Alcochetense vs Lagoa – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
20/12/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Campeonato de Portugal - Group D - Round 13

Match Stats

Ball Possession
59%41%
Total shots
97
Shots on target
51
Corner Kicks
23
Total shots
97
Shots on target
51
Shots off target
46
Corner Kicks
23

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 55', 1 - 0, ,

Chances of winning


Alcochetense
48.2%
Draw
28.2%
Lagoa
23.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.1% 27.9% 27%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.3% 28.6% 26.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Alcochetense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)
  • Lagoa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alcochetense than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lagoa than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
  • Alcochetense - Lagoa Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.88
    (2.01)
    3.2
    (3.25)
    3.82
    (3.35)
    10.8%
    (10.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 7 and 6).
    • Alcochetense has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Lagoa is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Alcochetense might have a minor edge in this game.
    • Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Alcochetense
    14.12.2025 Oriental - Alcochetense 0:3
    07.12.2025 Alcochetense - Alverca B 1:2
    29.11.2025 Elvas - Alcochetense 2:2
    02.11.2025 Louletano - Alcochetense 0:2
    Latest results of Lagoa
    14.12.2025 Lagoa - Portimonense B 2:1
    07.12.2025 Lagoa - Oriental 6:3
    09.11.2025 Lagoa - Alverca B 1:0
    Campeonato de Portugal - Group D Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Malveira20107329:181137
    2Louletano2098322:91335
    3Juv. Evora2097424:18634
    4Serpa2087523:23031
    5GD Alcochetense2086626:18830
    6Lagoa2085734:29529
    7Alverca B1985633:28529
    8Sintrense2077621:21028
    9O Elvas CAD2084829:23628
    10Oriental2068623:27-426
    11Moncarapachense2049715:19-421
    12Portimonense B19531116:27-1118
    13Vasco da Gama20110916:36-2013
    14Industria20261218:33-1512

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