Result
0:1
03/10/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga de Expansion MX - Apertura - Round 10
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | AYM Sports |
 Usa | Aym Sports |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 10 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 19', Villegas A. 🟨,
- 26', Villegas A. 🟨,
- 45+3', Lopez E. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Torres C. ↓, Anaya M. ↑,
- 46', Villaseca D. ↓, Tellez B. ↑,
- 52', Vazquez Garza H. A. 🟨,
- 54', 0 - 1, Meza S. ⚽, Cruz J. (A),
- 71', Latorre D. ↓, Egurrola L. ↑,
- 71', Ledesma L. ↓, Ortiz G. ↑,
- 74', Cruz J. ↓, Bustos J. ↑,
- 74', Carballo E. ↓, Andrey Marcos ↑,
- 79', Arellano A. 🟨,
- 79', Jimenez L. 🟨,
- 83', Justo A. ↓, Santos E. ↑,
- 87', Moragrega V. ↓, Aguayo S. ↑,
- 87', Mascorro H. ↓, Lopez D. ↑,
- 90+6', Alvarez K. 🟨,
- 90+7', Aguayo S. 🟨,
- 90+9', Mendez F. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Tapatío
62.2% | Draw
20.6% | Alebrijes de Oaxaca
17.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tapatío has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)Alebrijes de Oaxaca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tapatío than the current prediction. (-8.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tapatío that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alebrijes de Oaxaca than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
Tapatío - Alebrijes de Oaxaca Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.51 ↓
(1.56) |
4.52 ↑
(4.2) |
5.36 ↑
(4.93) |
6.9%
(8.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Tapatío - Alebrijes de Oaxaca?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Tapatío will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tapatío (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 14).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tapatío won 2.
- Neither of the teams is performing well right now.
- In this match, Tapatío is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Tapatío won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 17:12. (average 1.7:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Tapatío won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:4. (average 2.2:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Tapatío won against Alebrijes de Oaxaca?
Tapatío has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Alebrijes de Oaxaca won against Tapatío?
Alebrijes de Oaxaca has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tapatío - Alebrijes de Oaxaca were as follows:
31.01.2025
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
-
Tapatío
1:3
16.08.2024
Tapatío
-
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
6:0
07.03.2024
Tapatío
-
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
1:2
31.07.2023
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
-
Tapatío
1:1
02.03.2023
Tapatío
-
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
1:1
Latest results of Tapatío
Latest results of Alebrijes de Oaxaca
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cancun | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 17:4 | 13 | 22 |
| 2 | Tampico Madero | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 14:8 | 6 | 20 |
| 3 | Atlante | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 21:8 | 13 | 19 |
| 4 | Tepatitlan de Morelos | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 19:11 | 8 | 17 |
| 5 | Irapuato | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 17:11 | 6 | 17 |
| 6 | Leones Negros | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 14:12 | 2 | 12 |
| 7 | Atletico La Paz | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 19:18 | 1 | 12 |
| 8 | Tlaxcala | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 11:19 | -8 | 12 |
| 9 | Tapatio | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 13:12 | 1 | 11 |
| 10 | Venados | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 22:24 | -2 | 11 |
| 11 | Atl. Morelia | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 13:18 | -5 | 11 |
| 12 | Zacatecas Mineros | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 14:14 | 0 | 10 |
| 13 | Alebrijes Oaxaca | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 11:19 | -8 | 7 |
| 14 | Correcaminos | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 14:27 | -13 | 6 |
| 15 | Dorados de Sinaloa | 10 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 6:20 | -14 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
