Result
3:0
01/02/2026 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Segunda RFEF - Group 5 - Round 21
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 18', 1 - 0, Guillen S. ⚽,
- 45', 2 - 0, Viana E. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 64', 3 - 0, Javi H. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Alcalá 64.3% | Draw 21.2% | Colonia Moscardó 14.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alcalá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alcalá's performance.Colonia Moscardó has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Colonia Moscardó might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alcalá than the current prediction. (-15.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alcalá that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colonia Moscardó than the current prediction. (+9.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Colonia Moscardó could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Alcalá - Colonia Moscardó Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.43 ↓ (1.85) |
4.33 ↑ (3.35) |
6.38 ↑ (3.7) |
8.6% (10.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Alcalá - Colonia Moscardó?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -1.5 - Alcalá (2.67) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Alcalá (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alcalá won 4.
- Alcalá is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Moscardó's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Moscardó may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Alcalá is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Alcalá won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 15:2. (average 2.5:0.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Alcalá won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:0. (average 3.3:0).
How many head-to-head matches has Alcalá won against Colonia Moscardó?
Alcalá has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Colonia Moscardó won against Alcalá?
Colonia Moscardó has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Alcalá - Colonia Moscardó were as follows:
20.09.2025
Colonia Moscardó
-
Alcalá
1:1
18.08.2024
Alcalá
-
Colonia Moscardó
4:0
03.03.2024
Colonia Moscardó
-
Alcalá
1:3
14.10.2023
Alcalá
-
Colonia Moscardó
2:0
Latest results of Colonia Moscardó
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Rayo Majadahonda | 25 | 15 | 7 | 3 | 37:15 | 22 | 52 |
| 2 | San Sebastian Reyes | 25 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 36:20 | 16 | 50 |
| 3 | Conquense | 25 | 11 | 10 | 4 | 30:22 | 8 | 43 |
| 4 | Getafe B | 24 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 39:26 | 13 | 42 |
| 5 | Tenerife B | 24 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 41:35 | 6 | 40 |
| 6 | Orihuela | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 35:27 | 8 | 38 |
| 7 | CD Coria | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 31:24 | 7 | 38 |
| 8 | CF Intercity | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 36:34 | 2 | 35 |
| 9 | Las Palmas B | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 32:30 | 2 | 33 |
| 10 | Navalcarnero | 25 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 30:32 | -2 | 33 |
| 11 | RSD Alcala | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 29:32 | -3 | 32 |
| 12 | Ilicitano | 24 | 7 | 10 | 7 | 38:37 | 1 | 31 |
| 13 | Fuenlabrada | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 27:30 | -3 | 28 |
| 14 | Rayo Vallecano B | 25 | 8 | 2 | 15 | 26:43 | -17 | 26 |
| 15 | Colonia M | 25 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 28:47 | -19 | 24 |
| 16 | Quintanar del Rey | 25 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 25:33 | -8 | 23 |
| 17 | Real Madrid C | 25 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 27:39 | -12 | 21 |
| 18 | Socuellamos | 25 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 21:42 | -21 | 19 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs
Segunda RFEF ~ Play Out (Play Out: )
Relegation