Mortágua vs Alcains – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Campeonato de Portugal - Group C Mortágua - Alcains
Result
2:2
09/02/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • PORTUGAL: Campeonato de Portugal - Group C - Round 18

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 2)
  • 3', 1 - 0, Cotel A. ,
  • 25', 1 - 1, ,
  • 45+1', 1 - 2, ,
  • 45+2', 2 - 2, Rianco J. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)

Chances of winning


Mortágua
53.7%
Draw
28.2%
Alcains
18.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.7% 29% 22.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.1% 24.5% 26.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mortágua has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)
  • Alcains has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mortágua than the current prediction. (-12.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mortágua that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alcains than the current prediction. (+8.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alcains could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Mortágua - Alcains Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.71
    (1.86)
    3.26
    (3.13)
    5.08
    (4.06)
    8.8%
    (10.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • Preview Facts
    • You will have a great opportunity to watch a game between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 10 in the zone Relegation and 11 in the zone Relegation).
    • Both teams are in bad shape now.
    • In this match Mortágua is a favorite.
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Mortágua won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4:10 (average 0.8:2).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Mortágua won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:4 (average 0:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Mortágua - Alcains were as follows:
    29.09.2024 Alcains - Mortágua 3:1
    22.01.2023 Mortágua - Alcains 0:4
    25.09.2022 Alcains - Mortágua 2:3
    Latest results of Mortágua
    02.02.2025 Os Marialvas - Mortágua 0:0
    26.01.2025 Mortágua - Pombal 1:3
    05.01.2025 Fatima - Mortágua 0:0
    21.12.2024 Elvas - Mortágua 1:0
    Latest results of Alcains
    26.01.2025 Elvas - Alcains 3:0
    19.01.2025 Alcains - Fatima 1:2
    12.01.2025 Pero Pinheiro - Alcains 1:2
    05.01.2025 Alverca B - Alcains 1:0
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Final
    1Lusitano GCVitoria Guimaraes B2 : 1