Result
6:2
07/03/2026 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga de Expansion MX - Clausura - Round 9
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+, ESPN 3 |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 19', 1 - 0, Sandoval R. ⚽, Pena R. (A),
- 20', Pena R. 🟨,
- 44', 1 - 1, Bustos J. ⚽, Morales F. (A),
- 2nd Half (5 - 1)
- 46', Franco J. ↓, Fadika B. ↑,
- 51', 2 - 1, del Angel E. ⚽, Pena R. (A),
- 55', 3 - 1, Partida E. ⚽,
- 59', 4 - 1, Ruiz J. ⚽,
- 60', Arellano A. 🟨,
- 63', Tamay A. ↓, Hernandez A. ↑,
- 63', Esqueda Romero J. A. ↓, Garcia L. ↑,
- 64', Vazquez Hernandez A. ↓, Mascorro H. ↑,
- 66', Rodriguez A. ↓, Rangel J. ↑,
- 66', Ruiz J. ↓, Gonzalez R. ↑,
- 66', Partida E. ↓, Cruz C. ↑,
- 70', Elbis 🟨,
- 72', 4 - 2, Bustos J. (Penalty Awarded),
- 77', Justo A. 🟨,
- 78', 5 - 2, Cruz C. (Penalty Awarded),
- 81', Justo A. ↓, Zetuna Y. ↑,
- 82', del Angel E. ↓, Salazar J. ↑,
- 82', Vasquez Velasquez L. S. ↓, Sanchez B. ↑,
- 89', Zetuna Y. 🟨,
- 90+1', 6 - 2, Salazar J. (Penalty Awarded),
Chances of winning
Irapuato
55.2% | Draw
25% | Alebrijes de Oaxaca
19.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Irapuato has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Irapuato's form might have worsened.Alebrijes de Oaxaca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alebrijes de Oaxaca's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Irapuato than the current prediction. (+11.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Irapuato, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alebrijes de Oaxaca than the current prediction. (-5.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alebrijes de Oaxaca, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Irapuato - Alebrijes de Oaxaca Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.69 ↑
(1.41) |
3.74 ↓
(4.78) |
4.72 ↓
(6.51) |
6.9%
(7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Irapuato - Alebrijes de Oaxaca?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Irapuato will win (votes: 4 - 100%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Irapuato (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DNB - Irapuato (1.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Irapuato (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 9).
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Irapuato may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Irapuato could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Irapuato won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:3. (average 2:1).
- Including home match between the teams, Irapuato won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Irapuato won against Alebrijes de Oaxaca?
Irapuato has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Alebrijes de Oaxaca won against Irapuato?
Alebrijes de Oaxaca has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Irapuato - Alebrijes de Oaxaca were as follows:
28.09.2025
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
-
Irapuato
0:2
Latest results of Irapuato
Latest results of Alebrijes de Oaxaca
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tepatitlan de Morelos | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 16:7 | 9 | 21 |
| 2 | Atletico La Paz | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 18:6 | 12 | 19 |
| 3 | Atl. Morelia | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 16:9 | 7 | 19 |
| 4 | Tapatio | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 22:17 | 5 | 17 |
| 5 | Atlante | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 15:9 | 6 | 16 |
| 6 | Cancun | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 15:12 | 3 | 15 |
| 7 | Tlaxcala | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 12:12 | 0 | 15 |
| 8 | Zacatecas Mineros | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 13:15 | -2 | 14 |
| 9 | Irapuato | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 22:20 | 2 | 13 |
| 10 | Jaiba Brava | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 10:12 | -2 | 13 |
| 11 | Correcaminos | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10:16 | -6 | 12 |
| 12 | Alebrijes Oaxaca | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 15:23 | -8 | 12 |
| 13 | Venados | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 16:20 | -4 | 8 |
| 14 | Leones Negros | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 10:20 | -10 | 7 |
| 15 | Dorados de Sinaloa | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 12:24 | -12 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
