Rayo Majadahonda vs Alcalá – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
29/03/2026 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Segunda RFEF - Group 5 - Round 29
  • Where to Watch on TV:
spainSpainFootballclub

Match Stats

Red cards
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 1', Telis M. 🟥,
  • 7', 0 - 1, Alburquerque A. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 84', 1 - 1, Martin J. ,
  • 90+4', 1 - 2, Castejon D. ,

Chances of winning


Rayo Majadahonda
60.1%
Draw
24.6%
Alcalá
15.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
62.3% 23.9% 13.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.6% 25.2% 13.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Rayo Majadahonda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
  • Alcalá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rayo Majadahonda than the current prediction. (+5.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rayo Majadahonda, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alcalá than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
  • Rayo Majadahonda - Alcalá Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.52
    (1.44)
    3.73
    (3.75)
    6.14
    (6.5)
    8.8%
    (11.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Rayo Majadahonda - Alcalá?
  • Users Predictions: Alcalá will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 8).
    • Recent performances by Rayo Majadahonda have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Alcalá is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Alcalá may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Rayo Majadahonda is the undisputed favorite.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Rayo Majadahonda won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Rayo Majadahonda - Alcalá were as follows:
    23.11.2025 Alcalá - Rayo Majadahonda 0:2
    Latest results of Rayo Majadahonda
    Latest results of Alcalá
    22.03.2026 Alcalá - Navalcarnero 1:0
    15.03.2026 Tenerife B - Alcalá 3:0
    07.03.2026 Alcalá - Elche Ilicitano 2:0
    01.03.2026 Alcalá - Socuéllamos 3:1
    22.02.2026 Real Madrid C - Alcalá 2:2
    Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Rayo Majadahonda342010452:232970
    2San Sebastian Reyes34217651:272470
    3Conquense341612642:301260
    4Getafe B34169955:352057
    5CD Coria34169950:381257
    6RSD Alcala341491142:39351
    7Tenerife B341551457:53450
    8Orihuela3412101245:43246
    9CF Intercity3411101342:45-343
    10Navalcarnero3411101340:42-243
    11Las Palmas B341191442:45-342
    12Ilicitano3410111351:56-541
    13Real Madrid C341171642:45-340
    14Quintanar del Rey341161736:43-739
    15Fuenlabrada349101535:44-937
    16Colonia M34971837:57-2034
    17Socuellamos347101734:55-2131
    18Rayo Vallecano B34932230:63-3330

          Promotion
          Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs
          Segunda RFEF ~ Play Out (Play Out: )
          Relegation