Çaykur Rizespor vs Alanyaspor – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
25/01/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Super Lig - Round 19
  • Referee: Meler H. U. (Tur)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiaTOD
romaniaRomaniaPrima Sport PPV 1
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, beIN Sports 2

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.411.28
Ball possession
37%63%
Total shots
623
Shots on target
33
Big chances
02
Corner kicks
48
Passes
81% (208/258)90% (396/439)
Yellow cards
25
Red cards
11
Expected goals (xG)
0.411.28
xG on target (xGOT)
0.721.37
Total shots
623
Shots on target
33
Shots off target
212
Blocked shots
18
Shots inside the box
212
Shots outside the box
411
Hit the woodwork
10
Big chances
02
Corner kicks
48
Touches in opposition box
832
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
21
Free kicks
814
Passes
81% (208/258)90% (396/439)
Long passes
43% (17/40)83% (20/24)
Passes in final third
49% (24/49)82% (115/141)
Crosses
14% (2/14)24% (6/25)
Expected assists (xA)
0.161.15
Throw ins
711
Fouls
148
Tackles
44% (4/9)67% (6/9)
Duels won
2647
Clearances
2721
Interceptions
106
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
22
xGOT faced
1.370.72
Goals prevented
0.37-0.28

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 6', Papanikolaou G. 🟥,
  • 21', Maestro 🟨,
  • 43', Maestro 🟨,
  • 45', Zeqiri A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Mogultay B. , Kaya I. ,
  • 62', Augusto L. , Mihaila V. ,
  • 67', Lima N. , Aksoy F. ,
  • 72', Zeqiri A. , Pala M. ,
  • 72', Ruan 🟨,
  • 73', Karaca E. , Hagi I. ,
  • 73', Yalcin G. , Mounie S. ,
  • 80', 1 - 0, Mihaila V. , Hojer C. (A),
  • 85', Olawoyin I. , Antalyali T. ,
  • 85', Sowe A. , Dervisoglu H. ,
  • 85', Akdag U. , Elia M. ,
  • 87', Hagi I. 🟨,
  • 87', Sagnan M. 🟨,
  • 89', 1 - 1, Mounie S. , Hagi I. (A),
  • 90+3', Aliti F. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Çaykur Rizespor
50.4%
Draw
27.6%
Alanyaspor
21.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43% 27.3% 29.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.8% 28.4% 28.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Çaykur Rizespor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Çaykur Rizespor's performance.
  • Alanyaspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alanyaspor might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Çaykur Rizespor than the current prediction. (-5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Çaykur Rizespor that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alanyaspor than the current prediction. (+6.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alanyaspor could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Çaykur Rizespor - Alanyaspor Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.88
    (2.2)
    3.39
    (3.46)
    4.3
    (3.18)
    6.1%
    (5.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Çaykur Rizespor - Alanyaspor?
  • Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Rizespor will win (votes: 11 - 68.8%). Alanyaspor will win (votes: 2 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 18.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Rizespor: 46.1%91.5%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Rizespor (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • DC - Rizespor (1.27) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.5 - Rizespor (1.23) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Rizespor (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 12 and 10).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rizespor won 1.
    • Rizespor is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Alanyaspor is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Recently, Alanyaspor has had a series of home games.
    • Rizespor will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Rizespor: Orak F. (Suspended)
    • There will not play in Alanyaspor: Bruno Viana (Injury) Bulut B. (Knee Injury) Celik I. (Suspended) Keskin E. (Suspended) Ozdemir Y. (Suspended) Ozyurt B. (Suspended)
    • There are questionable in Rizespor: Alikulov K. (Injury)
    • In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Rizespor won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 19:22. (average 1.2:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Rizespor won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:4. (average 1.3:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Çaykur Rizespor - Alanyaspor were as follows:
    16.08.2025 Alanyaspor - Çaykur Rizespor 0:0
    02.03.2025 Çaykur Rizespor - Alanyaspor 3:1
    28.09.2024 Alanyaspor - Çaykur Rizespor 1:0
    20.01.2024 Alanyaspor - Çaykur Rizespor 2:1
    19.08.2023 Çaykur Rizespor - Alanyaspor 0:0
    Latest results of Çaykur Rizespor
    Latest results of Alanyaspor
    Turkish Super League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Galatasaray24184258:184058
    2Fenerbahce24159054:233154
    3Trabzonspor24156348:282051
    4Besiktas24137445:291646
    5Goztepe24119427:161142
    6Basaksehir24116742:261639
    7Samsunspor24711625:27-232
    8Kocaelispor24861021:25-430
    9Gaziantep2478930:40-1029
    10Rizespor2469931:35-427
    11Alanyaspor24511826:30-426
    12Genclerbirligi24661228:34-624
    13Antalyaspor24661224:38-1424
    14Konyaspor24581127:37-1023
    15Eyupspor24571219:35-1622
    16Kasimpasa24481220:35-1520
    17Kayserispor243111018:43-2520
    18Karagumruk24341721:45-2413

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ 1. Lig