Algeciras vs Alcoyano – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2 Algeciras - Alcoyano
Result
2:1
17/05/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 37
  • Where to Watch on TV:
spainSpainFEF TV

Match Stats

Ball Possession
55%45%
Total shots
138
Shots on target
54
Corner Kicks
35
Yellow Cards
13
Total shots
138
Shots on target
54
Shots off target
84
Corner Kicks
35
Goalkeeper Saves
33

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 6', Anton J. , de Palmas R. ,
  • 15', 1 - 0, Gonzaga Delage Cruzado L. ,
  • 18', Garcia I. 🟨,
  • 45+2', 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Coch A. , Spatz L. M. ,
  • 63', 2 - 0, Sanchez T. ,
  • 66', Sanchez T. , Celorio N. ,
  • 67', 🟨,
  • 80', Gonzaga Delage Cruzado L. , Turrillo I. ,
  • 85', 🟨,
  • 90+1', 2 - 1, Albisua H. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Algeciras
23.9%
Draw
27.1%
Alcoyano
49%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.9% 28.4% 30.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.9% 27.1% 29.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Algeciras has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Algeciras's form might have worsened.
  • Alcoyano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alcoyano's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Algeciras than the current prediction. (+19%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Algeciras, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alcoyano than the current prediction. (-19.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alcoyano, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Algeciras - Alcoyano Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.84
    (2.25)
    3.39
    (3.24)
    1.88
    (2.99)
    8.8%
    (8.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Algeciras - Alcoyano?
  • Users Predictions: Alcoyano will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Alcoyano will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 9 and 17 in the zone Relegation).
    • Algeciras is showing really good form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Alcoyano has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Algeciras may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Alcoyano could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Algeciras won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 0.6:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Algeciras won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Algeciras - Alcoyano were as follows:
    25.08.2024 Alcoyano - Algeciras 1:1
    03.02.2024 Algeciras - Alcoyano 1:1
    29.10.2023 Alcoyano - Algeciras 1:0
    Latest results of Algeciras
    11.05.2025 Hércules - Algeciras 1:2
    02.05.2025 Algeciras - Betis B 2:2
    13.04.2025 Algeciras - Alcorcón 2:0
    Latest results of Alcoyano
    Draw
    Promotion - Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1AntequeraPonferradina1 : 2, 1 : 0
    2AndorraUD Ibiza1 : 0, 2 : 0
    3GimnasticMurcia1 : 0, 1 : 1
    4Merida ADReal Sociedad B1 : 0, 0 : 1

    Final
    1PonferradinaAndorra0 : 1, 1 : 1
    2GimnasticReal Sociedad B2 : 1, 1 : 3