nasaf Qarshi | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9:17 | -8 | 4 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
