Alcalá vs Las Rozas – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:1
11/05/2025 at 05:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 7 - Round 34

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (3 - 1)
  • 70', 1 - 0, Izan ,
  • 71', 2 - 0, Izan ,
  • 78', 2 - 1, Moreno A. ,
  • 90+5', 3 - 1, ,

Chances of winning


Alcalá
47.6%
Draw
27.5%
Las Rozas
24.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.8% 27.5% 24.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.9% 29.3% 23.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Alcalá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
  • Las Rozas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alcalá than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Las Rozas than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
  • Alcalá - Las Rozas Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.9
    (1.9)
    3.29
    (3.29)
    3.63
    (3.67)
    10.6%
    (10.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 7 (Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alcalá won 1.
    • Recent performances by Alcalá have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Las Rozas is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Alcalá may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Alcalá might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Alcalá won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 11:17. (average 1.2:1.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Alcalá won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 0.5:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Alcalá - Las Rozas were as follows:
    12.01.2025 Las Rozas - Alcalá 0:0
    18.02.2024 Alcalá - Las Rozas 1:1
    01.10.2023 Las Rozas - Alcalá 4:1
    12.02.2023 Las Rozas - Alcalá 1:2
    09.10.2022 Alcalá - Las Rozas 0:1
    Latest results of Alcalá
    04.05.2025 Canillas - Alcalá 2:5
    26.04.2025 Alcalá - Alcorcón B 0:4
    20.04.2025 Torrejón - Alcalá 1:1
    13.04.2025 Alcalá - Cala Pozuelo 3:0
    06.04.2025 Alcalá - Rayo Vallecano B 1:1
    Latest results of Las Rozas
    27.04.2025 Leganés B - Las Rozas 1:2
    17.04.2025 Las Rozas - Tres Cantos 2:1
    13.04.2025 Carabanchel - Las Rozas 2:0
    06.04.2025 Las Rozas - El Álamo 2:1
    Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Atl. Madrid C30169572:403257
    2Las Rozas30158749:321753
    3Leganes B30148858:273150
    4Trival Valderas301551042:33950
    5AD Torrejon30148849:41850
    6CD Mostoles30147946:361049
    7San Sebastian Reyes B301012838:32642
    8Pozuelo de Alarcon301011932:28441
    9Union Adarve301181135:41-641
    10Mexico FC301171238:41-340
    11Villaverde San Andres30913828:32-440
    12Galapagar30913833:41-840
    13Alcorcon B309101129:31-237
    14Tres Cantos301031734:53-1933
    15Carabanchel307111226:30-432
    16Siello30951628:41-1332
    17Parla30751827:54-2726
    18Ciudad de Madrid30571830:61-3122

          Promotion
          Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 7 (Play Offs: )
          Relegation