Result
07/03/2026 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Irapuato
42.4% | Draw
27.7% | Alebrijes de Oaxaca
29.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Irapuato has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-23.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Irapuato's form might have worsened.Alebrijes de Oaxaca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alebrijes de Oaxaca's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Irapuato than the current prediction. (+24.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Irapuato, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alebrijes de Oaxaca than the current prediction. (-15.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alebrijes de Oaxaca, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Irapuato - Alebrijes de Oaxaca Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.16 ↑
(1.41) |
3.31 ↓
(4.78) |
3.07 ↓
(6.51) |
9.1%
(7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Irapuato - Alebrijes de Oaxaca?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Irapuato (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DNB - Irapuato (1.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Irapuato (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Alebrijes de Oaxaca may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Irapuato is the obvious favorite.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Irapuato won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:3. (average 2:1).
- Including home match between the teams, Irapuato won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Irapuato won against Alebrijes de Oaxaca?
Irapuato has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Alebrijes de Oaxaca won against Irapuato?
Alebrijes de Oaxaca has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Irapuato - Alebrijes de Oaxaca were as follows:
28.09.2025
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
-
Irapuato
0:2
Latest results of Irapuato
Latest results of Alebrijes de Oaxaca
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Atl. Morelia | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 11:3 | 8 | 16 |
| 2 | Tepatitlan de Morelos | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 8:4 | 4 | 15 |
| 3 | Tapatio | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 16:10 | 6 | 14 |
| 4 | Tlaxcala | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 11:9 | 2 | 13 |
| 5 | Cancun | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10:8 | 2 | 10 |
| 6 | Atlante | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10:7 | 3 | 9 |
| 7 | Atletico La Paz | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8:5 | 3 | 9 |
| 8 | Irapuato | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 13:14 | -1 | 9 |
| 9 | Alebrijes Oaxaca | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9:10 | -1 | 9 |
| 10 | Venados | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 16:17 | -1 | 8 |
| 11 | Zacatecas Mineros | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9:10 | -1 | 8 |
| 12 | Leones Negros | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8:13 | -5 | 6 |
| 13 | Jaiba Brava | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5:10 | -5 | 6 |
| 14 | Correcaminos | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6:12 | -6 | 6 |
| 15 | Dorados de Sinaloa | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 11:19 | -8 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
