Alaa Trifi vs Petr Nesterov – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:2
30/01/2026 at 04:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Monastir 3, hard - Quarter-finals

Match Stats

Last 10 balls
12

Chances of winning


Alaa Trifi
21.8%
Petr Nesterov
78.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
30.1% 69.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.6% 69.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Alaa Trifi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alaa Trifi's form might have worsened.
  • Petr Nesterov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Petr Nesterov's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alaa Trifi than the current prediction. (+8.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alaa Trifi, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Petr Nesterov than the current prediction. (-8.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Petr Nesterov, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Alaa Trifi - Petr Nesterov Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.26
    (3.08)

    1.19
    (1.33)
    7.6%
    (7.6%)
    Preview Facts
    • Trifi is ranked ATP: 1173. Nesterov is ranked ATP: 523.
    • Recent performances by Trifi have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Nesterov is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Nesterov may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Nesterov is a strong favorite.
    • We predict that Nesterov will win today's game, with odds of 1.33.
    • Recently, the players have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Alaa Trifi
    Latest results of Petr Nesterov
    Draw
    2026

    1/16-finals
    1Ovcharenko O. (1)Oki Y.2 : 1
    2Brunkow G.Kim G. J.1 : 2
    3Sahtali T.Saitoh K.0 : 2
    4Castagnola L.Giunta M. (8)2 : 1
    5Berkieta T. (4)Smiej Y.2 : 0
    6Salvestre D.Robert N.2 : 1
    7Yamanaka T.Sakellaridis D.2 : 1
    8Perez Contri S.Campana Lee G. (6)2 : 1
    9Chazal M. (5)Oradini G.2 : 1
    10Trifi A.Crivellaro G.2 : 1
    11La Vela G.Plans J.1 : 2
    12Nagoudi A.Nesterov P. (3)0 : 2
    13Andre S.Miladinovic M.2 : 0
    14Zhang T.Echeverria J.1 : 2
    15Tepmahc N.Kumstat J. (RET.)1 : 0
    16Cho Seung WooAgafonov E. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Ovcharenko O. (1)Kim G. J.2 : 0
    2Saitoh K.Castagnola L.2 : 1
    3Berkieta T. (WO.) (4)Salvestre D.
    4Yamanaka T.Perez Contri S.0 : 2
    5Chazal M. (5)Trifi A.0 : 2
    6Plans J.Nesterov P. (3)1 : 2
    7Andre S.Echeverria J.2 : 0
    8Tepmahc N.Agafonov E. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Ovcharenko O. (1)Saitoh K.2 : 0
    2Berkieta T. (4)Perez Contri S.2 : 1
    3Trifi A.Nesterov P. (3)0 : 2
    4Andre S.Agafonov E. (2)1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Ovcharenko O. (1)Berkieta T. (4)0 : 2
    2Nesterov P. (3)Agafonov E. (2)2 : 0

    Final
    1Berkieta T. (4)Nesterov P. (3)0 : 2