Result
1:1
26/11/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- AFC Champions League 2 - Round 5
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD |
 China | iQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
 Croatia | SportKlub |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 India | FanCode, FanCode, Vision+ |
 Indonesia | K-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel |
 Russia | TV Start |
 Ukraine | Sport 1 |
 World | Sport 1 Baltic |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.56 | 0.96 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (282/348) | 86% (371/430) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.56 | 0.96 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.04 | 0.42 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (282/348) | 86% (371/430) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 51% (35/68) | 49% (22/45) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 77% (64/83) | 70% (78/112) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 22% (2/9) | 14% (3/22) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.72 | 0.71 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 87% (13/15) | 67% (8/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 32 | 36 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 21 | 6 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.42 | 1.04 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.58 | 0.04 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 6', 1 - 0, Saharkhizan S. ⚽, Gholizadeh E. (A),
- 18', Munir El Haddadi ↓, Ahmadi M. ↑,
- 29', Saharkhizan S. 🟨,
- 45+6', Goudarzi H. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Renato Junior ↓, Saldanha ↑,
- 54', Tapia R. ↓, Janeer M. ↑,
- 54', N'Guessan J. ↓, Serginho ↑,
- 63', 1 - 1, Hugo ⚽, Serginho (A),
- 73', Saharkhizan S. ↓, Azadi M. R. ↑,
- 80', Awad S. ↓, Rodrigo ↑,
- 88', Hardani S. ↓, Rezaeian R. ↑,
- 89', Razzaghinia A. ↓, Zamani A. ↑,
- 90+4', Diallo A. ↓, Saleh A. ↑,
- 90+5', Saleh A. 🟨,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/2ye2afsd
Chances of winning
Esteghlal
45.7% | Draw
27.8% | Al Wasl
26.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Esteghlal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Esteghlal's performance.Al Wasl has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Al Wasl might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Esteghlal than the current prediction. (-8.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Esteghlal that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al Wasl than the current prediction. (+9.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Al Wasl could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Esteghlal - Al Wasl Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.04 ↓
(2.58) |
3.36 ↓
(3.49) |
3.52 ↑
(2.48) |
7.1%
(7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Esteghlal - Al Wasl?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Esteghlal will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Al Wasl will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Esteghlal: 35.9% – 97.5%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Al Wasl (2.30) (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Esteghlal will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Esteghlal (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Al Wasl (votes: 5 - 62.5%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Al Wasl is Qualified for AFC Champions League 2 (Play Offs )
- Esteghlal has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- In recent matches, Al Wasl has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Al Wasl may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Esteghlal won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:7.
How many head-to-head matches has Esteghlal won against Al Wasl?
Esteghlal has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Al Wasl won against Esteghlal?
Al Wasl has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Esteghlal - Al Wasl were as follows:
17.09.2025
Al Wasl
-
Esteghlal
7:1
Latest results of Esteghlal
Latest results of Al Wasl
Draw
Play Offs1/8-finals| 1 | Al Zawraa | Al Wasl | 2 : 4, 3 : 2 |
| 2 | Arkadag | Al Nassr | 0 : 1, 0 : 1 |
| 3 | Sepahan | Al Ahli Doha | 0 : 1, 2 : 2 |
| 4 | Esteghlal F.C. | Al Hussein | 2 : 3, 0 : 1 |
| 5 | Pohang | Gamba Osaka | 1 : 2, 1 : 1 |
| 6 | Ratchaburi | Persib Bandung | 0 : 1, 3 : 0 |
| 7 | Bangkok Utd | Macarthur FC | 2 : 2, 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Cong An Ha Noi | Tampines | 1 : 3, 0 : 3 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Al Wasl | Al Nassr | |
| 2 | Al Ahli Doha | Al Hussein | |
| 3 | Gamba Osaka | Ratchaburi | |
| 4 | Bangkok Utd | Tampines | |
Semi-finalsFinal
