Result
19/04/2026 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Alajuelense 36.7% | Draw 33.3% | Deportivo Saprissa 30% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alajuelense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)Deportivo Saprissa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alajuelense than the current prediction. (-1.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Saprissa than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
Alajuelense - Deportivo Saprissa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.51 ↓ (2.65) |
2.76 ↑ (2.54) |
3.07 ↓ (3.34) |
8.7% (7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 5 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Division (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alajuelense won 3.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Alajuelense may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Alajuelense won 8 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 27:25. (average 1.4:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Alajuelense won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 16:7. (average 1.8:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Alajuelense won against Deportivo Saprissa?
Alajuelense has won 10 of their last 28 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Saprissa won against Alajuelense?
Deportivo Saprissa has won 9 of their last 28 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Alajuelense - Deportivo Saprissa were as follows:
21.02.2026
Deportivo Saprissa
-
Alajuelense
2:1
20.12.2025
Alajuelense
-
Deportivo Saprissa
3:1
17.12.2025
Deportivo Saprissa
-
Alajuelense
2:2
19.10.2025
Alajuelense
-
Deportivo Saprissa
2:0
30.08.2025
Deportivo Saprissa
-
Alajuelense
0:1
Latest results of Alajuelense
Latest results of Deportivo Saprissa
Costa Rican Primera Division Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Herediano | 15 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 24:10 | 14 | 31 |
| 2 | Saprissa | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 25:17 | 8 | 27 |
| 3 | Cartagines | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 19:18 | 1 | 26 |
| 4 | Liberia | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 20:17 | 3 | 24 |
| 5 | Alajuelense | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 21:15 | 6 | 22 |
| 6 | San Carlos | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 19:21 | -2 | 20 |
| 7 | Sporting FC | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 14:19 | -5 | 18 |
| 8 | Puntarenas FC | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 18:19 | -1 | 16 |
| 9 | Zeledon | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 18:27 | -9 | 13 |
| 10 | Guadalupe | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 12:27 | -15 | 11 |
Promotion ~ Primera Division (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ Primera Division (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)