Çaykur Rizespor vs Alanyaspor – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
25/01/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Super Lig - Round 19
  • Referee: Meler H. U. (Tur)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiaTOD
romaniaRomaniaPrima Sport PPV 1
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, beIN Sports 2

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.411.28
Ball possession
37%63%
Total shots
623
Shots on target
33
Big chances
02
Corner kicks
48
Passes
81% (208/258)90% (396/439)
Yellow cards
25
Red cards
11
Expected goals (xG)
0.411.28
xG on target (xGOT)
0.721.37
Total shots
623
Shots on target
33
Shots off target
212
Blocked shots
18
Shots inside the box
212
Shots outside the box
411
Hit the woodwork
10
Big chances
02
Corner kicks
48
Touches in opposition box
832
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
21
Free kicks
814
Passes
81% (208/258)90% (396/439)
Long passes
43% (17/40)83% (20/24)
Passes in final third
49% (24/49)82% (115/141)
Crosses
14% (2/14)24% (6/25)
Expected assists (xA)
0.161.15
Throw ins
711
Fouls
148
Tackles
44% (4/9)67% (6/9)
Duels won
2647
Clearances
2721
Interceptions
106
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
22
xGOT faced
1.370.72
Goals prevented
0.37-0.28

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 6', Papanikolaou G. 🟥,
  • 21', Maestro 🟨,
  • 43', Maestro 🟨,
  • 45', Zeqiri A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Mogultay B. , Kaya I. ,
  • 62', Augusto L. , Mihaila V. ,
  • 67', Lima N. , Aksoy F. ,
  • 72', Zeqiri A. , Pala M. ,
  • 72', Ruan 🟨,
  • 73', Karaca E. , Hagi I. ,
  • 73', Yalcin G. , Mounie S. ,
  • 80', 1 - 0, Mihaila V. , Hojer C. (A),
  • 85', Olawoyin I. , Antalyali T. ,
  • 85', Sowe A. , Dervisoglu H. ,
  • 85', Akdag U. , Elia M. ,
  • 87', Hagi I. 🟨,
  • 87', Sagnan M. 🟨,
  • 89', 1 - 1, Mounie S. , Hagi I. (A),
  • 90+3', Aliti F. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Çaykur Rizespor
50.4%
Draw
27.6%
Alanyaspor
21.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43% 27.3% 29.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.8% 28.4% 28.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Çaykur Rizespor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Çaykur Rizespor's performance.
  • Alanyaspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alanyaspor might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Çaykur Rizespor than the current prediction. (-5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Çaykur Rizespor that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alanyaspor than the current prediction. (+6.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alanyaspor could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Çaykur Rizespor - Alanyaspor Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.88
    (2.2)
    3.39
    (3.46)
    4.3
    (3.18)
    6.1%
    (5.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Çaykur Rizespor - Alanyaspor?
  • Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Rizespor will win (votes: 11 - 68.8%). Alanyaspor will win (votes: 2 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 18.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Rizespor: 46.1%91.5%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Rizespor (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • DC - Rizespor (1.27) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.5 - Rizespor (1.23) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Rizespor (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 12 and 10).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rizespor won 1.
    • Rizespor is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Alanyaspor is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Recently, Alanyaspor has had a series of home games.
    • Rizespor will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Rizespor: Orak F. (Suspended)
    • There will not play in Alanyaspor: Bruno Viana (Injury) Bulut B. (Knee Injury) Celik I. (Suspended) Keskin E. (Suspended) Ozdemir Y. (Suspended) Ozyurt B. (Suspended)
    • There are questionable in Rizespor: Alikulov K. (Injury)
    • In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Rizespor won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 19:22. (average 1.2:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Rizespor won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:4. (average 1.3:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Çaykur Rizespor - Alanyaspor were as follows:
    16.08.2025 Alanyaspor - Çaykur Rizespor 0:0
    02.03.2025 Çaykur Rizespor - Alanyaspor 3:1
    28.09.2024 Alanyaspor - Çaykur Rizespor 1:0
    20.01.2024 Alanyaspor - Çaykur Rizespor 2:1
    19.08.2023 Çaykur Rizespor - Alanyaspor 0:0
    Latest results of Çaykur Rizespor
    Latest results of Alanyaspor
    Turkish Super League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Galatasaray26204262:184464
    2Fenerbahce27179161:283360
    3Trabzonspor27186353:292460
    4Besiktas27157549:311852
    5Basaksehir27127844:301443
    6Goztepe261110530:201043
    7Samsunspor26811729:31-235
    8Kocaelispor27961223:32-933
    9Gaziantep27891036:46-1033
    10Alanyaspor27613833:32131
    11Rizespor26791032:36-430
    12Konyaspor27791131:39-830
    13Genclerbirligi27671428:37-925
    14Antalyaspor27671425:43-1825
    15Kasimpasa27591323:38-1524
    16Kayserispor274111221:48-2723
    17Eyupspor27571519:38-1922
    18Karagumruk27451824:47-2317

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ 1. Lig