Al Wasl vs Al Dhafra – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:0
18/03/2026 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • UAE League - Round 20
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-arab-emiratesUnited-arab-emiratesADtv
worldWorldTriller TV+

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.540.72
Ball possession
67%33%
Total shots
1713
Shots on target
72
Big chances
20
Corner kicks
53
Passes
91% (463/507)78% (197/252)
Yellow cards
03
Red cards
12
Expected goals (xG)
1.540.72
xG on target (xGOT)
1.530.45
Total shots
1713
Shots on target
72
Shots off target
56
Blocked shots
55
Shots inside the box
123
Shots outside the box
510
Hit the woodwork
10
Headed goals
10
Big chances
20
Corner kicks
53
Touches in opposition box
229
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
23
Free kicks
918
Passes
91% (463/507)78% (197/252)
Long passes
63% (17/27)45% (24/53)
Passes in final third
80% (109/137)61% (50/82)
Crosses
57% (8/14)30% (3/10)
Expected assists (xA)
1.480.55
Throw ins
812
Fouls
189
Tackles
88% (7/8)75% (9/12)
Duels won
3240
Clearances
1318
Interceptions
66
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
23
xGOT faced
0.451.53
Goals prevented
0.45-1.47

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 32', 1 - 0, Lima F. , Gimenez N. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 47', Serafim 🟨,
  • 51', 2 - 0, Saleh A. , Gimenez N. (A),
  • 53', Gabriel Vareta 🟥,
  • 59', Serafim 🟨,
  • 70', Al Zaabi S. , Yaslam R. ,
  • 70', Jobson , Amesimeku L. ,
  • 70', Bayesh I. , Marcelinho ,
  • 77', Miguel Borja , Renato Junior ,
  • 77', Gimenez N. , Janeer M. ,
  • 81', 3 - 0, Renato Junior , Sidibe S. (A),
  • 82', El Khaloui M. , Soussi A. ,
  • 82', Al Harbi M. , Mohammed Z. ,
  • 83', Saleh A. , Serginho ,
  • 83', Hugo , Saleh A. ,
  • 89', Soussi A. 🟥,
  • 90+3', Bouftini S. , Al Mheiri Y. ,
  • 90+4', Yaslam R. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Al Wasl
63.4%
Draw
20%
Al Dhafra
16.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
68.6% 19.2% 12.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.7% 18.1% 11.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Al Wasl has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Al Wasl's form might have worsened.
  • Al Dhafra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al Wasl than the current prediction. (+9.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Al Wasl, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al Dhafra than the current prediction. (-5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Al Dhafra, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Al Wasl - Al Dhafra Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.45
    (1.34)
    4.59
    (4.79)
    5.55
    (7.53)
    8.9%
    (8.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for Al Wasl - Al Dhafra?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1.5 - Al Dhafra (1.73) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Al Dhafra (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 5 and 12).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al Wasl won 4.
    • Recent performances by Al Wasl have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Al Dhafra is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Al Wasl may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Al Wasl is the undeniable favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Al Wasl won 12 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 45:24. (average 2.3:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Al Wasl won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 25:6. (average 2.8:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Al Wasl - Al Dhafra were as follows:
    05.09.2025 Al Wasl - Al Dhafra 4:2
    30.08.2025 Al Dhafra - Al Wasl 1:5
    23.08.2025 Al Dhafra - Al Wasl 3:1
    03.03.2023 Al Dhafra - Al Wasl 0:2
    08.10.2022 Al Wasl - Al Dhafra 4:0
    Latest results of Al Wasl
    12.03.2026 Al Ain - Al Wasl 2:0
    07.03.2026 Bani Yas - Al Wasl 2:0
    25.02.2026 Al Wasl - Shabab Al-Ahli 1:1
    21.02.2026 Al Wasl - Al Bataeh 1:0
    17.02.2026 Al Wasl - Al-Zawraa 4:2
    Latest results of Al Dhafra
    10.03.2026 Al Dhafra - Al-Jazira 1:2
    26.02.2026 Ittihad Kalba - Al Dhafra 1:1
    20.02.2026 Al Dhafra - Shabab Al-Ahli 0:5
    13.02.2026 Al Bataeh - Al Dhafra 1:1
    06.02.2026 Al Dhafra - Khor Fakkan 2:3
    UAE Football League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Al Ain22175046:182856
    2Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai22164252:114152
    3Al Jazira22124638:231540
    4Al Wasl22106628:23536
    5Al Wahda2299433:211236
    6Al Nasr22710528:27131
    7Al Sharjah22741132:39-725
    8Ajman22731221:31-1024
    9Khorfakkan22661030:38-824
    10Ittihad Kalba2258926:39-1323
    11Bani Yas22641222:34-1222
    12Al Bataeh22471122:32-1019
    13Al Dhafra22531425:44-1918
    14Dibba Al Fujairah22451321:44-2317

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