Al-Zawraa vs Amanat Baghdad – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:2
21/03/2026 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Stars League - Round 18

Match Stats

Red cards
12

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 1)
  • 9', 1 - 0, Riascos B. ,
  • 31', 1 - 1, Kosimov B. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 45', 2 - 1, Qasim M. ,
  • 45+6', 3 - 1, Nasib A. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 53', Samateh L. S. 🟥,
  • 62', 3 - 2, Kareem J. ,
  • 72', Noor A. 🟥,
  • 88', Ismael D. 🟥,

Chances of winning


Al-Zawraa
66.4%
Draw
20.7%
Amanat Baghdad
12.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59.5% 25.3% 15.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.7% 24% 14.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Al-Zawraa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Al-Zawraa's performance.
  • Amanat Baghdad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Zawraa than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amanat Baghdad than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
  • Al-Zawraa - Amanat Baghdad Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.36
    (1.53)
    4.37
    (3.6)
    7.06
    (6)
    10.4%
    (9.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 7 and 18 in the zone Stars League (Relegation)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Zawraa won 2.
    • Recent performances by Al-Zawraa have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Amanat Baghdad is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Al-Zawraa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Al-Zawraa is the clear favorite.
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Al-Zawraa won 2 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:5. (average 0.9:0.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Al-Zawraa won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 1.3:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Al-Zawraa - Amanat Baghdad were as follows:
    20.12.2023 Al-Zawraa - Amanat Baghdad 0:0
    Latest results of Al-Zawraa
    17.03.2026 Al-Gharraf - Al-Zawraa 0:1
    13.03.2026 Al-Zawraa - Naft Maysan 1:1
    07.03.2026 Newroz - Al-Zawraa 1:2
    02.03.2026 Al-Zawraa - Al Mosul 1:1
    Latest results of Amanat Baghdad
    Iraqi Premier League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Al Quwa Al Jawiya23174233:122155
    2Al Shorta23154441:192249
    3Erbil22145333:181547
    4Al Talaba23135533:201344
    5Al-Karma23126533:171642
    6Al Zawraa23119331:201142
    7Zakho23117531:191240
    8Al Karkh23108532:23938
    9Duhok2396826:23333
    10Newroz231011228:30-231
    11Diyala2278725:22329
    12Al Naft2378824:23129
    13Al Gharraf23851023:25-229
    14Al Mosul23851023:30-729
    15Al Minaa23671023:27-425
    16Al Kahraba23631424:33-921
    17Naft Missan23561226:39-1321
    18Baghdad23541423:41-1819
    19Al Najaf23231815:41-269
    20Al-Qassim2302217:52-452

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