Samuel Heredia vs Alan Fernando Rubio Fierros – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:2
16/03/2026 at 13:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Morelos - Qualification, hard - Final

Match Stats

Aces
14
Double Faults
54
1st serve percentage
50%73%
1st serve points won
64% (14/22)80% (28/35)
2nd serve points won
27% (6/22)46% (6/13)
Break Points Saved
7/122/2
1st return points won
20% (7/35)41% (9/22)
2nd return points won
54% (7/13)73% (16/22)
Break Points Converted
0/25/12
Winners
810
Unforced errors
4118
Net points won
0% (0/2)100% (1/1)
Service Points Won
43% (19/44)70% (33/47)
Return Points Won
30% (14/47)57% (25/44)
Total Points Won
36% (33/91)64% (58/91)
Last 10 balls
37
Match points saved
20
Service games won
29% (2/7)100% (7/7)
Return games won
0% (0/7)71% (5/7)
Total games won
14% (2/14)86% (12/14)

Chances of winning


Samuel Heredia
42.3%
Alan Fernando Rubio Fierros
57.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.3% 63.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.9% 59.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Samuel Heredia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Samuel Heredia's performance.
  • Alan Fernando Rubio Fierros has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alan Fernando Rubio Fierros might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Samuel Heredia than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alan Fernando Rubio Fierros than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
  • Samuel Heredia - Alan Fernando Rubio Fierros Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.21
    (2.56)

    1.62
    (1.46)
    7.2%
    (7.6%)
    Preview Facts
    • Heredia is ranked ATP: 759. Rubio Fierros is ranked ATP: 592.
    • In recent matches, Heredia has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Rubio Fierros is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Rubio Fierros could have a small edge in this match.
    • We predict that Rubio Fierros will win today's game, with odds of 1.62.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Heredia won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Samuel Heredia - Alan Fernando Rubio Fierros were as follows:
    05.03.2025 Alan Fernando Rubio Fierros - Samuel Heredia 2:1
    Latest results of Samuel Heredia
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Gomez F. A. (1)Martin D.1 : 2
    2Zhukayev B.Mena F.0 : 2
    3Delaney Ja. (Q)Daniel T.0 : 2
    4Mayo A. (PR)Andrade A. (6)0 : 2
    5Crawford O. (3)Wiskandt M.2 : 0
    6Ayeni A. (Alt)Smith K.2 : 1
    7Catry R. (Q)Hayen A. (WC)0 : 2
    8Ursu V.Martin A. (8)1 : 2
    9Kozlov S. (7)Magadan A. (WC)2 : 0
    10Mmoh M.Rubio Fierros A. F. (Q)2 : 0
    11Shah A.Alujas R. (WC)2 : 1
    12Pacheco Mendez R.Galarneau A. (4)2 : 0
    13Huesler M. (5)Yuzuki T. (Q)2 : 1
    14Hernandez A.Colson T. (Q)2 : 0
    15Zink T.Polmans M.2 : 0
    16Tobon M. (Q)Ficovich J. P.2 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1Martin D.Mena F.0 : 2
    2Daniel T.Andrade A. (6)2 : 1
    3Crawford O. (3)Ayeni A.1 : 2
    4Hayen A.Martin A. (8)1 : 2
    5Kozlov S. (7)Mmoh M.0 : 2
    6Shah A. (RET.)Pacheco Mendez R.0 : 1
    7Huesler M. (5)Hernandez A.2 : 0
    8Zink T.Tobon M.2 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1Mena F.Daniel T.0 : 2
    2Ayeni A.Martin A. (8)0 : 2
    3Mmoh M.Pacheco Mendez R.2 : 1
    4Huesler M. (5)Zink T.0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Daniel T.Martin A. (8)2 : 1
    2Mmoh M.Zink T.2 : 1

    Final
    1Daniel T.Mmoh M.1 : 2