Result
2:1
17/03/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Morelos, hard - 1/16-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| 1st serve percentage |
|---|
| 67% | 71% |
| 1st serve points won |
|---|
| 70% (38/54) | 58% (44/76) |
| 2nd serve points won |
|---|
| 30% (8/27) | 48% (15/31) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 6/10 | 10/15 |
| 1st return points won |
|---|
| 42% (32/76) | 43% (23/54) |
| 2nd return points won |
|---|
| 52% (16/31) | 70% (19/27) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 5/15 | 4/10 |
| Winners |
|---|
| 40 | 23 |
| Unforced errors |
|---|
| 35 | 19 |
| Net points won |
|---|
| 60% (9/15) | 59% (20/34) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 60% (52/86) | 56% (59/105) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 44% (46/105) | 40% (34/86) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 51% (98/191) | 49% (93/191) |
| Last 10 balls |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Match points saved |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Service games won |
|---|
| 69% (9/13) | 62% (8/13) |
| Return games won |
|---|
| 38% (5/13) | 31% (4/13) |
| Total games won |
|---|
| 54% (14/26) | 46% (12/26) |
Chances of winning
Alafia Ayeni
30.4% | Keegan Smith
69.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alafia Ayeni has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)Keegan Smith has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alafia Ayeni than the current prediction. (+5.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alafia Ayeni, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Keegan Smith than the current prediction. (-5.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Keegan Smith, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Alafia Ayeni - Keegan Smith Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.05 ↑
(2.78) |
|
1.35 ↓
(1.39) |
7%
(8.1%) | |
Preview Facts
- Ayeni is ranked ATP: 566. Smith is ranked ATP: 306.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Smith may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Smith is seen as the favorite.
- The players have not played against each other recently.
How many head-to-head matches has Alafia Ayeni won against Keegan Smith?
Alafia Ayeni has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Keegan Smith won against Alafia Ayeni?
Keegan Smith has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Alafia Ayeni - Keegan Smith were as follows:
Latest results of Alafia Ayeni
Latest results of Keegan Smith
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Gomez F. A. (1) | Martin D. | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Zhukayev B. | Mena F. | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Delaney Ja. (Q) | Daniel T. | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Mayo A. (PR) | Andrade A. (6) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Crawford O. (3) | Wiskandt M. | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Ayeni A. (Alt) | Smith K. | 2 : 1 |
| 7 | Catry R. (Q) | Hayen A. (WC) | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Ursu V. | Martin A. (8) | 1 : 2 |
| 9 | Kozlov S. (7) | Magadan A. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 10 | Mmoh M. | Rubio Fierros A. F. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 11 | Shah A. | Alujas R. (WC) | 2 : 1 |
| 12 | Pacheco Mendez R. | Galarneau A. (4) | 2 : 0 |
| 13 | Huesler M. (5) | Yuzuki T. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 14 | Hernandez A. | Colson T. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 15 | Zink T. | Polmans M. | 2 : 0 |
| 16 | Tobon M. (Q) | Ficovich J. P. | 2 : 1 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Martin D. | Mena F. | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Daniel T. | Andrade A. (6) | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Crawford O. (3) | Ayeni A. | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Hayen A. | Martin A. (8) | 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Kozlov S. (7) | Mmoh M. | 0 : 2 |
| 6 | Shah A. (RET.) | Pacheco Mendez R. | 0 : 1 |
| 7 | Huesler M. (5) | Hernandez A. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Zink T. | Tobon M. | 2 : 1 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Mena F. | Daniel T. | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Ayeni A. | Martin A. (8) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Mmoh M. | Pacheco Mendez R. | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Huesler M. (5) | Zink T. | 0 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Daniel T. | Martin A. (8) | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Mmoh M. | Zink T. | 2 : 1 |
Final
