Result
3:1
06/04/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Campeonato de Portugal - Group C - Round 25
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 23', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 40', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 60', 2 - 1, ⚽,
- 65', 3 - 1, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Sertanense
46.3% | Draw
29.6% | Alcains
24.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sertanense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sertanense's form might have worsened.Alcains has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sertanense than the current prediction. (-1.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alcains than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
Sertanense - Alcains Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.96 ↑
(1.72) |
3.06 ↓
(3.64) |
3.76 ↓
(4.12) |
10.5%
(9.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 13 in the zone Relegation and 12 in the zone Relegation).
- Sertanense is Relegated to
- Alcains is Relegated to
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Sertanense won 3.
- Sertanense is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Alcains has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- In this match Sertanense is a favorite.
- Last 8 head-to-head matches Sertanense won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9:6 (average 1.1:0.8).
- Including matches at home between the teams Sertanense won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:3 (average 0.7:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Sertanense won against Alcains?
Sertanense has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Alcains won against Sertanense?
Alcains has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sertanense - Alcains were as follows:
15.12.2024
Alcains
-
Sertanense
2:0
16.04.2023
Sertanense
-
Alcains
1:3
08.01.2023
Alcains
-
Sertanense
0:3
11.09.2022
Alcains
-
Sertanense
0:1
Latest results of Sertanense
Latest results of Alcains
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Vitoria Sernache | 19 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 28:7 | 21 | 44 |
| 2 | SB Castelo Branco | 19 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 35:19 | 16 | 35 |
| 3 | Naval 1893 | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 26:19 | 7 | 32 |
| 4 | Mortagua | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 19:18 | 1 | 32 |
| 5 | Oliveira Hospital | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 23:11 | 12 | 31 |
| 6 | Uniao Da Serra | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 29:19 | 10 | 31 |
| 7 | Os Marialvas | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 25:22 | 3 | 24 |
| 8 | Peniche | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 21:26 | -5 | 24 |
| 9 | Fatima | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 17:21 | -4 | 22 |
| 10 | Lajense | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 26:28 | -2 | 22 |
| 11 | Marinhense | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 11:20 | -9 | 19 |
| 12 | Samora Correia | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 13:25 | -12 | 17 |
| 13 | SC Lusitania | 20 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 20:34 | -14 | 16 |
| 14 | Electrico | 20 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 23:47 | -24 | 13 |
Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group
Relegation
