Lagoa vs Alcochetense – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
18/04/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Campeonato de Portugal - Group D - Round 26

Match Stats

Ball possession
51%49%
Total shots
67
Shots on target
23
Corner kicks
410
Red cards
01
Total shots
67
Shots on target
23
Shots off target
44
Corner kicks
410

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 13', 1 - 0, ,
  • 30', 1 - 1, ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 70', 1 - 2, ,
  • 82', 🟥,

Chances of winning


Lagoa
38%
Draw
29.5%
Alcochetense
32.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.7% 27.5% 31.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.5% 27% 31.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lagoa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
  • Alcochetense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lagoa than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alcochetense than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
  • Lagoa - Alcochetense Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.38
    (2.24)
    3.07
    (3.3)
    2.79
    (2.86)
    10.4%
    (10%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 5 and 6)
    • Lagoa is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Alcochetense has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Lagoa won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lagoa - Alcochetense were as follows:
    20.12.2025 Alcochetense - Lagoa 1:0
    Latest results of Lagoa
    12.04.2026 Portimonense B - Lagoa 1:3
    04.04.2026 Oriental - Lagoa 0:2
    15.03.2026 Alverca B - Lagoa 2:1
    Latest results of Alcochetense
    12.04.2026 Alcochetense - Oriental 1:1
    04.04.2026 Alverca B - Alcochetense 0:1
    28.03.2026 Alcochetense - Louletano 0:1
    22.03.2026 Alcochetense - Elvas 2:0
    Campeonato de Portugal - Group D Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Louletano26148436:152150
    2Malveira26138538:231547
    3Alverca B26145749:321747
    4Juv. Evora261210436:231346
    5GD Alcochetense26118733:221141
    6Sintrense26117830:25540
    7Lagoa26116944:341039
    8O Elvas CAD26971033:29434
    9Serpa26971028:34-634
    10Oriental26711829:35-632
    11Moncarapachense26710921:21031
    12Portimonense B26641619:42-2322
    13Industria26281620:45-2514
    14Vasco da Gama261111420:56-3614

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