Result
4:3
13/03/2026 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga de Expansion MX - Clausura - Round 10
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+, ESPN 2 |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 1)
- 14', 1 - 0, Mascorro H. ⚽,
- 28', 1 - 1, Ledesma L. ⚽,
- 32', 2 - 1, Morales F. ⚽,
- 43', Parra R. 🟨,
- 44', 3 - 1, Barreda I. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Tellez B. ↓, Medina C. ↑,
- 46', Parra R. ↓, Hernandez J. ↑,
- 47', Inda C. 🟨,
- 51', Medina C. 🟨,
- 54', Inda C. ↓, Cendejas M. ↑,
- 64', Bustos J. ↓, Arellano A. ↑,
- 67', 🟨,
- 69', Cendejas M. 🟨,
- 71', Mascorro H. ↓, Cruz J. ↑,
- 71', Barreda I. ↓, Fadika B. ↑,
- 76', Guzman Rodriguez J. L. ↓, Uribe J. ↑,
- 82', Villaseca D. ↓, Aguayo S. ↑,
- 86', Morales F. ↓, Lopez D. ↑,
- 87', 3 - 2, Moragrega V. ⚽,
- 87', Moragrega V. 🟨,
- 90+4', 3 - 3, Aguayo S. ⚽, Hernandez J. (A),
- 90+6', 4 - 3, Fadika B. ⚽, Arellano A. (A),
Chances of winning
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
33.2% | Draw
27.2% | Tapatío
39.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alebrijes de Oaxaca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)Tapatío has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alebrijes de Oaxaca than the current prediction. (+3.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tapatío than the current prediction. (-4%)
Alebrijes de Oaxaca - Tapatío Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.8 ↑
(2.53) |
3.42 ↑
(3.3) |
2.34 ↓
(2.53) |
7.7%
(9.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Alebrijes de Oaxaca - Tapatío?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Alebrijes de Oaxaca will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Tapatío will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH 0 - Tapatío (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tapatío (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 10 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alebrijes de Oaxaca won 2.
- Alebrijes de Oaxaca has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Tapatío is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Alebrijes de Oaxaca won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:17. (average 1.2:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Alebrijes de Oaxaca won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:6. (average 1.6:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Alebrijes de Oaxaca won against Tapatío?
Alebrijes de Oaxaca has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tapatío won against Alebrijes de Oaxaca?
Tapatío has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Alebrijes de Oaxaca - Tapatío were as follows:
03.10.2025
Tapatío
-
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
0:1
31.01.2025
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
-
Tapatío
1:3
16.08.2024
Tapatío
-
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
6:0
07.03.2024
Tapatío
-
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
1:2
31.07.2023
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
-
Tapatío
1:1
Latest results of Alebrijes de Oaxaca
Latest results of Tapatío
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tepatitlan de Morelos ✔ | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 21:10 | 11 | 26 |
| 2 | Atl. Morelia | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 18:11 | 7 | 23 |
| 3 | Cancun | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 22:16 | 6 | 22 |
| 4 | Atletico La Paz | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 21:11 | 10 | 21 |
| 5 | Tapatio | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 27:21 | 6 | 20 |
| 6 | Atlante | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 20:16 | 4 | 19 |
| 7 | Irapuato | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 27:24 | 3 | 19 |
| 8 | Tlaxcala | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 14:15 | -1 | 19 |
| 9 | Jaiba Brava | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 14:15 | -1 | 18 |
| 10 | Zacatecas Mineros | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 16:19 | -3 | 17 |
| 11 | Venados | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 23:23 | 0 | 15 |
| 12 | Alebrijes Oaxaca | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 17:28 | -11 | 13 |
| 13 | Correcaminos | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12:21 | -9 | 12 |
| 14 | Leones Negros | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 14:23 | -9 | 11 |
| 15 | Dorados de Sinaloa | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 14:27 | -13 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
Tepatitlan de Morelos is Qualified for Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
