Result
3:2
28/09/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie C - Group A - Round 7
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 256 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 4', 0 - 1, da Graca C. ⚽,
- 7', 0 - 2, Collodel R. ⚽,
- 17', 1 - 2, Lombardi A. ⚽,
- 28', Arboscello R. 🟨,
- 31', Arboscello R. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Sottini E. ↓, Svidercoschi S. ↑,
- 61', Parlati S. 🟨,
- 61', da Graca C. ↓, Perini G. ↑,
- 61', Valdesi A. ↓, D'Alessio L. ↑,
- 66', Parlati S. ↓, De Paoli A. ↑,
- 72', Potop S. 🟨,
- 74', 2 - 2, Lombardi A. ⚽,
- 75', Bertoncini D. ↓, Citi A. ↑,
- 78', Mandelli A. ↓, Astrologo A. ↑,
- 83', Lupinetti T. ↓, Garattoni A. ↑,
- 83', Sali G. ↓, Sarr A. M. ↑,
- 86', Donadio C. ↓, Dell'Erba D. ↑,
- 90+1', 3 - 2, Sarr A. M. ⚽,
Chances of winning
AlbinoLeffe
26.4% | Draw
29.3% | Novara
44.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
AlbinoLeffe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that AlbinoLeffe's form might have worsened.Novara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Novara's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for AlbinoLeffe than the current prediction. (+16.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for AlbinoLeffe, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Novara than the current prediction. (-14%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Novara, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
AlbinoLeffe - Novara Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.37 ↑
(2.26) |
3.92 ↑
(3.4) |
2.6 ↓
(2.9) |
-13.1%
(8.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for AlbinoLeffe - Novara?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, AlbinoLeffe won 2.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, AlbinoLeffe won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:14. (average 0.9:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, AlbinoLeffe won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 1:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has AlbinoLeffe won against Novara?
AlbinoLeffe has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Novara won against AlbinoLeffe?
Novara has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between AlbinoLeffe - Novara were as follows:
02.03.2025
AlbinoLeffe
-
Novara
1:1
19.10.2024
Novara
-
AlbinoLeffe
2:0
10.03.2024
AlbinoLeffe
-
Novara
0:0
04.11.2023
Novara
-
AlbinoLeffe
0:3
05.02.2023
Novara
-
AlbinoLeffe
1:2
Latest results of AlbinoLeffe
Italian Serie C Group A Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | L.R. Vicenza | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 15:2 | 13 | 19 |
| 2 | Lecco | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 13:5 | 8 | 18 |
| 3 | Brescia | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 15:5 | 10 | 15 |
| 4 | Inter U23 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 11:6 | 5 | 14 |
| 5 | Alcione Milano | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 8:4 | 4 | 14 |
| 6 | AlbinoLeffe | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 15:12 | 3 | 11 |
| 7 | Pergolettese | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9:9 | 0 | 11 |
| 8 | Virtus Verona | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 13:11 | 2 | 10 |
| 9 | Renate | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8:12 | -4 | 9 |
| 10 | Giana Erminio | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6:10 | -4 | 9 |
| 11 | Pro Vercelli | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 6:13 | -7 | 9 |
| 12 | Arzignano | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10:12 | -2 | 8 |
| 13 | Trento | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 8:10 | -2 | 7 |
| 14 | Dolomiti Bellunesi | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 8:11 | -3 | 7 |
| 15 | Lumezzane | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 8:15 | -7 | 6 |
| 16 | Cittadella | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4:8 | -4 | 6 |
| 17 | Novara | 7 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 6:8 | -2 | 5 |
| 18 | Ospitaletto | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5:9 | -4 | 5 |
| 19 | Pro Patria | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 5:13 | -8 | 3 |
| 20 | Triestina | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9:7 | 2 | -9 |
Promotion ~ Serie B
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)
Serie C ~ Play Out
Relegation
