Result
2:5
04/05/2025 at 05:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 7 - Round 33
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 38', 0 - 1, Sanchez P. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 4)
- 46', 0 - 2, Izan ⚽,
- 52', 0 - 3, Nieto D. ⚽,
- 62', 1 - 3, Chengue ⚽,
- 69', 1 - 4, Izan ⚽,
- 79', 1 - 5, Marcos S. ⚽,
- 84', 2 - 5, Pitu ⚽,
Chances of winning
Canillas 15.3% | Draw 22.4% | Alcalá 62.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Canillas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)Alcalá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Canillas than the current prediction. (-0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alcalá than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
Canillas - Alcalá Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
5.91 ↓ (6.01) |
4.03 ↓ (4.09) |
1.45 ↓ (1.45) |
10.6% (10%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion).
- Canillas is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Alcalá's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Canillas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Alcalá is the undisputed favorite.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Canillas won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:5. (average 1:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Canillas won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Canillas won against Alcalá?
Canillas has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Alcalá won against Canillas?
Alcalá has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Canillas - Alcalá were as follows:
21.12.2024
Alcalá
-
Canillas
1:1
17.03.2024
Canillas
-
Alcalá
2:2
29.10.2023
Alcalá
-
Canillas
1:2
09.04.2023
Canillas
-
Alcalá
0:0
11.12.2022
Alcalá
-
Canillas
1:0
Latest results of Canillas
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Las Rozas | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 19:9 | 10 | 16 |
| 2 | Leganes B | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 17:3 | 14 | 15 |
| 3 | Atl. Madrid C | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 15:10 | 5 | 15 |
| 4 | Villaverde San Andres | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 8:4 | 4 | 14 |
| 5 | CD Mostoles | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 11:9 | 2 | 14 |
| 6 | Union Adarve | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 12:7 | 5 | 12 |
| 7 | Galapagar | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 9:8 | 1 | 10 |
| 8 | AD Torrejon | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11:13 | -2 | 10 |
| 9 | Pozuelo de Alarcon | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8:9 | -1 | 9 |
| 10 | Siello | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 8:14 | -6 | 9 |
| 11 | Mexico | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 11:11 | 0 | 8 |
| 12 | Carabanchel | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9:9 | 0 | 8 |
| 13 | Parla | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4:9 | -5 | 8 |
| 14 | San Sebastian Reyes B | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7:8 | -1 | 7 |
| 15 | Trival Valderas | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 7:9 | -2 | 6 |
| 16 | Tres Cantos | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 5:17 | -12 | 6 |
| 17 | Alcorcon B | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 3:9 | -6 | 3 |
| 18 | Ciudad de Madrid | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 7:13 | -6 | 2 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 7 (Play Offs: )
Relegation