Alafia Ayeni vs Amit Vales – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
16/02/2026 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Metepec - Qualification, hard - Final

Match Stats

Aces
43
Double Faults
55
1st serve percentage
58%54%
1st serve points won
70% (26/37)59% (17/29)
2nd serve points won
56% (15/27)36% (9/25)
Break Points Saved
50% (4/8)38% (5/13)
1st return points won
41% (12/29)35% (13/37)
2nd return points won
64% (16/25)44% (12/27)
Break Points Converted
62% (8/13)50% (4/8)
Winners
2117
Unforced errors
2132
Net points won
71% (17/24)27% (3/11)
Service Points Won
46% (18/39)31% (16/52)
Return Points Won
69% (36/52)54% (21/39)
Total Points Won
59% (54/91)41% (37/91)
Last 10 balls
82
Match points saved
00
Service games won
43% (3/7)0% (0/8)
Return games won
100% (8/8)57% (4/7)
Total games won
73% (11/15)27% (4/15)

Chances of winning


Alafia Ayeni
60.4%
Amit Vales
39.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
64.6% 35.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.6% 34.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Alafia Ayeni has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)
  • Amit Vales has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alafia Ayeni than the current prediction. (+5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alafia Ayeni, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Amit Vales than the current prediction. (-5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Amit Vales, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Alafia Ayeni - Amit Vales Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.53
    (1.45)

    2.34
    (2.65)
    8.1%
    (6.7%)
    Preview Facts
    • Ayeni is ranked ATP: 658. Vales is ranked ATP: 856.
    • Ayeni is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Vales's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Ayeni may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Ayeni could have a small edge in this match.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the players.
    Latest results of Alafia Ayeni
    Latest results of Amit Vales
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Ficovich J. P. (1)Fishback R. (Alt)2 : 0
    2Nefve A. (Q)Sau Franco A. (WC)2 : 0
    3Rodrigues N. (Q)Tobon M. (RET.)1 : 0
    4Gomez J. S.Andrade A. (6)0 : 2
    5Galarneau A. (4)Hardt N.2 : 0
    6Baadi T.Kingsley C. (Q)0 : 2
    7Winter E.Dickerson R. (Alt)2 : 0
    8Aguilar J. C. M.Martin A. (7)0 : 2
    9Kozlov S. (8)McCormick T.2 : 1
    10Bicknell B.Poling K.1 : 2
    11Martin D. (RET.)Ayeni A. (Q)0 : 1
    12Dalmasso G. (Q)Pacheco Mendez R. (3)0 : 2
    13Gojo B. (5)Mena F.2 : 1
    14Jones B. (Q)De Alba R. (WC)2 : 0
    15Brouwer G. (PR)Gima S.2 : 0
    16Rubio Fierros A. F. (WC)Tomic B. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Ficovich J. P. (1)Nefve A.2 : 0
    2Rodrigues N.Andrade A. (6)0 : 2
    3Galarneau A. (4)Kingsley C.2 : 1
    4Winter E.Martin A. (7)2 : 1
    5Kozlov S. (8)Poling K.2 : 0
    6Ayeni A.Pacheco Mendez R. (3)1 : 2
    7Gojo B. (5)Jones B. (RET.)1 : 0
    8Brouwer G.Tomic B. (2)1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Ficovich J. P. (1)Andrade A. (6)1 : 2
    2Galarneau A. (4)Winter E.2 : 1
    3Kozlov S. (8)Pacheco Mendez R. (3)0 : 2
    4Gojo B. (5)Tomic B. (2)2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Andrade A. (6)Galarneau A. (4)1 : 2
    2Pacheco Mendez R. (3)Gojo B. (5)0 : 2

    Final
    1Galarneau A. (4)Gojo B. (5)0 : 2