Alafia Ayeni vs Keegan Smith – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

17/03/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Morelos, hard - 1/16-finals

Chances of winning


Alafia Ayeni
26.1%
Keegan Smith
73.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.3% 66.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36% 64%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Alafia Ayeni has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alafia Ayeni's form might have worsened.
  • Keegan Smith has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Keegan Smith's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alafia Ayeni than the current prediction. (+9.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alafia Ayeni, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Keegan Smith than the current prediction. (-9.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Keegan Smith, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Alafia Ayeni - Keegan Smith Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.52
    (2.78)

    1.26
    (1.39)
    7.8%
    (8.1%)
    Preview Facts
    • Ayeni is ranked ATP: 566. Smith is ranked ATP: 306.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Smith may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Smith is seen as the favorite.
    • The players have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Alafia Ayeni
    Latest results of Keegan Smith
    Draw
    Singles - Qualification

    Semi-finals
    1Catry R. (1)Mendez Montiel D. E. (WC)2 : 0
    2Osorio J. S.Reymond A. (RET.) (10)1 : 0
    3Delaney Ja. (2)De Alba R.2 : 0
    4Jauregui Sainz De Rozas R. (WC)Dalmasso G. (12)0 : 2
    5Vandecasteele Q. (3)Corwin F.2 : 0
    6Tunas G. (WC)Tobon M. (8)0 : 2
    7Colson T. (4)Linde Palacios S. A.2 : 0
    8Flores J.Covato M. (11)2 : 0
    9Poling K. (5)Kumar P. (Alt)2 : 0
    10Yuzuki T. (Alt)Gonzalez Fernandez M. (9)2 : 0
    11Gomez J. S. (6)Heredia S.1 : 2
    12Sau Franco A. (WC)Rubio Fierros A. F. (7)1 : 2

    Final
    1Catry R. (1)Osorio J. S.
    2Delaney Ja. (2)Dalmasso G. (12)
    3Vandecasteele Q. (3)Tobon M. (8)
    4Colson T. (4)Flores J.
    5Poling K. (5)Yuzuki T.
    6Heredia S.Rubio Fierros A. F. (7)