Result
2:2
21/12/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 17
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Spain | Footballclub, IB3, LaLiga+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 65% | 35% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 2 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 11', Navarro D. 🟨,
- 20', 0 - 1, Albert J. ⚽,
- 30', Vacas L. 🟨,
- 34', Gonzalez Nacho 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 49', Vacas L. ↓, Aparicio E. ↑,
- 58', Monjonell E. 🟨,
- 61', 1 - 1, Aparicio E. ⚽,
- 64', Sene J. ↓, Davo ↑,
- 68', Garcia D. 🟨,
- 75', Aparicio E. 🟨,
- 75', Medina U. 🟨,
- 77', Martinez B. ↓, Domingo Ciuraneta P. ↑,
- 77', Navarro D. ↓, Llorente R. ↑,
- 78', Rai ↓, Aguado T. ↑,
- 80', Garcia D. ↓, Errahaly M. ↑,
- 80', Castillo F. ↓, del Olmo I. ↑,
- 80', 🟨,
- 88', 1 - 2, El Ftouhi S. ⚽,
- 88', Bebe 🟨,
- 90', del Pozo D. ↓, Pedreno M. ↑,
- 90', El Ftouhi S. ↓, Gomez E. ↑,
- 90+5', 2 - 2, Kopotun V. ⚽,
- 90+8', Aguado T. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Alcorcón
34.6% | Draw
32.1% | Ibiza
33.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alcorcón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alcorcón's form might have worsened.Ibiza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alcorcón than the current prediction. (+5.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alcorcón, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ibiza than the current prediction. (-3.5%)
Alcorcón - Ibiza Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.63 ↑
(2.34) |
2.8 ↓
(3.06) |
2.72 ↓
(3.09) |
10.5%
(7.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Alcorcón - Ibiza?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Alcorcón will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Ibiza will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 13 and 16 in the zone Relegation).
- Alcorcón has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- In recent matches, Ibiza has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Ibiza may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alcorcón won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:13. (average 1:2.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Alcorcón won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 1:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Alcorcón won against Ibiza?
Alcorcón has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ibiza won against Alcorcón?
Ibiza has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Alcorcón - Ibiza were as follows:
10.05.2025
Ibiza
-
Alcorcón
2:0
22.12.2024
Alcorcón
-
Ibiza
1:2
Latest results of Alcorcón
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sabadell | 26 | 12 | 11 | 3 | 33:14 | 19 | 47 |
| 2 | Atl. Madrid B | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 37:25 | 12 | 44 |
| 3 | CE Europa | 26 | 10 | 11 | 5 | 36:28 | 8 | 41 |
| 4 | Eldense | 25 | 10 | 11 | 4 | 30:24 | 6 | 41 |
| 5 | FC Cartagena SAD | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 25:26 | -1 | 38 |
| 6 | Teruel | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 20:21 | -1 | 38 |
| 7 | Villarreal B | 25 | 9 | 10 | 6 | 33:22 | 11 | 37 |
| 8 | Antequera | 25 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 30:27 | 3 | 37 |
| 9 | Algeciras | 25 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 28:25 | 3 | 37 |
| 10 | Alcorcon | 26 | 8 | 12 | 6 | 25:23 | 2 | 36 |
| 11 | Hercules | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 30:30 | 0 | 36 |
| 12 | UD Ibiza | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 27:24 | 3 | 35 |
| 13 | Tarazona | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 22:25 | -3 | 33 |
| 14 | Gimnastic | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 30:34 | -4 | 33 |
| 15 | Murcia | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 24:25 | -1 | 32 |
| 16 | Torremolinos | 26 | 7 | 11 | 8 | 33:35 | -2 | 32 |
| 17 | Sanluqueno | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 23:37 | -14 | 24 |
| 18 | Betis B | 26 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 25:41 | -16 | 22 |
| 19 | Sevilla FC B | 26 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 13:25 | -12 | 21 |
| 20 | Marbella | 25 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 19:32 | -13 | 21 |
Promotion ~ LaLiga2
Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1
Relegation
