Result
2:3
21/03/2025 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- MEXICO: Liga de Expansion MX - Clausura - Round 11
- Referee: Sanchez M. E. L. (Mex)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Amazon Prime Video, Claro Sports, Fox Sports, Hi! Sports, TVC Deportes |
 Venezuela | Inter |
 World | Pluto TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 19 | 11 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 44', 1 - 0, Zago D. (Own goal),
- 2nd Half (1 - 3)
- 46', Millan O. ↓, Celaya J. ↑,
- 46', Zago D. ↓, Gama D. ↑,
- 47', Bustos J. 🟨,
- 56', Hurtado F. 🟨,
- 58', Serna A. ↓, Zamudio J. ↑,
- 61', 1 - 1, Celaya J. ⚽,
- 63', Hurtado F. ↓, Cortes Cardona C. A. ↑,
- 66', 1 - 2, Gama D. ⚽,
- 71', Morales F. ↓, Mayo Canul M. A. ↑,
- 71', Mascorro H. ↓, Rojas D. ↑,
- 71', Bustos J. ↓, Guerrero J. ↑,
- 73', Vazquez Garza H. A. 🟨,
- 76', 2 - 2, Meza S. ⚽,
- 78', Vazquez Garza H. A. ↓, Vazquez Hernandez A. ↑,
- 84', Palma M. ↓, Mariscal K. ↑,
- 88', 2 - 3, Celaya J. ⚽,
- 90+6', Guerrero J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
33.9% | Draw
27.4% | Tlaxcala
38.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alebrijes de Oaxaca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alebrijes de Oaxaca's form might have worsened.Tlaxcala has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tlaxcala's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alebrijes de Oaxaca than the current prediction. (+7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alebrijes de Oaxaca, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tlaxcala than the current prediction. (-7.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tlaxcala, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Alebrijes de Oaxaca - Tlaxcala Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.74 ↑
(2.32) |
3.4 ↑
(3.24) |
2.41 ↓
(2.93) |
7.4%
(8.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 15 and 13).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Alebrijes de Oaxaca won 1.
- Both teams are in bad shape now.
- In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
- Last 9 head-to-head matches Alebrijes de Oaxaca won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 13:14 (average 1.4:1.6).
- Including matches at home between the teams Alebrijes de Oaxaca won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8:4 (average 2:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Alebrijes de Oaxaca won against Tlaxcala?
Alebrijes de Oaxaca has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tlaxcala won against Alebrijes de Oaxaca?
Tlaxcala has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Alebrijes de Oaxaca - Tlaxcala were as follows:
05.10.2024
Tlaxcala
-
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
2:1
19.03.2024
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
-
Tlaxcala
1:1
16.09.2023
Tlaxcala
-
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
2:1
01.02.2023
Tlaxcala
-
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
3:1
24.09.2022
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
-
Tlaxcala
3:0
Latest results of Alebrijes de Oaxaca
Latest results of Tlaxcala
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cancun | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10:0 | 10 | 12 |
| 2 | Tepatitlan de Morelos | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7:2 | 5 | 8 |
| 3 | Zacatecas Mineros | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8:4 | 4 | 8 |
| 4 | Leones Negros | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7:5 | 2 | 7 |
| 5 | Tapatio | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7:5 | 2 | 7 |
| 6 | Tampico Madero | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 7 |
| 7 | Irapuato | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9:9 | 0 | 6 |
| 8 | Correcaminos | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5:4 | 1 | 5 |
| 9 | Atlante | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7:4 | 3 | 4 |
| 10 | Atl. Morelia | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:7 | -3 | 4 |
| 11 | Dorados de Sinaloa | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1:7 | -6 | 3 |
| 12 | Atletico La Paz | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5:8 | -3 | 2 |
| 13 | Alebrijes Oaxaca | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:6 | -3 | 1 |
| 14 | Venados | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5:11 | -6 | 1 |
| 15 | Tlaxcala | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1:9 | -8 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
