Alebrijes de Oaxaca vs Tlaxcala – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Mexican Liga de Expansion MX Alebrijes de Oaxaca - Tlaxcala
Result
2:3
21/03/2025 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MEXICO: Liga de Expansion MX - Clausura - Round 11
  • Referee: Sanchez M. E. L. (Mex)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
mexicoMexicoAmazon Prime Video, Claro Sports, Fox Sports, Hi! Sports, TVC Deportes
venezuelaVenezuelaInter
worldWorldPluto TV

Match Stats

Ball Possession
46%54%
Goal Attempts
1911
Shots on Goal
116
Shots off Goal
85
Corner Kicks
34
Goalkeeper Saves
39
Yellow Cards
40

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 44', 1 - 0, Zago D. (Own goal),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 3)
  • 46', Millan O. , Celaya J. ,
  • 46', Zago D. , Gama D. ,
  • 47', Bustos J. 🟨,
  • 56', Hurtado F. 🟨,
  • 58', Serna A. , Zamudio J. ,
  • 61', 1 - 1, Celaya J. ,
  • 63', Hurtado F. , Cortes Cardona C. A. ,
  • 66', 1 - 2, Gama D. ,
  • 71', Morales F. , Mayo Canul M. A. ,
  • 71', Mascorro H. , Rojas D. ,
  • 71', Bustos J. , Guerrero J. ,
  • 73', Vazquez Garza H. A. 🟨,
  • 76', 2 - 2, Meza S. ,
  • 78', Vazquez Garza H. A. , Vazquez Hernandez A. ,
  • 84', Palma M. , Mariscal K. ,
  • 88', 2 - 3, Celaya J. ,
  • 90+6', Guerrero J. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Alebrijes de Oaxaca
33.9%
Draw
27.4%
Tlaxcala
38.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.9% 28.6% 31.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.9% 27.9% 30.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Alebrijes de Oaxaca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alebrijes de Oaxaca's form might have worsened.
  • Tlaxcala has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tlaxcala's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alebrijes de Oaxaca than the current prediction. (+7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alebrijes de Oaxaca, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tlaxcala than the current prediction. (-7.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tlaxcala, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Alebrijes de Oaxaca - Tlaxcala Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.74
    (2.32)
    3.4
    (3.24)
    2.41
    (2.93)
    7.4%
    (8.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • Preview Facts
    • This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 15 and 13).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Alebrijes de Oaxaca won 1.
    • Both teams are in bad shape now.
    • In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
    • Last 9 head-to-head matches Alebrijes de Oaxaca won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 13:14 (average 1.4:1.6).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Alebrijes de Oaxaca won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8:4 (average 2:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Alebrijes de Oaxaca - Tlaxcala were as follows:
    05.10.2024 Tlaxcala - Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2:1
    19.03.2024 Alebrijes de Oaxaca - Tlaxcala 1:1
    16.09.2023 Tlaxcala - Alebrijes de Oaxaca 2:1
    01.02.2023 Tlaxcala - Alebrijes de Oaxaca 3:1
    24.09.2022 Alebrijes de Oaxaca - Tlaxcala 3:0
    Latest results of Alebrijes de Oaxaca
    Latest results of Tlaxcala
    15.03.2025 Tlaxcala - Cancún 1:1
    09.03.2025 Tapatío - Tlaxcala 1:0
    01.03.2025 Tlaxcala - Jaiba Brava 0:0
    22.02.2025 Atlante - Tlaxcala 2:1
    Mexican Liga de Expansion MX Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Irapuato11004:133
    2Tapatio11002:023
    3Tampico Madero11001:013
    4Cancun11001:013
    5Atlante10101:101
    6Atl. Morelia10101:101
    7Correcaminos10101:101
    8Tlaxcala10101:101
    9Zacatecas Mineros10101:101
    10Tepatitlan de Morelos10101:101
    11Alebrijes Oaxaca00000:000
    12Dorados de Sinaloa10010:1-10
    13Leones Negros10010:1-10
    14Atletico La Paz10010:2-20
    15Venados10011:4-30

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