Result
1:1
27/03/2026 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga de Expansion MX - Clausura - Round 12
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+, ESPN 4 |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 16', 0 - 1, Munoz D. ⚽,
- 34', Munoz D. 🟨,
- 45+2', Aguayo J. ↓, Flores B. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Bustos J. ↓, Vazquez Garza H. A. ↑,
- 46', Vazquez Hernandez A. ↓, Meza S. ↑,
- 65', Ochoa Sanchez J. A. ↓, Tamay A. ↑,
- 65', Hernandez A. ↓, Fadika B. ↑,
- 68', Camacho Lastra R. E. ↓, Brigido J. ↑,
- 68', Gil O. ↓, Valenzuela M. ↑,
- 72', Morales F. ↓, Lopez E. ↑,
- 78', 1 - 1, Meza S. ⚽,
- 90+2', Flores B. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
38.8% | Draw
27.4% | Leones Negros UdeG
33.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alebrijes de Oaxaca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)Leones Negros UdeG has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alebrijes de Oaxaca than the current prediction. (-3.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leones Negros UdeG than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
Alebrijes de Oaxaca - Leones Negros UdeG Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.37 ↓
(2.52) |
3.35 ↑
(3.26) |
2.72 ↑
(2.62) |
8.8%
(8.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Alebrijes de Oaxaca - Leones Negros UdeG?
Users Predictions:
Alebrijes de Oaxaca will win
(5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 12 and 14).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alebrijes de Oaxaca won 1.
- Alebrijes de Oaxaca has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Leones Negros UdeG has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Alebrijes de Oaxaca is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Alebrijes de Oaxaca won 3 matches, drew 12 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 20:27. (average 1:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Alebrijes de Oaxaca won 2 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:13. (average 1.2:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Alebrijes de Oaxaca won against Leones Negros UdeG?
Alebrijes de Oaxaca has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Leones Negros UdeG won against Alebrijes de Oaxaca?
Leones Negros UdeG has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Alebrijes de Oaxaca - Leones Negros UdeG were as follows:
17.10.2025
Leones Negros UdeG
-
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
0:1
29.09.2024
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
-
Leones Negros UdeG
2:2
14.02.2024
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
-
Leones Negros UdeG
0:3
03.08.2023
Leones Negros UdeG
-
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
5:0
15.03.2023
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
-
Leones Negros UdeG
2:2
Latest results of Alebrijes de Oaxaca
Latest results of Leones Negros UdeG
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tepatitlan de Morelos ✔ | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 21:10 | 11 | 26 |
| 2 | Atl. Morelia | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 18:11 | 7 | 23 |
| 3 | Cancun | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 22:16 | 6 | 22 |
| 4 | Atletico La Paz | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 21:11 | 10 | 21 |
| 5 | Tapatio | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 27:21 | 6 | 20 |
| 6 | Zacatecas Mineros | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 19:20 | -1 | 20 |
| 7 | Atlante | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 20:16 | 4 | 19 |
| 8 | Irapuato | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 27:24 | 3 | 19 |
| 9 | Tlaxcala | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 14:15 | -1 | 19 |
| 10 | Jaiba Brava | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 14:15 | -1 | 18 |
| 11 | Venados | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 23:23 | 0 | 15 |
| 12 | Alebrijes Oaxaca | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 17:28 | -11 | 13 |
| 13 | Correcaminos | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 13:24 | -11 | 12 |
| 14 | Leones Negros | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 14:23 | -9 | 11 |
| 15 | Dorados de Sinaloa | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 14:27 | -13 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
Tepatitlan de Morelos is Qualified for Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
