Alcione vs Desenzano Calvina – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Italian Serie D - Group B Alcione - Desenzano Calvina
Result
2:1
14/05/2023 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP B - PLAY OFFS - SEMI-FINALS

Chances of winning


Alcione
62.2%
Draw
21.2%
Desenzano Calvina
16.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.4% 25% 23.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.4% 24.5% 23.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Alcione has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alcione's performance.
  • Desenzano Calvina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Desenzano Calvina might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alcione than the current prediction. (-9.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alcione that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Desenzano Calvina than the current prediction. (+6.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Desenzano Calvina could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Alcione - Desenzano Calvina Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.45
    (1.74)
    4.26
    (3.57)
    5.46
    (3.79)
    10.5%
    (12%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • Preview Facts
    • Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.
    • In this match Alcione is a favorite.
    • Last 2 head-to-head matches Alcione won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Alcione won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Alcione - Desenzano Calvina were as follows:
    06.04.2023 Desenzano Calvina - Alcione 1:1
    27.11.2022 Alcione - Desenzano Calvina 1:0
    Latest results of Alcione
    07.05.2023 Villa Valle - Alcione 3:2
    23.04.2023 Breno - Alcione 1:4
    16.04.2023 Alcione - Real Calepina 3:2
    02.04.2023 Alcione - Seregno 2:2
    Latest results of Desenzano Calvina
    Draw
    Winners Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1LivornoBra4 : 1, 2 : 1
    2SiracusaOspitaletto2 : 0, 3 : 2

    Final
    1LivornoSiracusa2 : 1