Algeciras vs Alcoyano – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
17/05/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 37
  • Where to Watch on TV:
spainSpainFEF TV

Match Stats

Ball Possession
55%45%
Total shots
138
Shots on target
54
Corner Kicks
35
Yellow Cards
13
Total shots
138
Shots on target
54
Shots off target
84
Corner Kicks
35
Goalkeeper Saves
33

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 6', Anton J. , de Palmas R. ,
  • 15', 1 - 0, Gonzaga Delage Cruzado L. ,
  • 18', Garcia I. 🟨,
  • 45+2', 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Coch A. , Spatz L. M. ,
  • 63', 2 - 0, Sanchez T. ,
  • 66', Sanchez T. , Celorio N. ,
  • 67', 🟨,
  • 80', Gonzaga Delage Cruzado L. , Turrillo I. ,
  • 85', 🟨,
  • 90+1', 2 - 1, Albisua H. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Algeciras
23.9%
Draw
27.1%
Alcoyano
49%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.9% 28.4% 30.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.9% 27.1% 29.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Algeciras has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Algeciras's form might have worsened.
  • Alcoyano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alcoyano's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Algeciras than the current prediction. (+19%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Algeciras, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alcoyano than the current prediction. (-19.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alcoyano, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Algeciras - Alcoyano Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.84
    (2.25)
    3.39
    (3.24)
    1.88
    (2.99)
    8.8%
    (8.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Algeciras - Alcoyano?
  • Users Predictions: Alcoyano will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Alcoyano will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 9 and 17 in the zone Relegation).
    • Algeciras is showing really good form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Alcoyano has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Algeciras may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Alcoyano could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Algeciras won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 0.6:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Algeciras won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Algeciras - Alcoyano were as follows:
    25.08.2024 Alcoyano - Algeciras 1:1
    03.02.2024 Algeciras - Alcoyano 1:1
    29.10.2023 Alcoyano - Algeciras 1:0
    Latest results of Algeciras
    11.05.2025 Hércules - Algeciras 1:2
    02.05.2025 Algeciras - Betis B 2:2
    13.04.2025 Algeciras - Alcorcón 2:0
    Latest results of Alcoyano
    Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Eldense321611547:291859
    2Sabadell321513444:202458
    3Atl. Madrid B32169752:341857
    4Villarreal B321312744:261851
    5CE Europa321311844:40450
    6FC Cartagena SAD321310928:28049
    7Teruel3212101025:26-146
    8Algeciras321291133:34-145
    9Alcorcon321014833:29444
    10Hercules3211111035:36-144
    11UD Ibiza3211101134:31343
    12Murcia321191230:32-242
    13Antequera321181337:39-241
    14Tarazona3210101229:34-540
    15Gimnastic321171435:41-640
    16Torremolinos329121138:42-439
    17Betis B32881637:52-1532
    18Sanluqueno32781725:43-1829
    19Marbella32771828:43-1528
    20Sevilla FC B324111716:35-1923

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