Canillas vs Alcalá – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:5
04/05/2025 at 05:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 7 - Round 33

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 38', 0 - 1, Sanchez P. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 4)
  • 46', 0 - 2, Izan ,
  • 52', 0 - 3, Nieto D. ,
  • 62', 1 - 3, Chengue ,
  • 69', 1 - 4, Izan ,
  • 79', 1 - 5, Marcos S. ,
  • 84', 2 - 5, Pitu ,

Chances of winning


Canillas
15.3%
Draw
22.4%
Alcalá
62.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
15.1% 22.2% 62.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.9% 21.9% 63.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Canillas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
  • Alcalá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Canillas than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alcalá than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
  • Canillas - Alcalá Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    5.91
    (6.01)
    4.03
    (4.09)
    1.45
    (1.45)
    10.6%
    (10%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    Preview Facts
    • This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion).
    • Canillas is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Alcalá's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Canillas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Alcalá is the undisputed favorite.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Canillas won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:5. (average 1:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Canillas won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Canillas - Alcalá were as follows:
    21.12.2024 Alcalá - Canillas 1:1
    17.03.2024 Canillas - Alcalá 2:2
    29.10.2023 Alcalá - Canillas 1:2
    09.04.2023 Canillas - Alcalá 0:0
    11.12.2022 Alcalá - Canillas 1:0
    Latest results of Canillas
    17.04.2025 Canillas - Leganés B 0:3
    12.04.2025 Tres Cantos - Canillas 3:0
    06.04.2025 Canillas - Carabanchel 0:0
    29.03.2025 El Álamo - Canillas 3:1
    Latest results of Alcalá
    26.04.2025 Alcalá - Alcorcón B 0:4
    20.04.2025 Torrejón - Alcalá 1:1
    13.04.2025 Alcalá - Cala Pozuelo 3:0
    06.04.2025 Alcalá - Rayo Vallecano B 1:1
    30.03.2025 Leganés B - Alcalá 0:0
    Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Atl. Madrid C27158466:363053
    2Las Rozas27148547:291850
    3CD Mostoles27146743:311248
    4AD Torrejon27136844:37745
    5Leganes B27128749:242544
    6Trival Valderas271341037:31643
    7San Sebastian Reyes B27910834:29537
    8Pozuelo de Alarcon27910826:24237
    9Union Adarve271071032:36-437
    10Mexico FC271061134:34036
    11Galapagar27812728:35-736
    12Villaverde San Andres27811825:30-535
    13Alcorcon B27881124:28-432
    14Siello27851426:38-1229
    15Tres Cantos27831624:47-2327
    16Carabanchel27691221:27-627
    17Parla27741622:46-2425
    18Ciudad de Madrid27571527:47-2022

          Promotion
          Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 7 (Play Offs: )
          Relegation