Result
27/03/2026 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
44.2% | Draw
28.9% | Leones Negros UdeG
26.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alebrijes de Oaxaca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alebrijes de Oaxaca's performance.Leones Negros UdeG has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Leones Negros UdeG might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alebrijes de Oaxaca than the current prediction. (-8.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alebrijes de Oaxaca that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leones Negros UdeG than the current prediction. (+9.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Leones Negros UdeG could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Alebrijes de Oaxaca - Leones Negros UdeG Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.06 ↓
(2.52) |
3.16 ↓
(3.26) |
3.39 ↑
(2.62) |
9.7%
(8.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 12 and 14).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alebrijes de Oaxaca won 1.
- Alebrijes de Oaxaca has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Leones Negros UdeG's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Alebrijes de Oaxaca might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Alebrijes de Oaxaca won 3 matches, drew 12 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 20:27. (average 1:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Alebrijes de Oaxaca won 2 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:13. (average 1.2:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Alebrijes de Oaxaca won against Leones Negros UdeG?
Alebrijes de Oaxaca has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Leones Negros UdeG won against Alebrijes de Oaxaca?
Leones Negros UdeG has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Alebrijes de Oaxaca - Leones Negros UdeG were as follows:
17.10.2025
Leones Negros UdeG
-
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
0:1
29.09.2024
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
-
Leones Negros UdeG
2:2
14.02.2024
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
-
Leones Negros UdeG
0:3
03.08.2023
Leones Negros UdeG
-
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
5:0
15.03.2023
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
-
Leones Negros UdeG
2:2
Latest results of Alebrijes de Oaxaca
Latest results of Leones Negros UdeG
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tepatitlan de Morelos | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 16:7 | 9 | 21 |
| 2 | Atletico La Paz | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 18:6 | 12 | 19 |
| 3 | Atl. Morelia | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 16:9 | 7 | 19 |
| 4 | Tapatio | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 22:17 | 5 | 17 |
| 5 | Atlante | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 15:9 | 6 | 16 |
| 6 | Cancun | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 15:12 | 3 | 15 |
| 7 | Tlaxcala | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 12:12 | 0 | 15 |
| 8 | Zacatecas Mineros | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 13:15 | -2 | 14 |
| 9 | Irapuato | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 22:20 | 2 | 13 |
| 10 | Jaiba Brava | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 10:12 | -2 | 13 |
| 11 | Correcaminos | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10:16 | -6 | 12 |
| 12 | Alebrijes Oaxaca | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 15:23 | -8 | 12 |
| 13 | Venados | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 16:20 | -4 | 8 |
| 14 | Leones Negros | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 10:20 | -10 | 7 |
| 15 | Dorados de Sinaloa | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 12:24 | -12 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
