Alcalá vs Colonia Moscardó – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:0
01/02/2026 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Segunda RFEF - Group 5 - Round 21

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 18', 1 - 0, Guillen S. ,
  • 45', 2 - 0, Viana E. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 64', 3 - 0, Javi H. ,

Chances of winning


Alcalá
64.3%
Draw
21.2%
Colonia Moscardó
14.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.7% 26.9% 24.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.2% 26.6% 24.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Alcalá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alcalá's performance.
  • Colonia Moscardó has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Colonia Moscardó might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alcalá than the current prediction. (-15.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alcalá that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colonia Moscardó than the current prediction. (+9.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Colonia Moscardó could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Alcalá - Colonia Moscardó Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.43
    (1.85)
    4.33
    (3.35)
    6.38
    (3.7)
    8.6%
    (10.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Alcalá - Colonia Moscardó?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH -1.5 - Alcalá (2.67) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Alcalá (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alcalá won 4.
    • Alcalá is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Moscardó's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Moscardó may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Alcalá is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Alcalá won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 15:2. (average 2.5:0.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Alcalá won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:0. (average 3.3:0).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Alcalá - Colonia Moscardó were as follows:
    20.09.2025 Colonia Moscardó - Alcalá 1:1
    18.08.2024 Alcalá - Colonia Moscardó 4:0
    03.03.2024 Colonia Moscardó - Alcalá 1:3
    14.10.2023 Alcalá - Colonia Moscardó 2:0
    Latest results of Alcalá
    25.01.2026 Getafe B - Alcalá 3:0
    11.01.2026 Conquense - Alcalá 2:1
    04.01.2026 Alcalá - Fuenlabrada 0:0
    20.12.2025 Coria - Alcalá 1:1
    Latest results of Colonia Moscardó
    Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Rayo Majadahonda342010452:232970
    2San Sebastian Reyes34217651:272470
    3Conquense341612642:301260
    4Getafe B34169955:352057
    5CD Coria34169950:381257
    6RSD Alcala341491142:39351
    7Tenerife B341551457:53450
    8Orihuela3412101245:43246
    9CF Intercity3411101342:45-343
    10Navalcarnero3411101340:42-243
    11Las Palmas B341191442:45-342
    12Ilicitano3410111351:56-541
    13Real Madrid C341171642:45-340
    14Quintanar del Rey341161736:43-739
    15Fuenlabrada349101535:44-937
    16Colonia M34971837:57-2034
    17Socuellamos347101734:55-2131
    18Rayo Vallecano B34932230:63-3330

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